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RXO Inc. (RXO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/17/2025: RXO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $16.24
1 Year Target Price $16.24
3 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
14 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
2 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -1.27% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.24 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 16.24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.56 | 52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 31.98 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 12.19 - 31.98 | Updated Date 09/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.54% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -28.43% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 42.55 | Enterprise Value 3527496937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value 3527496937 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 71.62 | Shares Outstanding 163987008 | Shares Floating 134446578 |
Shares Outstanding 163987008 | Shares Floating 134446578 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.29 | Percent Institutions 107.16 |
Upturn AI SWOT
RXO Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
RXO Inc. was spun off from XPO Logistics in November 2022. XPO acquired the freight brokerage business of Con-way Freight in 2015 which was folded into RXO. It operates as a standalone, tech-enabled freight brokerage platform.
Core Business Areas
- Freight Brokerage: RXO's primary service, connecting shippers with carriers to move freight. This involves sourcing capacity, negotiating rates, and managing the transportation process.
- Managed Transportation: RXO provides outsourced transportation management services, including network design, procurement, execution, and freight payment.
- Last Mile: RXO also provides last mile delivery services. Last mile is more specific and handles moving goods from a transportation hub to its final destination
Leadership and Structure
Drew Wilkerson is the CEO of RXO. The company has a board of directors and a management team overseeing various functional areas such as operations, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- RXO Connect: A proprietary technology platform that provides shippers and carriers with real-time visibility, automated matching, and streamlined communication. Market share data is difficult to specify precisely but RXO claims to be a top freight brokerage provider. Competitors include C.H. Robinson, Coyote Logistics (UPS), and TQL.
- RXO Drive: A mobile app for carriers to find and book loads, manage their schedules, and track payments. This is a key differentiator in attracting and retaining capacity. It is used by a large percentage of RXO's carrier network. Competitors are other brokerage apps and TMS solutions.
- RXO Direct: Direct load service is offered to RXO customers who want an easier and faster transport of their goods. Market share data is difficult to specify precisely but RXO claims to be a top freight brokerage provider. Competitors include C.H. Robinson, Coyote Logistics (UPS), and TQL.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The freight brokerage industry is highly fragmented and cyclical, influenced by factors such as economic growth, capacity availability, and fuel prices. Technology adoption is increasing, with shippers and carriers seeking more efficient and transparent solutions.
Positioning
RXO positions itself as a tech-enabled freight brokerage provider, emphasizing its digital platform, scale, and expertise. Its competitive advantages include its large carrier network, proprietary technology, and experienced team.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for freight brokerage in the US is estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars. RXO is positioned to capture a larger share through technology and service offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Tech-enabled platform (RXO Connect, RXO Drive)
- Large carrier network
- Experienced management team
- Scalable business model
- Strong brand recognition (inherited from XPO)
Weaknesses
- Reliance on economic cycles
- Integration risks associated with past acquisitions
- Competition from larger, established players
- Dependence on technology for core operations
- Relatively new company; limited independent operating history
Opportunities
- Increasing adoption of digital freight brokerage solutions
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Strategic partnerships with shippers and carriers
- Further development of its technology platform
- Consolidation opportunities within the fragmented freight brokerage market
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting freight demand
- Increased competition from new entrants
- Fluctuations in fuel prices and capacity availability
- Cybersecurity risks
- Changes in regulations impacting the transportation industry
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- CHRW
- UPS
- JBH
Competitive Landscape
RXO competes with large, established freight brokers and smaller, regional players. Its advantages include its technology platform and scale, while its disadvantages include its shorter operating history as a standalone company.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: RXO's historical growth is linked to the XPO Logistics freight brokerage business prior to the spin-off. Actual growth will need to be tracked.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for RXO's future growth are based on the demand for freight brokerage and the company's ability to gain market share through its technology platform.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include focusing on technology enhancements (RXO Connect), expanding its carrier network, and improving customer service.
Summary
RXO is a relatively new company spun off from XPO Logistics, operating in the competitive freight brokerage industry. Its tech-enabled platform and large carrier network are strengths. Economic cycles and competition pose challenges. RXO will need to focus on execution and technology innovation to achieve sustainable growth and market share gains. They are a potential disruptor in the transportation business.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Company Press Releases
- RXO Website
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Verify independently before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About RXO Inc.
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Charlotte, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2022-10-27 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Drew M. Wilkerson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
Full time employees 7540 | Website https://www.rxo.com |
RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. The company offers truckload freight brokering services. It also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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