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Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/17/2025: RITM (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $14
1 Year Target Price $14
7 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.56% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.74B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.33 | 1Y Target Price 14 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.33 | 1Y Target Price 14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 1.32 | 52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.35% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.3 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 21.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 30.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) 10.35% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.33 | Forward PE 5.08 | Enterprise Value 37482569728 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 |
Enterprise Value 37482569728 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 530292180 | Shares Floating 527683134 |
Shares Outstanding 530292180 | Shares Floating 527683134 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 51.51 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Rithm Capital Corp.

Company Overview
History and Background
Rithm Capital Corp., formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp., was founded in 2011. It focuses on managing and investing in assets related to the residential real estate market.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Lending: Originates, acquires, and services residential mortgage loans.
- Investment Portfolio: Manages a diverse portfolio of mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), residential securities, and other real estate-related assets.
- Single Family Rental: Investment and management of single-family rental properties
- Consumer Lending: Offering unsecured personal loans to consumers
Leadership and Structure
Michael Nierenberg serves as the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President. The company operates with a structured management team overseeing various investment and operational segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs): Rithm Capital manages a substantial portfolio of MSRs. Competitors include PennyMac Financial Services, Mr. Cooper, and Lakeview Loan Servicing. Revenue from MSRs is a significant portion of Rithm's overall income.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: Rithm originates and acquires residential mortgage loans. Competitors include large banks like JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, as well as non-bank lenders like Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage.
- Single-Family Rentals: Rithm invests in and manages single-family rental properties. Competitors include Invitation Homes and American Homes 4 Rent.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The real estate and mortgage markets are influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and government policies. The industry is currently experiencing volatility due to rising interest rates and inflation.
Positioning
Rithm Capital is positioned as a diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on generating attractive risk-adjusted returns through its various investment strategies. The competitive advantage is their diversified business model.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for residential mortgages and real estate-related assets is multi-trillion dollars. Rithm Capital's positioning allows them to capture opportunities across various segments, contributing to a considerable TAM, but with a relatively small current percentage capture.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified investment portfolio
- Experienced management team
- Strong capital base
- Ability to generate income through various market conditions
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
- Exposure to credit risk in mortgage investments
- Complexity of managing a diversified portfolio
- Reliance on external financing
Opportunities
- Expansion into new real estate-related asset classes
- Increased demand for rental housing
- Acquisition of distressed assets
- Growth in the mortgage servicing market
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic recession
- Increased competition
- Changes in government regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ARR
- IVR
- TWO
Competitive Landscape
Rithm competes with other REITs and financial institutions. The competitive landscape is intense, with companies vying for market share in the mortgage and real estate sectors. Rithm advantages are diverse business model while disadvantages is the high interest rate.
Major Acquisitions
Genesis Capital LLC
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 325
- Strategic Rationale: Expand Rithm's presence in the residential lending market.
Sculptor Capital Management's Residential Mortgage Assets
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 361
- Strategic Rationale: Enhanced Rithm's MSR portfolio.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth trends require historical financial data.
Future Projections: Future projections require analyst estimates.
Recent Initiatives: Acquisitions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships.
Summary
Rithm Capital operates in a volatile market susceptible to interest rate changes, yet its diversified portfolio provides some buffer. Its strength lies in its ability to generate returns through various real estate-related assets. However, it needs to manage its exposure to interest rate risk and economic downturns. Successful acquisitions and continued diversification will be key to future growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Market data providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market data is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Rithm Capital Corp.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-05-02 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Michael Nierenberg | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees 6045 | Website https://www.rithmcap.com |
Full time employees 6045 | Website https://www.rithmcap.com |
Rithm Capital Corp. operates as an asset manager focused on real estate, credit, and financial services in the United States. It operates through Origination and Servicing, Investment Portfolio, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management segments. The company's investment portfolio primarily comprises of single-family rental properties, title, appraisal and property preservation and maintenance businesses; real estate securities, call rights, SFR properties, and residential mortgage loans; consumer and business purpose loans; and asset management related investments. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Capital Corp. in August 2022. Rithm Capital Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.

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