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RXO Inc. (RXO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: RXO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $16.28
1 Year Target Price $16.28
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
14 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -2.15% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.68B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.28 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.28 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.55 | 52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 31.98 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 31.98 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.24 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-07 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.03 | Actual 0.04 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.54% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.43% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 116.28 | Enterprise Value 3342191357 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 |
Enterprise Value 3342191357 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 71.62 | Shares Outstanding 163987008 | Shares Floating 134456417 |
Shares Outstanding 163987008 | Shares Floating 134456417 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.29 | Percent Institutions 107.21 |
Upturn AI SWOT
RXO Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
RXO Inc. was spun off from XPO Logistics in November 2022, becoming a separate publicly traded company. It builds upon XPO's brokerage platform and technology-driven approach to transportation solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Freight Brokerage: RXO connects shippers with carriers to transport freight across various modes, optimizing routes and managing capacity. Uses technology to match demand and supply.
- Managed Transportation: RXO provides end-to-end supply chain management services, including planning, execution, and reporting for shippers.
Leadership and Structure
Drew Wilkerson is the Chief Executive Officer. The company has a traditional corporate structure with functional departments like operations, finance, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- RXO Connect: A digital freight marketplace that connects shippers with carriers in real-time. Allows automated bidding and tracking. Exact market share data is variable and dependent on overall freight brokerage market estimations and RXO's own reported revenue and volume growth. Competitors include C.H. Robinson, Echo Global Logistics, and Uber Freight.
- RXO Drive: A mobile app for carriers to find and book loads, submit paperwork, and get paid quickly. Exact number of users can fluctuate but RXO has stated that this is key to the overall strategy. Competitors include similar carrier facing apps from other brokerage firms.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The freight brokerage industry is characterized by fragmentation, cyclicality, and increasing adoption of technology. Demand is driven by overall economic activity and supply chain dynamics.
Positioning
RXO positions itself as a technology-driven freight brokerage provider, leveraging its digital platform and data analytics to offer efficient and transparent solutions. Its scale and expertise from XPO provide a competitive advantage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global freight brokerage market is estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars. RXO is positioned to capture a significant share through its technology platform and focus on efficiency.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Technology platform (RXO Connect)
- Experienced management team
- Large carrier network
- Scalable business model
- Strong focus on innovation
Weaknesses
- Reliance on economic conditions
- Integration risks associated with technology upgrades
- High competition in the freight brokerage market
- Relatively short operating history as an independent company
Opportunities
- Increasing adoption of digital freight platforms
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Strategic acquisitions to expand service offerings
- Growth in e-commerce and last-mile delivery
- Leveraging data analytics to improve efficiency
Threats
- Economic downturns and reduced freight demand
- Increased competition from established players and new entrants
- Fluctuations in fuel prices and transportation costs
- Regulatory changes impacting the transportation industry
- Cybersecurity risks and data breaches
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CHRW
- ECHO
- UBER
Competitive Landscape
RXO competes with both large established players and smaller niche providers. RXO's technology and scale are key advantages. Competitors such as Uber are investing significantly into the space, which creates more competition.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been based on market conditions and organic revenue increases as well as increased adoption of the RXO digital platforms.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth based on the increasing adoption of digital freight brokerage platforms and RXO's ability to capture market share.
Recent Initiatives: RXO is investing heavily in its technology platform, expanding its carrier network, and pursuing strategic partnerships to drive growth.
Summary
RXO is a relatively new company with a strong foundation due to the XPO spin off. The company is poised to benefit from the increasing digitalization of the freight brokerage industry. However, it faces significant competition and macroeconomic headwinds. Continued investment in technology and strategic partnerships will be critical for future growth.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- RXO Investor Relations
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About RXO Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Charlotte, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-10-27 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Drew M. Wilkerson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. The company offers truckload freight brokering services. It also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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