SGHC Limited logo

SGHC Limited(SGHC)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$11.36
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SGHC

11/06/2026: SGHC (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

SGHC Limited is a global online sports betting and gaming operator known for its Betway and Spin brands. The company leverages an asset-light, digital-first model to serve customers across multiple international markets. While it has established a significant global presence, it faces substantial pressure from well-capitalized competitors in the North American region. Key investment risks include regulatory uncertainty, high customer acquisition costs, and intense competition. SGHC may appeal to investors looking for exposure to the growing global iGaming industry, though the stock requires monitoring regarding profit margins and successful execution of its expansion strategy.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth potential through market expansion but faces intense competition.
Momentum investorWeak fitCurrent stock performance lacks the strong upward signal required by momentum strategies.
Value investorMixed fitThe valuation may appear attractive, but the business model carries significant operational risk.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends are possible, but capital appreciation remains the primary focus of the business.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe inherent regulatory and competitive risks make this a high-volatility stock.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock experiences significant fluctuations based on regulatory and earnings news.
Valuation riskMedium / highMarket sentiment frequently shifts regarding the valuation of gaming stocks.
Competition risk (Market Share)HighIncumbents with larger marketing budgets threaten growth and margins.
Business qualityMediumThe business has established reach, but profitability is sensitive to scale and taxes.
Dividend incomeMediumPayouts are not guaranteed and are secondary to growth initiatives.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccess depends on effective execution of the US expansion strategy.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 73.27%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SGHC receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SGHC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+91.8%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 14.6%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 9.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SGHC's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (14.6% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is SGHC's strongest growth driver at +91.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+31.4%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+63.3%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 23.9% and approximately 51.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 68.69% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Divisadero Street Capital Management, LP 3.96%
Helikon Investments Ltd 3.40%
BlackRock Inc 1.89%
Citadel Advisors Llc 1.04%
American Century Companies Inc 1.04%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SGHC generates approximately $272 of gross profit, $190 of operating income, and $146 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 38.76%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SGHC has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.77B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 14.02
1Y Target Price 17.67
Price to earnings Ratio 14.02
1Y Target Price 17.67
Volume (30-day avg) 3.5M shares
Beta 1.1
52 Weeks Range 8.36 - 15.80
Updated Date 11/08/2026
52 Weeks Range 8.36 - 15.80
Updated Date 11/08/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.12%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.81

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Online Sports BettingWagers placed on sporting events via the Betway platform.Profit is generated from the 'hold' percentage on wagers placed by users.
Online CasinoSlots, poker, and live dealer games under the Spin and Betway brands.Revenue is driven by player engagement and house edge in digital gaming.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-03
When After Market
Estimate 0.16
Actual 0.28

Profitability

Profit Margin 16.62%
Operating Margin (TTM) 27.66%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 26.83%
Return on Equity (TTM) 49.18%

Valuation

Trailing PE 14.02
Forward PE 11.78
Enterprise Value 5.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32
Enterprise Value 5.23B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.32
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.74
Shares Outstanding 508.08M
Shares Floating 262.27M
Shares Outstanding 508.08M
Shares Floating 262.27M
Percent Insiders 68.69
Percent Institutions 23.93

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.