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ARR
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$16.81
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY1.63%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 29 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: ARR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

7 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Year Target Price $16.67

Year Target Price $16.67

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$16.67Target price
Low$12.59
Current$16.81
high$18.96

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -9.55%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.36B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 16.67
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 16.67
Volume (30-day avg) 7
Beta 1.35
52 Weeks Range 12.59 - 18.96
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 12.59 - 18.96
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 17.37%
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.43

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -3.52%
Operating Margin (TTM) 67.53%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) -0.11%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 5.91
Enterprise Value 12410511360
Price to Sales(TTM) 30.27
Enterprise Value 12410511360
Price to Sales(TTM) 30.27
Enterprise Value to Revenue 332.37
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.31
Shares Outstanding 81749504
Shares Floating 81447850
Shares Outstanding 81749504
Shares Floating 81447850
Percent Insiders 0.36
Percent Institutions 53.41

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 16.67
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. was founded in 2009 and is a Maryland corporation that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on a leveraged basis.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS): ARMOUR invests primarily in U.S. Agency MBS, which are issued or guaranteed by U.S. government agencies or government-sponsored enterprises, such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of experienced professionals in finance and real estate. The company operates with a traditional corporate structure with a Board of Directors overseeing management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Agency MBS: ARMOUR's primary investment is in Agency MBS, focusing on fixed-rate, hybrid adjustable-rate, and adjustable-rate MBS. Market share data is complex due to the broad MBS market; ARMOUR's share is relatively small compared to the overall market. Competitors include other REITs specializing in MBS, as well as institutional investors.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The residential MBS market is influenced by interest rates, economic conditions, and government policies. REITs face challenges from interest rate volatility and changes in prepayment speeds.

Positioning

ARMOUR is a smaller player in the MBS REIT market. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on agency MBS and its expertise in managing interest rate risk. The market is competitive and depends on interest rate movement and economic factors.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for MBS is in the trillions of dollars. ARMOUR is positioned to capture a small fraction of this market, heavily dependent on its ability to leverage capital and manage risk effectively.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Focus on agency MBS reduces credit risk
  • Experienced management team
  • High dividend yield (though susceptible to fluctuations)

Weaknesses

  • High sensitivity to interest rate changes
  • Reliance on leverage
  • External management structure could create conflicts of interest

Opportunities

  • Expansion into other types of MBS
  • Increased demand for housing finance
  • Strategic partnerships with other financial institutions

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Increased prepayment risk
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Economic recession

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • AGNC
  • NLY
  • TWO

Competitive Landscape

ARMOUR faces strong competition from larger, more established REITs. Its competitive advantage lies in its specialized knowledge of the agency MBS market. Competitors have larger capital bases and broader portfolios. ARMOUR has less negotiating leverage compared to larger peers. The market share comparison is based on total asset size compared to total market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: ARMOUR's growth has been largely dependent on its ability to raise capital and deploy it into MBS. Past growth has been erratic due to changes in interest rates and prepayment speeds.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are subject to uncertainty and depend on factors such as interest rate trends, the overall economic outlook, and the company's ability to manage risk.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives likely include adjustments to the portfolio to mitigate interest rate risk and improve returns. These must be dynamically updated

Summary

ARMOUR Residential REIT is a specialized investor in agency MBS. The company's success depends on its ability to manage interest rate risk and generate returns in a volatile market. The company should look to become better at managing interest rate risk and become more diversified in a turbulent market. The recent lack of dividend payment reflects financial instability.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor presentations, Analyst reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is an approximation.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Vero Beach, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 2007-12-03
CEO and Vice Chairman Mr. Scott Jeffrey Ulm J.D.
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees -
Full time employees -

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (MBS) in the United States. Its securities portfolio primarily consists of the United States Government-sponsored entity's (GSE) and the Government National Mortgage Administration's issued or guaranteed securities backed by fixed rate, hybrid adjustable rate, and adjustable-rate home loans; and unsecured notes and bonds issued by the GSE and the United States treasuries, as well as money market instruments. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust. As a result, it would not be subject to corporate income tax on that portion of its net income that is distributed to shareholders. ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Vero Beach, Florida.