Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc logo

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc(RXRX)

upturn advisory logo
ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 20 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+13.5% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$4.12
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RXRX

10/02/2026: RXRX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that distinguishes itself by using an AI-enabled platform to decode biology and accelerate drug discovery. Its primary strengths lie in its massive proprietary dataset and deep integration of machine learning with automated lab processes, supported by strategic partnerships with companies like NVIDIA. The company's growth story is centered on proving that its digital platform can successfully lead drug candidates to clinical approval. However, Recursion faces significant execution and competition risks, as the efficacy of its AI-led approach remains to be fully proven in clinical settings. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high tolerance for risk and a long-term time horizon.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to the intersection of AI and biotechnology.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum depends heavily on clinical milestones and partnership news cycles.
Value investorWeak fitThe company lacks current profitability and traditional valuation metrics are difficult to apply.
Dividend investorWeak fitRecursion is a reinvestment-focused company and does not pay dividends.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and the inherent uncertainty of drug discovery make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant swings based on clinical data releases and sector sentiment.
Valuation riskHighValuations are speculative and rely on long-term projections rather than current cash flow.
Competition risk (AI competition)Medium / highThe sector is crowded with well-funded competitors racing to prove AI efficacy.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform is robust, the company is still proving its ability to successfully commercialize drugs.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income component to this investment.
Execution riskHighThe complexity of merging AI discovery with clinical development presents significant execution challenges.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -64.78%
Avg. Invested days 12
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
RXRX receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
RXRX has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+26.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-39.1%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -506.5%), weak profitability (net margin -863.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
RXRX's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 45.1%). Operating efficiency is weak (1 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is RXRX's strongest growth driver at +26.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-39.1%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-1.5%, slightly negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 70.7% and approximately 96.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.04% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 9.38%
ARK Investment Management LLC 7.71%
State Street Corp 6.47%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.81%
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. 4.38%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
RXRX generates approximately $-620 of gross profit, $-8,679 of operating income, and $-5,065 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.02%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
RXRX has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.18B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.22
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 7.22
Volume (30-day avg) 19.2M shares
Beta 1.07
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 7.18
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 7.18
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.99

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Partnership CollaborationsUpfront payments, R&D funding, and potential milestone payments from partners.Revenue is largely driven by large pharma partners paying to use the Recursion OS.
Internal PipelineProprietary drug programs that may lead to future licensing or commercial products.This is the 'long-term bet' where successes in the pipeline could lead to future growth.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1.52B
Price to Sales(TTM) 39.79
Enterprise Value 1.52B
Price to Sales(TTM) 39.79
Enterprise Value to Revenue 28.26
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.31
Shares Outstanding 535.34M
Shares Floating 518.47M
Shares Outstanding 535.34M
Shares Floating 518.47M
Percent Insiders 2.04
Percent Institutions 70.65

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Salt Lake City, UT, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-16
CEO, President & Director Dr. Najat Khan Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 600
Full time employees 600

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company develops REC-4881, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial to treat familial adenomatous polyposis; REC-617, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat advanced solid tumors; REC-1245, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat biomarker-enriched solid tumors and lymphoma; REC-3565 that is in Phase 1/2 for the treatment of relapsed or refractory B-cell malignancies; and REC-4539, a reversible, CNS penetrant, orally bioavailable, and potential best-in-class inhibitor of LSD1 for the treatment of solid tumors and hematology oncology. Its preclinical stage product includes REC-7735 for the treatment of HR+ breast cancer; and REC-102 for the treatment of hypophosphatasia. The company has collaboration and agreement with Roche & Genentech; Sanofi; Bayer AG; Tempus; and Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited. Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.