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Upturn AI Summary - About
Grupo Supervielle SA(SUPV)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for SUPV
11/06/2026: SUPV (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Grupo Supervielle SA is a diversified financial services provider operating primarily within the volatile Argentine market. The company is known for its focus on retail and SME banking, supported by a significant shift toward digital infrastructure to improve cost efficiency. Its core growth story hinges on the potential for Argentine macroeconomic stabilization and the capture of under-banked market segments. However, investors face substantial risks related to high inflation, currency devaluation, and unpredictable regulatory changes. The stock may suit investors seeking speculative value in emerging markets, though it remains a high-risk proposition requiring careful monitoring of local policy developments and credit quality.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's growth is heavily constrained by the challenging macroeconomic environment in Argentina. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Strong fit only during periods of positive sentiment regarding Argentine economic reforms or stabilization signals. |
| Value investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Often trades at low book value multiples, providing potential upside if economic conditions normalize. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Dividend policy is subject to strict regulatory oversight and currency risks. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Extreme volatility in currency, politics, and inflation makes this a high-risk equity. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to extreme swings based on Argentine political and economic news. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations are often depressed due to country risk rather than fundamental business failure. |
| Competition risk (Fintech/Digital) | Medium / high | Agile local fintech competitors are eroding traditional banking margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | The franchise has a strong heritage but operates in a structurally challenged market. |
| Dividend income | Low | Regular payouts are frequently hampered by regulatory restrictions on capital movement. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Managing profitability amidst hyperinflation requires constant and complex operational adjustments. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 85.54% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 532.08M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 614.3K shares | Beta 0.41 | 52 Weeks Range 5.45 - 12.63 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 5.45 - 12.63 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.59 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Net Interest Income | Interest earned on loans and securities minus interest paid on deposits. | The bank makes money by borrowing from savers at lower rates and lending to borrowers at higher rates. |
| Fee-based Services | Commissions from credit cards, account maintenance, and asset management. | Steady revenue generated from transactional and management services. |
| Geography: Argentina | All operations are concentrated in the Argentine market. | Investing in this company is a direct bet on the Argentine economy. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 7.82 | Enterprise Value 58.93B | Price to Sales(TTM) - |
Enterprise Value 58.93B | Price to Sales(TTM) - | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 75.20M | Shares Floating 38.59M |
Shares Outstanding 75.20M | Shares Floating 38.59M | ||
Percent Insiders 21.5 | Percent Institutions 17.56 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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