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Shoe Carnival Inc (SCVL)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: SCVL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $22
1 Year Target Price $22
1 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.35% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 553.75M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.91 | 1Y Target Price 22 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.91 | 1Y Target Price 22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3 | Beta 1.37 | 52 Weeks Range 15.92 - 38.59 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.92 - 38.59 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.81% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.27 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.41% | Operating Margin (TTM) 8.23% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.69% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.91 | Forward PE 13.68 | Enterprise Value 861187683 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 |
Enterprise Value 861187683 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45 | Shares Outstanding 27372822 | Shares Floating 17733209 |
Shares Outstanding 27372822 | Shares Floating 17733209 | ||
Percent Insiders 35.6 | Percent Institutions 80.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Shoe Carnival Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Shoe Carnival Inc. was founded in 1978. It began as a family-owned business and has grown into a publicly traded retailer specializing in footwear and accessories. The company has focused on a unique, entertaining shopping experience to differentiate itself from competitors.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Footwear Sales: This segment involves the sale of a wide range of footwear, including athletic shoes, casual shoes, dress shoes, sandals, and boots, for men, women, and children. Shoe Carnival operates retail stores across the United States.
- Accessories: In addition to footwear, Shoe Carnival sells accessories such as socks, shoe care products, handbags, and athletic apparel.
- E-commerce: Shoe Carnival operates an e-commerce platform, shoecarnival.com, allowing customers to purchase products online.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Shoe Carnival is Mark Worden. The organizational structure includes departments for merchandising, marketing, finance, operations, and e-commerce, reporting to the CEO and other senior executives.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Athletic Shoes: Includes popular brands like Nike, Adidas, and Puma. Competitors include Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Foot Locker (FL), and directly from brand websites. Market share data not readily available but a significant revenue contributor.
- Casual Shoes: Features brands like Crocs, Skechers, and Vans. Competitors include department stores like Macy's (M) and Kohl's (KSS). Significant sales volume attributed to comfort and style.
- Sandals: Comprises various brands of sandals for all ages. Competitors include specialty stores like Birkenstock and online retailers. Seasonal sales significantly impact revenue.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The footwear retail industry is highly competitive, with numerous players ranging from large department stores to specialty retailers and online marketplaces. Consumer preferences shift rapidly, and trends play a crucial role in sales. Digital sales continue to grow.
Positioning
Shoe Carnival positions itself as a value-oriented retailer offering a broad selection of footwear and a fun, engaging shopping experience. Its competitive advantages include its unique store format, loyalty program, and strong relationships with key brands.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global footwear market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Shoe Carnival, as a smaller player, is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM through its retail stores and online presence, focusing on the value-conscious consumer segment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Unique and entertaining store format
- Strong brand relationships
- Loyalty program
- Value-oriented pricing
Weaknesses
- Dependence on brand-name products
- Limited international presence
- Vulnerable to economic downturns
- Higher reliance on in-store sales compared to digital.
Opportunities
- Expanding e-commerce presence
- Increasing private label offerings
- Entering new geographic markets
- Enhancing the loyalty program
Threats
- Intense competition from online retailers
- Changing consumer preferences
- Economic recessions
- Supply chain disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Foot Locker (FL)
- DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS)
- Ross Stores (ROST)
- Walmart (WMT)
Competitive Landscape
Shoe Carnival's advantage is its engaging store environment and value pricing. Its disadvantages include less brand power compared to Nike direct, and limited online presence compared to Amazon and Zappos.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Requires historical financial performance data to assess growth trends.
Future Projections: Requires analyst estimates for future growth.
Recent Initiatives: Shoe Carnival has been focusing on expanding its e-commerce operations, enhancing its loyalty program, and opening new stores in strategic locations.
Summary
Shoe Carnival has a unique store concept with a strong value proposition. Its expansion into e-commerce and strategic store openings are positive. The company must navigate intense competition and changing consumer trends. It is also exposed to economic downturns.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Website
- SEC Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share estimates are approximate. Financial data is based on publicly available information and may not be exact.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Shoe Carnival Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Evansville, IN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1993-03-16 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark J. Worden | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com |
Full time employees 2500 | Website https://www.shoecarnival.com |
Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. The company offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. It also operates stores. The company sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana.

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