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Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR (SBSW)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: SBSW (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $12.63
1 Year Target Price $12.63
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -44.24% | Avg. Invested days 20 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.87B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.63 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.63 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 3.05 - 13.40 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.05 - 13.40 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.3 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.17% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) -5.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.64 | Enterprise Value 10282140918 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 |
Enterprise Value 10282140918 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.57 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 63.96 | Shares Outstanding 707641816 | Shares Floating 2824028654 |
Shares Outstanding 707641816 | Shares Floating 2824028654 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.01 | Percent Institutions 21.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Company Overview
History and Background
Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR (ticker: SBSW) is a South African precious metals producer that was established in 2013. It was spun off from Gold Fields Limited to focus on its older, lower-cost gold mines. Sibanye Gold has since undergone significant growth and diversification through a series of strategic acquisitions, expanding its portfolio to include platinum group metals (PGMs) and, more recently, the acquisition of Lonmin, a major platinum producer. This evolution has transformed Sibanye-Stillwater into one of the world's largest platinum group metals producers and a significant gold producer.
Core Business Areas
- Gold Operations: Exploration, mining, processing, and marketing of gold. The company operates several gold mines in South Africa.
- Platinum Group Metals (PGM) Operations: Extraction, processing, and sale of platinum, palladium, rhodium, ruthenium, iridium, and osmium. Sibanye-Stillwater is a leading global producer of PGMs, with significant operations in South Africa and the United States.
- Minerals Processing and Refining: The company also engages in the processing and refining of precious metals to produce marketable commodities.
Leadership and Structure
Sibanye-Stillwater is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. Neal Froneman serves as the Chief Executive Officer (CEO). The company is structured around its operational segments (gold and PGMs) with dedicated management for each.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gold: Physical gold bullion and doru00e9 bars produced from its mining operations. Market share data for individual commodity producers is difficult to ascertain precisely, but Sibanye-Stillwater is a significant global gold producer. Key competitors include Barrick Gold, Newmont Corporation, and AngloGold Ashanti.
- Platinum: Physical platinum produced from its PGM mines. Sibanye-Stillwater is one of the largest platinum producers globally. Key competitors include Anglo American Platinum, Impala Platinum Holdings, and Lonmin (now part of Sibanye-Stillwater).
- Palladium: Physical palladium produced from its PGM mines. The company is a significant palladium producer, with its US operations being a key source. Key competitors include Norilsk Nickel and Impala Platinum Holdings.
- Rhodium: Physical rhodium, a rare and valuable PGM. Sibanye-Stillwater is a major rhodium producer. Competitors are generally the same as for platinum and palladium.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The precious metals mining industry is cyclical, influenced by global economic conditions, inflation, geopolitical events, and supply/demand dynamics for gold, platinum, and palladium. The demand for gold is often driven by its role as a safe-haven asset, while PGM demand is closely tied to the automotive industry (catalytic converters) and industrial applications.
Positioning
Sibanye-Stillwater is positioned as a leading global producer of platinum group metals and a significant gold producer. Its competitive advantages include its substantial asset base, diversification across different precious metals, and its operational footprint in key mining jurisdictions. The company benefits from economies of scale and a strategy of consolidating and improving existing assets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for gold and PGMs is vast, encompassing global demand from investment, industrial, and jewelry sectors. The value of the global gold market is in the trillions of USD, and the PGM market is in the tens of billions of USD annually. Sibanye-Stillwater, as a major producer, captures a significant portion of the supply side of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leading global PGM producer
- Diversified precious metals portfolio (gold and PGMs)
- Significant operational scale and asset base
- Experienced management team
- Strategic acquisitions to enhance scale and diversification
Weaknesses
- High exposure to South African mining and associated risks (labor, regulatory, infrastructure)
- Vulnerability to commodity price volatility
- Significant debt from recent acquisitions
- Geopolitical risks in operating regions
Opportunities
- Growing demand for PGMs in catalytic converters (especially for stricter emissions standards)
- Increasing demand for platinum in hydrogen fuel cells
- Potential for further consolidation in the PGM sector
- Exploration and development of new mineral resources
- Leveraging its US PGM operations for diversification
Threats
- Declining automotive demand due to electric vehicles (long-term)
- Sustained low precious metal prices
- Labor strikes and industrial actions in South Africa
- Increasingly stringent environmental regulations
- Global economic downturn impacting demand
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Anglo American Platinum (AMS: AGL)
- Impala Platinum Holdings (JSE: IMP)
- Norilsk Nickel (MCX: GMKN)
- Barrick Gold (US: GOLD)
- Newmont Corporation (US: NEM)
Competitive Landscape
Sibanye-Stillwater holds a strong position in the PGM market due to its scale and diversification. Its advantages lie in its integrated operations and strategic acquisitions. However, it faces intense competition from established players and is heavily influenced by commodity price cycles and operational challenges in South Africa.
Major Acquisitions
Lonmin
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 357
- Strategic Rationale: To create a world-leading platinum group metals producer, enhancing scale, diversification, and operational synergies.
Stillwater Mining Company
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2700
- Strategic Rationale: To diversify into North American PGM production, reduce South African operational exposure, and gain access to high-margin palladium and platinum reserves.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Sibanye-Stillwater's historical growth has been largely driven by a strategy of aggressive, transformative acquisitions, particularly in the PGM sector. The company has rapidly scaled its operations through acquiring assets from larger mining houses, aiming to become a dominant player in the PGM market.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Sibanye-Stillwater will depend on its ability to integrate recent acquisitions, manage its debt, optimize production costs, and benefit from the expected demand for PGMs in emerging technologies like hydrogen fuel cells. Analyst estimates will typically focus on production volumes, commodity prices, and cost management.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have included the successful integration of Lonmin's PGM assets, the ongoing optimization of its gold and PGM operations, and strategic investments in battery metals and renewable energy projects. The company is also focused on improving its ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) performance.
Summary
Sibanye-Stillwater is a significant global player in precious metals, particularly PGMs, with a growth strategy heavily reliant on strategic acquisitions. Its strengths lie in its scale, diversified portfolio, and market leadership in PGMs. However, the company faces considerable weaknesses due to its substantial debt burden from acquisitions and its high exposure to the risks of South African mining operations. Opportunities exist in the growing demand for PGMs in new technologies, while threats include commodity price volatility and the long-term shift away from internal combustion engine vehicles.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Annual Reports (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News Agencies (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated based on publicly available information and financial data. It is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market share data and specific financial figures are subject to change and should be verified with the latest official company filings and reputable financial data providers. The AI-based rating is an automated assessment and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-02-11 | CEO & Executive Director Dr. Richard Andrew Stewart B.Sc., BSc (Hons), M.B.A., Ph.D., Pr.Sci.Nat. | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Other Precious Metals & Mining | Full time employees 57857 | |
Full time employees 57857 | |||
Sibanye Stillwater Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a precious metals mining company in South Africa, the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company produces gold; platinum group metals (PGMs), including palladium, platinum, rhodium, iridium, and ruthenium; chrome; lithium; zinc; nickel; and silver, cobalt, and copper. Sibanye Stillwater Limited was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Weltevredenpark, South Africa.

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