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ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: ARR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17.33
1 Year Target Price $17.33
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.01% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 7 | Beta 1.37 | 52 Weeks Range 12.22 - 18.11 | Updated Date 08/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.22 - 18.11 | Updated Date 08/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 19.10% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.37 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -140.05% | Operating Margin (TTM) 123.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.22% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.04% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.91 | Enterprise Value 12298145792 | Price to Sales(TTM) 84.81 |
Enterprise Value 12298145792 | Price to Sales(TTM) 84.81 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 331.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.31 | Shares Outstanding 115340000 | Shares Floating 91328379 |
Shares Outstanding 115340000 | Shares Floating 91328379 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 40.56 |
Upturn AI SWOT
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. was founded in 2009 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida. It is a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): ARMOUR invests primarily in agency MBS, which are securities backed by residential mortgages and guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. These investments generate income from the difference between the interest earned on the MBS and the cost of financing them.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of Jeffrey Zimmer (CEO) and Mark Gruber (CFO). The company operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and is structured to pass income directly to shareholders through dividends.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): ARMOUR primarily invests in agency MBS. The market share of individual REITs in the overall agency MBS market is not readily available, but ARMOUR is a significant player among smaller REITs specializing in this area. Competitors include larger REITs and institutional investors that also invest in agency MBS.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The residential MBS market is influenced by interest rates, housing market conditions, and government policies. REITs specializing in this market are sensitive to changes in these factors, particularly interest rate volatility and prepayment speeds.
Positioning
ARMOUR is positioned as a specialist in agency MBS, focusing on generating income through leveraged investments. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in managing interest rate risk and prepayment risk within this specific asset class.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for agency MBS is in the trillions of dollars. ARMOUR's position is a small fraction of this, focusing on specific segments and employing leverage to enhance returns.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Specialization in agency MBS
- Experienced management team
- High dividend yield (can be a strength if sustainable)
Weaknesses
- High sensitivity to interest rate changes
- Reliance on leverage
- External management structure can create conflicts of interest
Opportunities
- Expansion into related asset classes
- Increased demand for agency MBS
- Strategic partnerships
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Increased prepayment speeds
- Changes in government regulations
- Economic downturn affecting housing market
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AGNC
- NLY
- IVR
Competitive Landscape
ARMOUR faces competition from larger and more diversified REITs. Its advantage lies in its specialization, but it faces challenges related to its smaller size and reliance on leverage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been dependent on the company's ability to increase its MBS portfolio and manage its interest rate exposure. Growth trends need to be retrieved from the most recent SEC Filings
Future Projections: Future projections are based on analyst estimates and depend on factors like interest rate forecasts, housing market outlook, and the company's ability to manage its portfolio effectively.
Recent Initiatives: ARMOUR's recent initiatives would involve portfolio adjustments, hedging strategies, and capital management decisions, all available within recent quarterly or annual reporting. Specific details must be retrieved.
Summary
ARMOUR Residential REIT specializes in agency MBS, offering a high dividend yield, but it is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations. Its small size and leverage pose risks. Success depends on navigating interest rate volatility and maintaining profitability. It needs to be cautious with hedging strategies in the current economic climate.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Website
- Analyst Reports
- Market Data Providers
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Vero Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-12-03 | CEO and Vice Chairman Mr. Scott Jeffrey Ulm J.D. | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | Website https://www.armourreit.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.armourreit.com |
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.

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