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RITM 
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: RITM (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
11 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $14.07
1 Year Target Price $14.07
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.67% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.28B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.77 | 1Y Target Price 14.07 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.77 | 1Y Target Price 14.07 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 1.22 | 52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 8.80% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.46 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 22.78% | Operating Margin (TTM) 25.12% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.06% | Return on Equity (TTM) 11.04% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.77 | Forward PE 5.08 | Enterprise Value 39405654016 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.59 |
Enterprise Value 39405654016 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.59 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 554196670 | Shares Floating 551896754 |
Shares Outstanding 554196670 | Shares Floating 551896754 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.43 | Percent Institutions 54.5 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Rithm Capital Corp.
Company Overview
History and Background
Rithm Capital Corp. (formerly Newcastle Investment Corp.) was founded in 2007. It has evolved from focusing primarily on real estate investments to a diversified alternative asset manager with interests in mortgage servicing rights, residential loans, and other real estate-related assets. The company rebranded as Rithm Capital in 2022 to reflect its broader investment strategy.
Core Business Areas
- Investment Portfolio: Investing in and managing a diverse portfolio of real estate-related assets.
- Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs): Owning and managing MSRs, which involve collecting mortgage payments on behalf of investors.
- Residential Loans: Investing in residential mortgage loans, including performing, non-performing, and reverse mortgage loans.
- Single Family Rentals: Investing in and managing Single Family Rental properties
Leadership and Structure
Michael J. Nierenberg is the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President. The company has a board of directors and a management team overseeing its various investment activities.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs): Rithm Capital is a significant player in the MSR market. Market share data is difficult to precisely quantify but they hold billions in MSR assets. Competitors include PennyMac Financial Services and Mr. Cooper Group.
- Residential Loans: Rithm invests in a range of residential loans. Market share varies based on loan type. Competitors include large banks and other REITs.
- Single Family Rentals: Rithm owns and operates many Single Family Rental homes. Competitors include Invitation Homes and American Homes 4 Rent.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The real estate and mortgage markets are influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and government policies. The MSR market is particularly sensitive to interest rate changes, affecting prepayment speeds and servicing values.
Positioning
Rithm Capital positions itself as a diversified alternative asset manager focused on opportunistic investments in real estate and related assets. Its scale and access to capital provide a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market (TAM) for real estate-related assets is vast, encompassing trillions of dollars. Rithm Capital is well-positioned to capitalize on opportunities within specific niches such as MSRs, residential loans, and real estate equity.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Diversified investment portfolio
- Experienced management team
- Significant capital base
- Scale in MSR market
Weaknesses
- Exposure to interest rate risk
- Complexity of investment portfolio
- Reliance on external management
- Sensitivity to regulatory changes
Opportunities
- Expansion into new asset classes
- Strategic acquisitions
- Growth in single-family rental market
- Capitalizing on distressed asset opportunities
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ARR
- IVR
- TWO
Competitive Landscape
Rithm Capital competes with other REITs, asset managers, and financial institutions. Its diversified portfolio and experienced management team provide a competitive advantage, but it faces challenges from larger and more established players.
Major Acquisitions
Genesis Capital
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 757
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Rithm's platform in the residential lending market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Rithm's growth has been driven by strategic acquisitions and investments in its core business areas.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by further expansion in existing markets and entry into new asset classes. Analyst estimates should be consulted.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic acquisitions, expansion of its investment portfolio, and continued investment in technology and infrastructure.
Summary
Rithm Capital is a diversified real estate investment trust with a strong presence in mortgage servicing rights and residential loans. Its experienced management team and diversified portfolio are strengths, but it faces risks from interest rate fluctuations and economic uncertainty. Strategic acquisitions and expansion into new markets could drive future growth. Staying abreast of regulatory changes is crucial for long-term success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Financial data is approximate and may be subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Rithm Capital Corp.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-05-02 | Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Michael Nierenberg | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees 6045 | Website https://www.rithmcap.com |
Full time employees 6045 | Website https://www.rithmcap.com | ||
Rithm Capital Corp. operates as an asset manager focused on real estate, credit, and financial services in the United States. It operates through Origination and Servicing, Investment Portfolio, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management segments. The company's investment portfolio primarily comprises of single-family rental properties, title, appraisal and property preservation and maintenance businesses; real estate securities, call rights, SFR properties, and residential mortgage loans; consumer and business purpose loans; and asset management related investments. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Capital Corp. in August 2022. Rithm Capital Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.
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