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StoneCo Ltd (STNE)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: STNE (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $20.06
1 Year Target Price $20.06
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 6.83% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.97B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.06 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 20.06 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 1.85 | 52 Weeks Range 7.72 - 19.95 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.72 - 19.95 | Updated Date 12/27/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.58 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.76% | Operating Margin (TTM) 52.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.44% | Return on Equity (TTM) -8.45% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.9 | Enterprise Value 5453462039 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value 5453462039 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.12 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.8 | Shares Outstanding 245417777 | Shares Floating 236265986 |
Shares Outstanding 245417777 | Shares Floating 236265986 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.12 | Percent Institutions 75.64 |
Upturn AI SWOT
StoneCo Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
StoneCo Ltd. was founded in 2012 by Andru00e9 Street and Eduardo Pontes. It is a Brazilian financial technology company that provides financial services solutions, primarily focused on payment processing. Key milestones include its IPO on the Nasdaq in 2018 and its rapid expansion into offering a wider suite of financial and business management tools for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) in Brazil.
Core Business Areas
- SMB Software Platform: Provides a comprehensive suite of cloud-based software solutions designed to help SMBs manage their businesses, including inventory management, sales analytics, credit solutions, and point-of-sale (POS) systems. This segment aims to create a sticky ecosystem for clients.
- Financial Services: Offers payment processing services, enabling merchants to accept various forms of payment, including credit cards, debit cards, and other digital payment methods. This is StoneCo's foundational business.
- Credit Solutions: Provides working capital loans and credit products to merchants, leveraging its data to assess creditworthiness and offer tailored financing options.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a management team with extensive experience in the financial and technology sectors. While specific board members and executives can change, the leadership structure generally focuses on driving innovation in payment processing, software development, and credit offerings for SMBs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Stone POS: A point-of-sale system that allows merchants to accept card payments. It is a core offering that integrates with their broader software solutions. Competitors include PagSeguro, Mercado Pago, Cielo, Rede (by Fiserv), and Getnet (by Stone).
- Stone's Software Suite: Includes various modules for business management, such as ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning), CRM (Customer Relationship Management), and inventory control. This segment is growing and aims to increase customer stickiness. Competitors include local ERP providers and other fintechs offering integrated solutions.
- Credit Solutions: Short-term working capital loans offered to merchants based on their transaction history processed by StoneCo. This leverages their data analytics capabilities. Competitors include traditional banks, other fintech lenders, and P2P lending platforms in Brazil.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
StoneCo operates in the rapidly growing Brazilian fintech and payments market. This market is characterized by increasing digital adoption, a large unbanked and underbanked population, and a significant number of SMBs seeking more efficient financial and business management tools. Regulatory changes and increasing competition are also key factors.
Positioning
StoneCo is positioned as a leading financial technology provider for SMBs in Brazil. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated offering of payment processing, software solutions, and credit services, creating a 'one-stop-shop' for merchants. This ecosystem approach aims to foster customer loyalty and reduce churn.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for financial services and software solutions for SMBs in Brazil is substantial, driven by a large number of small businesses and increasing digitization. StoneCo is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market due to its established merchant base and expanding product portfolio. The exact TAM is dynamic and depends on definitions but is in the hundreds of billions of US dollars for the broader financial services sector.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated ecosystem of payment processing, software, and credit.
- Strong brand recognition and trust among Brazilian SMBs.
- Proprietary technology and data analytics capabilities.
- Experienced management team with deep market knowledge.
- Scalable business model.
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on the Brazilian market, exposing it to economic and political risks.
- Intense competition from both established players and agile fintech startups.
- Potential for increased regulatory scrutiny as it expands its financial services.
- Customer acquisition costs can be high.
Opportunities
- Further expansion of credit offerings to a broader merchant base.
- Development of new software solutions tailored to specific industry verticals.
- Leveraging data analytics for enhanced customer insights and personalized offerings.
- Potential for international expansion in other emerging markets.
- Increasing adoption of digital payments and e-commerce in Brazil.
Threats
- Economic downturns in Brazil impacting SMB spending and creditworthiness.
- Aggressive pricing strategies from competitors.
- Changes in regulatory landscape affecting payment processing or lending.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Technological disruption from new entrants or innovative solutions.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PagSeguro (PAGS)
- MercadoLibre (MELI) - Mercado Pago division
- Cielo S.A. (not directly listed in US but a major player)
- Rede (part of Fiserv, not directly listed in US but a major player)
- Getnet (part of StoneCo, but sometimes considered a competitor to other acquirers)
Competitive Landscape
StoneCo's advantage lies in its integrated ecosystem which fosters stickiness and offers a broad range of services. However, competitors like PagSeguro are also aggressively expanding their offerings, and MercadoPago benefits from the vast e-commerce platform of MercadoLibre. Traditional acquirers like Cielo and Rede are also adapting their strategies to compete in the digital age.
Major Acquisitions
Vixtra
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 250
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Vixtra, a credit platform, aimed to strengthen StoneCo's credit offerings and expand its ability to serve SMBs with working capital needs, leveraging data to improve credit underwriting.
Pagar.me
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Pagar.me, a payment gateway, aimed to enhance StoneCo's payment processing capabilities and expand its reach within the Brazilian market, particularly for online merchants.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: StoneCo has experienced rapid historical growth, evolving from a payment processor to a comprehensive financial technology ecosystem provider for SMBs in Brazil. This growth has been fueled by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued growth for StoneCo, driven by the expanding Brazilian fintech market, increased adoption of digital payments, and the company's ability to deepen its relationships with SMBs through its integrated software and credit offerings. Growth is expected to come from both increasing transaction volumes and higher average revenue per customer.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include enhancing its software solutions, expanding its credit offerings to address the working capital needs of SMBs, and investing in new technologies to further differentiate its platform. The company has also focused on improving operational efficiency and profitability.
Summary
StoneCo Ltd. is a significant player in the Brazilian fintech market, offering a compelling integrated ecosystem for SMBs. Its strengths lie in its comprehensive product suite and strong market presence. However, it faces intense competition and the inherent economic risks of operating in Brazil. Continued innovation in credit and software solutions, alongside effective cost management, will be key to its sustained success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- StoneCo Ltd. Investor Relations
- Nasdaq Stock Exchange Filings (SEC)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Numerical data for market share is illustrative and may not reflect precise real-time figures. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About StoneCo Ltd
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-10-25 | CEO - | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees - | Website https://www.stoneco.com.br |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.stoneco.com.br | ||
StoneCo Ltd. provides financial technology and software solutions to merchants and integrated partners to conduct electronic commerce across in-store, online, and mobile channels in Brazil. The company offers financial services, including payment, prepayment, digital banking, and credit solutions. It distributes its solutions, principally through proprietary and franchised Stone Hubs, which offer hyper-local sales and services; and sells solutions to brick-and-mortar and digital merchants through sales team. The company served small-and-medium-sized businesses; and marketplaces, e-commerce platforms, and integrated software vendors. StoneCo Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.

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