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Upturn AI SWOT - About
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
04/22/2025: ARR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.04% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 04/22/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.31B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 17.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3459413 | Beta 1.24 | 52 Weeks Range 12.96 - 19.51 | Updated Date 04/25/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.96 - 19.51 | Updated Date 04/25/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 18.82% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.51 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-04-23 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.8735 | Actual 0.86 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.52% | Operating Margin (TTM) 67.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -0.11% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.91 | Enterprise Value 12305872896 | Price to Sales(TTM) 29.19 |
Enterprise Value 12305872896 | Price to Sales(TTM) 29.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.31 | Shares Outstanding 79968000 | Shares Floating 81453573 |
Shares Outstanding 79968000 | Shares Floating 81453573 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.35 | Percent Institutions 41.98 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 20 | Buy - | Strong Buy - |
Buy - | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. was founded in 2009 and is a real estate investment trust that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities.
Core Business Areas
- Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS): ARMOUR invests primarily in U.S. Agency RMBS, which are guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These securities are backed by residential mortgages.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Scott J. Ulm as CEO. The organizational structure consists of investment management and operational teams focused on asset selection, risk management, and portfolio administration.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency RMBS Investments: ARMOUR invests in RMBS guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or GSEs. Market share data specific to ARMOUR's RMBS holdings isn't publicly available at a granular level. Competitors include other REITs and institutional investors. Competitors: Annaly Capital Management (NLY), AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mortgage REIT industry is sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and changes in the housing market. The current environment includes uncertainty surrounding the future direction of interest rates.
Positioning
ARMOUR positions itself as a specialist in agency RMBS. Its competitive advantage lies in its expertise in managing and hedging interest rate risk associated with these securities.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM is the total value of outstanding RMBS. Due to the large and liquid nature of the RMBS market, it's hard to quantify. ARMOUR's positioning involves capturing a percentage of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Expertise in agency RMBS investments
- Active risk management strategy
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate changes
- Reliance on external financing
- High volatility in earnings
Opportunities
- Potential for increased returns in a stable interest rate environment
- Expansion into other types of mortgage-related assets
- Strategic partnerships with mortgage originators
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition from other mortgage REITs
- Changes in government regulations
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NLY
- AGNC
- IVR
Competitive Landscape
ARMOUR faces stiff competition from larger, well-established mortgage REITs. ARMOUR has a smaller portfolio and market capitalization, making it more vulnerable to market shocks.
Major Acquisitions
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is tied to changes in the RMBS market and company management decisions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on interest rate environments and management's investment strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Company initiatives need to be monitored through press releases and investor presentations.
Summary
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. focuses on agency RMBS and is sensitive to interest rate movements. It distributes a monthly dividend stream with variability. Its financial performance is closely tied to interest rate conditions and the housing market. Investors should closely monitor these market dynamics and ARMOUR's performance when investing and make sure it is a company that provides a high rating of dividend safety.
Similar Companies
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp
IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
IVR
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc
NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Press Releases
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and analyst opinions are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Vero Beach, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2007-12-03 | CEO and Vice Chairman Mr. Scott Jeffrey Ulm J.D. | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | Website https://www.armourreit.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.armourreit.com | ||
ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.
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