Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
RITM logo RITM
Upturn stock rating
RITM logo

Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM)

Upturn stock rating
$10.83
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/17/2025: RITM (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

11 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $14

1 Year Target Price $14

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$14 Target price
52w Low $8.73
Current$10.83
52w High $12.46

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 17.56%
Avg. Invested days 61
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.74B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.33
1Y Target Price 14
Price to earnings Ratio 8.33
1Y Target Price 14
Volume (30-day avg) 11
Beta 1.32
52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46
Updated Date 10/18/2025
52 Weeks Range 8.73 - 12.46
Updated Date 10/18/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 9.35%
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.3

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 21.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 30.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.89%
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.35%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.33
Forward PE 5.08
Enterprise Value 37482569728
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57
Enterprise Value 37482569728
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57
Enterprise Value to Revenue 13.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 530292180
Shares Floating 527683134
Shares Outstanding 530292180
Shares Floating 527683134
Percent Insiders 0.46
Percent Institutions 51.51

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Rithm Capital Corp.

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Rithm Capital Corp., formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp., was founded in 2011. It focuses on managing and investing in assets related to the residential real estate market.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Residential Lending: Originates, acquires, and services residential mortgage loans.
  • Investment Portfolio: Manages a diverse portfolio of mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), residential securities, and other real estate-related assets.
  • Single Family Rental: Investment and management of single-family rental properties
  • Consumer Lending: Offering unsecured personal loans to consumers

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Michael Nierenberg serves as the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President. The company operates with a structured management team overseeing various investment and operational segments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSRs): Rithm Capital manages a substantial portfolio of MSRs. Competitors include PennyMac Financial Services, Mr. Cooper, and Lakeview Loan Servicing. Revenue from MSRs is a significant portion of Rithm's overall income.
  • Residential Mortgage Loans: Rithm originates and acquires residential mortgage loans. Competitors include large banks like JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo, as well as non-bank lenders like Rocket Mortgage and United Wholesale Mortgage.
  • Single-Family Rentals: Rithm invests in and manages single-family rental properties. Competitors include Invitation Homes and American Homes 4 Rent.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The real estate and mortgage markets are influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and government policies. The industry is currently experiencing volatility due to rising interest rates and inflation.

Positioning

Rithm Capital is positioned as a diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on generating attractive risk-adjusted returns through its various investment strategies. The competitive advantage is their diversified business model.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for residential mortgages and real estate-related assets is multi-trillion dollars. Rithm Capital's positioning allows them to capture opportunities across various segments, contributing to a considerable TAM, but with a relatively small current percentage capture.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Diversified investment portfolio
  • Experienced management team
  • Strong capital base
  • Ability to generate income through various market conditions

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
  • Exposure to credit risk in mortgage investments
  • Complexity of managing a diversified portfolio
  • Reliance on external financing

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new real estate-related asset classes
  • Increased demand for rental housing
  • Acquisition of distressed assets
  • Growth in the mortgage servicing market

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Economic recession
  • Increased competition
  • Changes in government regulations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ARR
  • IVR
  • TWO

Competitive Landscape

Rithm competes with other REITs and financial institutions. The competitive landscape is intense, with companies vying for market share in the mortgage and real estate sectors. Rithm advantages are diverse business model while disadvantages is the high interest rate.

Major Acquisitions

Genesis Capital LLC

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 325
  • Strategic Rationale: Expand Rithm's presence in the residential lending market.

Sculptor Capital Management's Residential Mortgage Assets

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 361
  • Strategic Rationale: Enhanced Rithm's MSR portfolio.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth trends require historical financial data.

Future Projections: Future projections require analyst estimates.

Recent Initiatives: Acquisitions, expansion into new markets, and strategic partnerships.

Summary

Rithm Capital operates in a volatile market susceptible to interest rate changes, yet its diversified portfolio provides some buffer. Its strength lies in its ability to generate returns through various real estate-related assets. However, it needs to manage its exposure to interest rate risk and economic downturns. Successful acquisitions and continued diversification will be key to future growth.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Market data providers

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market data is subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Rithm Capital Corp.

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-05-02
Chairman, President & CEO Mr. Michael Nierenberg
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 6045
Full time employees 6045

Rithm Capital Corp. operates as an asset manager focused on real estate, credit, and financial services in the United States. It operates through Origination and Servicing, Investment Portfolio, Residential Transitional Lending, and Asset Management segments. The company's investment portfolio primarily comprises of single-family rental properties, title, appraisal and property preservation and maintenance businesses; real estate securities, call rights, SFR properties, and residential mortgage loans; consumer and business purpose loans; and asset management related investments. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as New Residential Investment Corp. and changed its name to Rithm Capital Corp. in August 2022. Rithm Capital Corp. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.