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RXO Inc. (RXO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/10/2025: RXO (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16.5
1 Year Target Price $16.5
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
14 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 16.77% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.59 | 52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 32.82 | Updated Date 07/10/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 32.82 | Updated Date 07/10/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -6.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.22% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 156.25 | Enterprise Value 3491635672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 |
Enterprise Value 3491635672 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 71.62 | Shares Outstanding 163916000 | Shares Floating 134391553 |
Shares Outstanding 163916000 | Shares Floating 134391553 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.28 | Percent Institutions 109.61 |
Upturn AI SWOT
RXO Inc.
Company Overview
History and Background
RXO Inc. was spun off from XPO Logistics in November 2022, becoming a standalone, tech-enabled freight transportation platform. XPO began in 1989 as Express-1, later acquiring Concert Group Logistics in 2011 before being acquired by Bradley Jacobs in 2011 and renamed XPO Logistics. The spin-off was intended to allow both companies to focus on their respective core competencies and unlock shareholder value.
Core Business Areas
- Brokerage: RXO connects shippers with carriers through its technology platform, enabling efficient matching of freight capacity with demand. They broker freight across various modes including truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), and intermodal.
- Managed Transportation: RXO manages transportation operations for shippers, providing services such as network design, procurement, and freight payment. They leverage technology to optimize transportation costs and improve efficiency.
- Last Mile: RXO offers last-mile delivery services for heavy goods, focusing on providing reliable and customer-centric delivery solutions.
- Global Forwarding: RXO handles end-to-end global logistics using a network of air, sea, and land transportation providers.
Leadership and Structure
Drew Wilkerson serves as the Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure is designed around its core business segments, with functional teams supporting operations, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- RXO Connect: RXO Connect is their proprietary digital freight marketplace that connects shippers and carriers. While precise market share data specifically for RXO Connect is not publicly available, digital freight brokerages are rapidly gaining traction. Competitors include C.H. Robinson's Navisphere, Uber Freight, and Convoy.
- RXO Drive: RXO Drive is their carrier-facing mobile app for finding and managing loads. Adoption rates are a key metric. Competitors include Transfix and other carrier management platforms.
- Managed Transportation Solutions: These solutions allow shippers to outsource their transportation planning and execution. Market share data varies by industry and geography. Competitors include third-party logistics (3PL) providers like Echo Global Logistics and GlobalTranz.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The freight brokerage industry is fragmented and competitive, experiencing growth driven by e-commerce and increasing demand for efficient transportation solutions. Technological advancements are transforming the industry, with digital platforms gaining prominence.
Positioning
RXO Inc. aims to be a leading tech-enabled freight brokerage platform, differentiating itself through its technology, scale, and service offerings. Its competitive advantages lie in its digital platform (RXO Connect), extensive carrier network, and managed transportation expertise.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global third-party logistics market is estimated to be worth over $1 trillion. RXO Inc. is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM by leveraging its technology and service offerings. RXO is one of the largest freight brokerage companies in the world. As the freight market continues to grow globally, it is positioned to capture a larger part of it.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Tech-enabled platform (RXO Connect)
- Large carrier network
- Experienced management team
- Strong customer relationships
- Scalable business model
Weaknesses
- Relatively new standalone company
- Dependence on economic conditions
- Integration risk from acquisitions
- Highly competitive market
- Exposure to fuel price volatility
Opportunities
- Further penetration of digital freight brokerage market
- Expansion of managed transportation services
- Acquisitions of smaller freight brokerages
- Leveraging data analytics to optimize operations
- Growth in e-commerce and cross-border trade
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition from digital freight brokerages
- Disruptive technologies (e.g., autonomous trucks)
- Regulatory changes impacting transportation
- Cybersecurity risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CHRW
- ECHO
- JBHT
- SAIA
Competitive Landscape
RXO competes with both traditional and digital freight brokerages. Its tech-enabled platform and managed transportation expertise provide a competitive advantage, but it faces challenges from larger and more established players.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: RXO Inc.'s historical growth is tied to XPO Logistics prior to the spin-off. Since the spin-off, growth has been driven by the expansion of its technology platform and the growth of the freight brokerage market.
Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on factors such as macroeconomic conditions, adoption of digital freight brokerage solutions, and RXO Inc.'s ability to execute its strategic initiatives. Analysts estimate growth in line with the freight brokerage market.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the expansion of RXO Connect, partnerships with strategic carriers, and investments in technology development.
Summary
RXO is a new company since its spin-off, with it being positioned well in the freight market industry due to its technology driven methods. The company is small relative to other players in the market. RXO has a lot of potential, however the management team will need to focus on market share, and cost-effective methods to beat out other competitors.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10K, 10Q), Press Releases, Investor Presentations, Market Research Reports, Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. This is AI-based analysis. Consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About RXO Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Charlotte, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-10-27 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Drew M. Wilkerson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. The company offers truckload freight brokering services. It also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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