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Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc(RXRX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RXRX
10/19/2026: RXRX (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 2 days. Simulated Profits (-4.68%). Updated daily EoD!
Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that distinguishes itself by using an AI-enabled platform to decode biology and accelerate drug discovery. Its primary strengths lie in its massive proprietary dataset and deep integration of machine learning with automated lab processes, supported by strategic partnerships with companies like NVIDIA. The company's growth story is centered on proving that its digital platform can successfully lead drug candidates to clinical approval. However, Recursion faces significant execution and competition risks, as the efficacy of its AI-led approach remains to be fully proven in clinical settings. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high tolerance for risk and a long-term time horizon.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to the intersection of AI and biotechnology. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends heavily on clinical milestones and partnership news cycles. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company lacks current profitability and traditional valuation metrics are difficult to apply. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Recursion is a reinvestment-focused company and does not pay dividends. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and the inherent uncertainty of drug discovery make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to significant swings based on clinical data releases and sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuations are speculative and rely on long-term projections rather than current cash flow. |
| Competition risk (AI competition) | Medium / high | The sector is crowded with well-funded competitors racing to prove AI efficacy. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the platform is robust, the company is still proving its ability to successfully commercialize drugs. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no income component to this investment. |
| Execution risk | High | The complexity of merging AI discovery with clinical development presents significant execution challenges. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -55.33% | Avg. Invested days 15 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.86B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 7.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 28.0M shares | Beta 1.03 | 52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 6.70 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 6.70 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.09 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Partnership Collaborations | Upfront payments, R&D funding, and potential milestone payments from partners. | Revenue is largely driven by large pharma partners paying to use the Recursion OS. |
| Internal Pipeline | Proprietary drug programs that may lead to future licensing or commercial products. | This is the 'long-term bet' where successes in the pipeline could lead to future growth. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1.52B | Price to Sales(TTM) 33.87 |
Enterprise Value 1.52B | Price to Sales(TTM) 33.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 28.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -5.31 | Shares Outstanding 535.34M | Shares Floating 518.51M |
Shares Outstanding 535.34M | Shares Floating 518.51M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.83 | Percent Institutions 64.44 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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