DraftKings Inc logo

DraftKings Inc(DKNG)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$19.77
10/19/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DKNG

10/19/2026: DKNG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

DraftKings Inc is a growth-oriented company in the U.S. sports betting and iGaming industry, known for its leading mobile sports betting and daily fantasy platforms. The company has a leading position in the industry, driven by its proprietary technology and strong brand awareness. Its primary investment story centers on capturing market share as more states legalize gaming and increasing profitability through its integrated product ecosystem. Key risks include intense competitive pressure from well-funded peers, high marketing costs, and potential shifts in the regulatory landscape. The stock may best suit growth-focused investors who can tolerate volatility, while monitoring developments in state-level legislative changes and long-term profit margins.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company is in an aggressive growth phase capturing market share in a rapidly expanding industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often exhibits high volatility and strong trends correlated with market expansion and revenue growth.
Value investorWeak fitThe company prioritizes reinvestment over immediate profitability and lacks traditional value metrics.
Dividend investorWeak fitDraftKings does not pay dividends and reinvests all cash into growth initiatives.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and intense competition make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant price swings based on earnings results and legislative news.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh growth expectations are priced into the stock, leaving little margin for error.
Competition risk (Direct industry competition)HighThe battle for market share against well-funded incumbents like FanDuel keeps margins tight.
Business qualityMediumWhile the technology is strong, the business model is still proving its ability to generate long-term consistent cash flow.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome-focused investors will not find yield here.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful growth depends on complex state-by-state licensing and consistent technological performance.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -2.36%
Avg. Invested days 38
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/19/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DKNG receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DKNG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+100.7%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 10.7%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 0.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DKNG's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (10.7% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is DKNG's strongest growth driver at +100.7% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+27.0%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+58.9%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 82.7% and approximately 85.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.62% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

CIBC Bancorp USA Inc. 7.52%
AQR Capital Management LLC 5.98%
HHG PLC 5.57%
Jupiter Topco LLC 5.09%
Capital World Investors 5.00%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DKNG generates approximately $413 of gross profit, $-3 of operating income, and $107 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses explain the 2-star rating, with solid cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 53.53%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DKNG has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.38B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 34.34
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 34.34
Volume (30-day avg) 14.4M shares
Beta 1.61
52 Weeks Range 18.35 - 36.98
Updated Date 10/18/2026
52 Weeks Range 18.35 - 36.98
Updated Date 10/18/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.35

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
SportsbookWagering on professional and collegiate sports events.This is the primary revenue engine, growing as more states legalize sports betting.
iGamingOnline casino games like slots and table games.These games have higher margins than sports betting and offer significant cross-sell potential.
Daily Fantasy SportsEntry fees for fantasy sports contests.The original core business provides a stable, highly engaged user base for cross-selling.
Geography (North America)Operations in regulated U.S. states and Canada.Expansion into new states is the single biggest driver of future growth.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 12.64
Enterprise Value 11.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.51
Enterprise Value 11.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.51
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 104.74
Shares Outstanding 496.45M
Shares Floating 424.19M
Shares Outstanding 496.45M
Shares Floating 424.19M
Percent Insiders 8.62
Percent Institutions 82.71

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.