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Sportsmans(SPWH)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$1.1
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SPWH

10/09/2026: SPWH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Sportsman's Warehouse is a specialty retailer serving the outdoor recreation market, focusing on hunting, fishing, and camping gear. Its primary business strength lies in a regionalized approach that caters to dedicated outdoor enthusiasts, often outperforming larger competitors in specific niche markets. The main growth opportunity resides in targeted site expansion and digital improvements to its omnichannel platform. However, investors must consider significant risks, including regulatory pressures on firearm sales, intense competition from larger retailers, and high sensitivity to discretionary spending. This stock may suit investors looking for exposure to the outdoor lifestyle sector who are comfortable with the inherent risks of cyclical, niche-focused retail.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is currently constrained by retail industry headwinds despite long-term expansion potential.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has recently lacked the sustained positive price momentum required for a momentum strategy.
Value investorStrong fitCurrent market valuation may be attractive to those seeking entry points in niche retail, contingent on turnaround success.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend and prioritizes capital reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe business faces high volatility due to economic sensitivity and industry-specific regulatory risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRetail stocks in this sector are highly sensitive to consumer sentiment and news cycles.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment heavily influences stock price relative to book value and earnings potential.
Competition risk (Retail Consolidation)HighLarger competitors with greater economies of scale can exert significant pricing pressure.
Business qualityMediumThe business model is solid but constrained by the discretionary nature of the products sold.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income generation from this equity.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful growth depends on identifying and scaling new store locations effectively.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -39.69%
Avg. Invested days 18
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
SPWH receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
SPWH has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-51.4%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 0.7%), moderate revenue growth (+1.0%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
SPWH's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 11.6%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is SPWH's strongest growth driver at +1.0% FY2026 versus FY2025 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-51.4%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-54.7%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 55.8% and approximately 86.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 6.27% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Union Square Park Capital Management, LLC 7.76%
Jb Capital Partners LP 4.37%
Archon Capital Management LLC 4.11%
Mackenzie Investments 3.95%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 3.93%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
SPWH generates approximately $309 of gross profit, $-12 of operating income, and $7 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Operating losses explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 2.12%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
SPWH has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Low VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 43.06M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2.92
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2.92
Volume (30-day avg) 524.6K shares
Beta 0.44
52 Weeks Range 1.08 - 3.01
Updated Date 10/11/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.08 - 3.01
Updated Date 10/11/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.24

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Retail SalesIn-store and online sales of firearms, fishing gear, and camping equipment.The company generates revenue primarily by selling outdoor gear directly to enthusiasts.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 333.33
Enterprise Value 536.13M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value 536.13M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.04
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.44
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 198.72
Shares Outstanding 39.14M
Shares Floating 33.95M
Shares Outstanding 39.14M
Shares Floating 33.95M
Percent Insiders 6.27
Percent Institutions 55.85

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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