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RXO Inc. (RXO)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: RXO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $15.41
1 Year Target Price $15.41
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -41.75% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.41 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 15.41 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.62 | 52 Weeks Range 10.43 - 26.92 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 10.43 - 26.92 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.34 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -1.33% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.14% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) -4.89% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 294.12 | Enterprise Value 3015287600 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38 |
Enterprise Value 3015287600 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.38 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 51.99 | Shares Outstanding 164111872 | Shares Floating 134412547 |
Shares Outstanding 164111872 | Shares Floating 134412547 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.32 | Percent Institutions 110.95 |
Upturn AI SWOT
RXO Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
RXO Inc. was spun off from XPO Logistics in November 2022. It is a less-than-truckload (LTL) freight transportation provider. The company aims to leverage technology and a strong network to offer differentiated services.
Core Business Areas
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services: RXO provides comprehensive LTL services, moving shipments that are too large for parcel carriers but too small to fill an entire truck. This includes terminal operations, linehaul, and local pickup and delivery.
- Brokerage Services: The company also offers freight brokerage services, connecting shippers with carriers across various modes, including truckload and LTL, to optimize capacity and cost.
- Managed Transportation: RXO provides outsourced transportation management solutions, leveraging its network and technology to manage a shipper's entire freight operation.
Leadership and Structure
RXO Inc. is led by a management team with experience in the logistics and transportation industry. Further details on specific leadership roles and the organizational structure would typically be found in their annual reports and investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- LTL Freight Transportation: RXO's core offering involves the movement of LTL freight. While specific market share for this segment alone is difficult to isolate without proprietary data, RXO operates within a highly competitive LTL market. Key competitors include FedEx Freight, UPS Freight (now TForce Freight), Old Dominion Freight Line, and XPO Logistics (its former parent). Revenue generated specifically from LTL services is a significant portion of the company's overall revenue, though exact figures would be in their financial statements.
- Freight Brokerage: This service provides a platform for shippers to access a wide network of carriers. Competitors in this space include C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Echo Global Logistics, and TQL. Market share for brokerage is fragmented, and RXO aims to differentiate through its integrated network and technology.
- Managed Transportation Solutions: This involves comprehensive logistics management for clients. The market is served by various 3PLs and logistics providers, and RXO's competitive advantage lies in its carrier network and technological capabilities.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The freight transportation industry, particularly LTL, is characterized by a strong demand driven by e-commerce and manufacturing. It is a cyclical industry influenced by economic conditions. Technology adoption, driver shortages, and fuel costs are key factors impacting operations. The LTL market is consolidating, with a focus on service quality and network efficiency.
Positioning
RXO aims to position itself as a technology-driven freight transportation provider with a strong focus on LTL services. Its competitive advantages are expected to stem from its extensive network, a commitment to service reliability, and leveraging technology to enhance efficiency and customer experience. The recent spin-off allows it to focus exclusively on its core LTL and brokerage operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for LTL freight in the US is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars annually. RXO is a significant player within this market, though it holds a smaller share compared to the largest incumbents. Its positioning aims to capture a larger share through differentiated service and network optimization.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established LTL network and operational infrastructure.
- Strong brand recognition inherited from XPO Logistics.
- Focus on technology and innovation to enhance efficiency.
- Experienced management team in the logistics sector.
- Diversified service offerings (LTL, brokerage, managed transport).
Weaknesses
- As a newly spun-off entity, it may face initial challenges in establishing its independent identity and operational efficiencies.
- Competition from larger, well-established LTL carriers with deeper pockets and longer track records.
- Dependence on economic cycles and freight volumes.
- Potential for integration challenges post-spin-off.
- Labor market challenges (e.g., driver shortages) impacting capacity.
Opportunities
- Growth in e-commerce driving demand for LTL services.
- Leveraging technology for enhanced visibility, efficiency, and customer service.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to expand network or service capabilities.
- Increasing demand for integrated supply chain solutions.
- Gaining market share from less efficient competitors.
Threats
- Economic downturns reducing freight volumes.
- Rising fuel costs impacting operating expenses.
- Intense competition and pricing pressures.
- Regulatory changes impacting transportation operations.
- Technological disruption from new entrants or advanced solutions.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FedEx Freight (FDX)
- UPS Freight (TForce Freight - TFII)
- Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)
- XPO Logistics (XPO)
Competitive Landscape
RXO operates in a highly competitive LTL market dominated by large players. Its advantages lie in its focused strategy, technological investment, and an extensive network. However, it faces challenges in competing with the scale and brand recognition of giants like FedEx and UPS, and the established service reputation of Old Dominion. XPO, its former parent, remains a significant competitor. RXO's success will depend on its ability to offer superior service, competitive pricing, and innovative solutions.
Major Acquisitions
STG Logistics
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1000
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of STG Logistics aimed to significantly expand RXO's intermodal and cross-border capabilities, particularly in the drayage and deconsolidation sectors, strengthening its position in the West Coast market and enhancing its end-to-end supply chain solutions.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Prior to its spin-off, the LTL segment that now constitutes RXO Inc. experienced growth driven by market demand and XPO Logistics' strategic investments. Post-spin-off, RXO aims for accelerated growth by focusing on its core LTL and brokerage services, leveraging technology, and expanding its network.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for RXO Inc. would be based on analyst reports and company guidance. These projections likely focus on increased LTL market share, expansion of brokerage services, and the successful integration of technology to drive operational efficiencies and customer acquisition.
Recent Initiatives: Key recent initiatives include the successful separation from XPO Logistics, the establishment of its independent corporate structure, and the implementation of strategies to enhance its LTL network efficiency and customer service capabilities. Technology adoption and potential strategic partnerships or acquisitions are also likely areas of focus.
Summary
RXO Inc. is a newly independent LTL freight provider with a strong foundation and a clear strategic focus on technology and network optimization. Its recent spin-off from XPO Logistics and strategic acquisitions position it for growth within the competitive transportation sector. While facing established giants, RXO's commitment to innovation and service excellence provides a solid pathway for capturing market share. Key areas to monitor include its ability to execute growth initiatives and navigate industry challenges like driver shortages and economic volatility.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company investor relations materials (SEC filings: 10-K, 10-Q, S-1).
- Industry analysis reports.
- Financial news and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance).
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The market share data and competitive landscape are estimates and subject to change. Financial performance and projections are based on available public information and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About RXO Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Charlotte, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-10-27 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Drew M. Wilkerson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com | ||
RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. The company offers truckload freight brokering services. It also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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