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Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc (IVR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: IVR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $8
1 Year Target Price $8
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -7.48% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 612.26M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.98 | 1Y Target Price 8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.98 | 1Y Target Price 8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta 1.67 | 52 Weeks Range 5.37 - 9.03 | Updated Date 12/25/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 5.37 - 9.03 | Updated Date 12/25/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 16.47% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.48 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 73.7% | Operating Margin (TTM) 92.29% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.89% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.55% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.98 | Forward PE 3.96 | Enterprise Value 5871346176 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.47 |
Enterprise Value 5871346176 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.79 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 70945571 | Shares Floating 70690876 |
Shares Outstanding 70945571 | Shares Floating 70690876 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.36 | Percent Institutions 49.64 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) was established in 2007. It operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) and is externally managed by Invesco Advisers, Inc. Its primary focus is investing in a diversified portfolio of real estate-related assets, with a significant emphasis on agency and non-agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and other credit-sensitive instruments. The company has navigated various market cycles, adapting its investment strategy in response to evolving interest rate environments and credit market conditions.
Core Business Areas
- Agency MBS: Investing in mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by government-sponsored entities (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which carry minimal credit risk.
- Non-Agency MBS: Investing in mortgage-backed securities not guaranteed by GSEs, which typically offer higher yields but also carry greater credit risk.
- Other Credit Investments: Engaging in investments in other credit-sensitive assets, such as commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), asset-backed securities (ABS), and unsecured debt obligations.
- Financing and Securitization: Utilizing various financing structures and securitization techniques to manage its portfolio and generate returns.
Leadership and Structure
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is an externally managed REIT. Its management team is provided by Invesco Advisers, Inc., a subsidiary of Invesco Ltd. The company's day-to-day operations, investment decisions, and strategic direction are overseen by this management team, who act as fiduciaries for the company and its shareholders. Specific details on the current leadership team are typically found in the company's SEC filings (e.g., 10-K, proxy statements).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: These are the core of IVR's investment strategy, providing relatively stable income and lower credit risk. Competitors in this space include other mortgage REITs and institutional investors that also focus on agency MBS. Market share data for specific mortgage REIT holdings is not publicly disclosed in a standardized format, but the overall agency MBS market is vast.
- Non-Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: These offer higher potential returns but involve greater credit risk. The market for non-agency MBS is more specialized, with competitors including other specialized REITs, hedge funds, and private credit funds. Specific market share for IVR within this segment is not readily available.
- Other Credit-Sensitive Assets: This broad category includes various fixed-income instruments with varying degrees of credit risk. The competitive landscape is diverse, involving a wide range of institutional investors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The mortgage REIT industry operates within the broader financial services and real estate sectors. Key drivers include interest rate movements, credit market conditions, housing market trends, and regulatory changes. The industry is characterized by its sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations, as changes can impact the value of MBS portfolios and the cost of financing.
Positioning
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. positions itself as an active investor in mortgage-backed securities and related credit instruments. Its strategy often involves leveraging its expertise in securitized products and its ability to manage interest rate and credit risk through various hedging and financing strategies. Its competitive advantage lies in its affiliation with Invesco, a global asset management firm, which can provide access to research, talent, and capital.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for mortgage-backed securities and related credit instruments is in the trillions of dollars globally. Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates within a segment of this market, focusing on specific types of MBS and credit assets. Its positioning is as a specialized investor within this vast market, not aiming to capture the entire TAM but to generate returns from its chosen segments.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced management team through its external advisor, Invesco Advisers, Inc.
- Diversified portfolio of mortgage-related assets.
- Access to Invesco's global resources and research capabilities.
- Ability to utilize leverage to enhance returns.
- Focus on income generation through interest and dividend payments.
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate risk and its impact on portfolio valuation and financing costs.
- Exposure to credit risk, particularly in non-agency MBS.
- Reliance on external management, which can create agency issues.
- High dividend payouts can limit retained earnings for growth.
- Challenging market conditions can significantly impact profitability.
Opportunities
- Potential for attractive yields in certain segments of the MBS market.
- Opportunities to diversify into related credit-sensitive assets.
- Leveraging market dislocations to acquire assets at favorable prices.
- Potential for strategic partnerships or acquisitions.
- Benefiting from a rising interest rate environment if managed effectively.
Threats
- Adverse movements in interest rates (e.g., sharp increases or decreases).
- Deterioration of credit conditions leading to defaults or price declines in MBS.
- Increased competition from other mortgage REITs and investors.
- Regulatory changes impacting the MBS market or REIT structures.
- Recessionary economic conditions impacting housing and credit markets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
- New Residential Investment Corp. (NRZ)
- Anworth Mortgage Asset Corporation (ANH)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT)
Competitive Landscape
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates in a highly competitive mortgage REIT landscape. Its advantages include its affiliation with Invesco and its diversified investment strategy. However, it faces challenges from competitors with potentially lower cost of capital, more aggressive growth strategies, or specialized investment niches. The ability to effectively manage interest rate risk and credit risk is paramount for competitive success.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The historical growth of Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has been closely tied to its ability to grow its investment portfolio and generate consistent net interest income, while managing interest rate and credit risks. Growth has often been achieved through capital raises and the strategic acquisition of MBS and other credit assets. Periods of favorable market conditions have allowed for portfolio expansion, while challenging environments have necessitated a more defensive approach or asset dispositions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. are contingent upon several factors, including the future path of interest rates, the health of the credit markets, and the company's ability to execute its investment strategy. Analyst estimates typically focus on projected earnings, dividend sustainability, and potential portfolio growth. Projections often consider the outlook for agency and non-agency MBS, as well as the company's leverage levels and financing costs.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. would likely focus on portfolio adjustments in response to current market dynamics, such as rebalancing between agency and non-agency MBS, optimizing its financing structures, and potentially exploring new investment opportunities within the broader credit landscape. Specific strategic actions are detailed in the company's quarterly and annual reports.
Summary
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a mortgage REIT focused on income generation from MBS and credit assets. Its strengths lie in its experienced management and affiliation with Invesco. However, it is highly sensitive to interest rate and credit risks, which have led to volatile financial performance. To thrive, IVR must effectively navigate these market dynamics, optimize its portfolio, and manage its leverage cautiously.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Reputable Financial Data Providers (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Refinitiv)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting thorough due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2009-06-26 | CEO - | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | |
Full time employees - | |||
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests, finances, and manages mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets in the United States. It invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) that are guaranteed by the United States (U.S.) government agency or federally chartered corporation; RMBS and CMBS that are not issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government agency or federally chartered corporation; the U.S. treasury securities; real estate-related financing arrangements; to-be-announced securities forward contracts to purchase RMBS; and commercial mortgage loans. It has elected to be taxed as a REIT and would be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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