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TAC 
TransAlta Corp (TAC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/05/2026: TAC (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Outstanding Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.
Number of Analysts
11 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $13.43
1 Year Target Price $13.43
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 136.17% | Avg. Invested days 96 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 01/05/2026 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.43 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 11 | Beta 0.39 | 52 Weeks Range 7.73 - 17.82 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 7.73 - 17.82 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.92% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.68% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.53% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.13% | Return on Equity (TTM) -9.11% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 71.94 | Enterprise Value 7613612722 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.54 |
Enterprise Value 7613612722 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.54 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.03 | Shares Outstanding 296700000 | Shares Floating 246097815 |
Shares Outstanding 296700000 | Shares Floating 246097815 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 81.13 |
Upturn AI SWOT
TransAlta Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
TransAlta Corporation was founded in 1909 in Alberta, Canada. It began as a provincial utility and has since evolved into a diversified North American energy company. Key milestones include its expansion into thermal power generation, its transition towards cleaner energy sources, and significant acquisitions to bolster its renewable portfolio.
Core Business Areas
- Renewable Energy: Developing, owning, and operating renewable energy facilities, primarily wind and solar power projects across North America.
- Energy Transition: Focusing on the retirement of coal-fired generation and the development of new, cleaner energy assets to reduce its carbon footprint.
- Energy Marketing: Engaging in the trading and marketing of energy products and services.
Leadership and Structure
TransAlta is led by a Board of Directors and a management team. As of recent filings, the CEO is Meg McDonald. The company operates through various subsidiaries and divisions responsible for generation, operations, and energy marketing across its operating regions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Wind Power Generation: Wholesale electricity generation from wind farms. TransAlta is a significant player in the North American wind energy market, competing with companies like NextEra Energy Resources, Invenergy, and EDP Renewables. Specific market share data for individual assets is proprietary, but the company is a leading independent power producer.
- Solar Power Generation: Wholesale electricity generation from solar farms. Similar to wind power, TransAlta is growing its solar capacity, facing competition from the same renewable energy developers.
- Natural Gas Power Generation: Electricity generation from natural gas-fired power plants. This segment is transitioning as the company moves away from thermal generation.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The North American energy market is undergoing a significant transformation driven by the transition to renewable energy, increasing demand for clean electricity, and evolving regulatory landscapes aimed at decarbonization. Utilities and independent power producers are investing heavily in wind, solar, and battery storage to meet these demands and retire fossil fuel assets.
Positioning
TransAlta is positioning itself as a leader in the energy transition, leveraging its existing infrastructure and expertise to develop and operate a growing portfolio of renewable energy assets. Its competitive advantages include established operational expertise, access to capital, and strategic locations for renewable development.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for renewable energy generation in North America is vast, estimated to be in the trillions of dollars over the coming decades as grids decarbonize. TransAlta is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its strategic investments in wind and solar projects.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on renewable energy growth and energy transition strategy.
- Established operational expertise in power generation.
- Geographic diversification across North America.
- Access to capital for new project development.
Weaknesses
- Legacy thermal generation assets that require significant investment for emissions reduction or retirement.
- Exposure to commodity price volatility for natural gas.
- Competition from larger, more established renewable energy developers.
Opportunities
- Increasing government incentives and policies supporting renewable energy deployment.
- Growing corporate demand for renewable energy through power purchase agreements (PPAs).
- Expansion into energy storage solutions.
- Acquisition of attractive renewable energy projects.
Threats
- Changes in government policy and regulatory frameworks.
- Supply chain disruptions impacting renewable energy equipment.
- Rising interest rates impacting project financing costs.
- Increased competition driving down energy prices.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE)
- Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. (BEP)
- Invenergy LLC (Private)
- EDP Renewables North America LLC (Private)
Competitive Landscape
TransAlta faces intense competition from larger, diversified utilities and specialized renewable energy developers. Its advantages lie in its focused energy transition strategy and operational expertise. Disadvantages include a smaller scale compared to some competitors and the ongoing challenge of managing its legacy thermal assets.
Major Acquisitions
A portfolio of operating wind assets
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 300
- Strategic Rationale: To accelerate its renewable energy growth and expand its clean energy generation capacity in key North American markets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, TransAlta's growth was driven by the expansion of its thermal generation fleet. More recently, growth has shifted dramatically towards renewable energy development and acquisition, marked by significant investments in wind and solar projects.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued strong growth in renewable energy capacity and generation for TransAlta. Forecasts anticipate increasing contributions from wind and solar projects, leading to higher revenues and potentially improved profitability as the energy transition accelerates.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the acquisition of a portfolio of wind projects, the ongoing development of new solar farms, and the retirement of older coal-fired generation units. The company has also been active in securing long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) for its renewable output.
Summary
TransAlta Corp is navigating a significant energy transition, aggressively shifting its portfolio towards renewable energy like wind and solar. Its strengths lie in its clear strategy and operational experience, while weaknesses include its legacy thermal assets and competition. Opportunities are abundant in the growing demand for clean energy, but threats from policy changes and market volatility persist. Overall, the company is well-positioned for growth but must manage its transition effectively.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Websites
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. Financial data and market share figures are estimates and subject to change. This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About TransAlta Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-07-31 | President, CEO & Director Mr. John Harry Kousinioris | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 1165 | Website https://www.transalta.com |
Full time employees 1165 | Website https://www.transalta.com | ||
TransAlta Corporation engages in the development, production, and sale of electric energy. It operates through Hydro, Wind and Solar, Gas, Energy Transition, and Energy Marketing segments. The Hydro segment holds interest of approximately 922 megawatts (MW) of owned hydroelectric generating capacity located in Alberta, British Columbia, and Ontario. The Wind and Solar segment has a net ownership interest of approximately 2,057 MW of owned wind and solar electrical-generating capacity, as well as battery storage facilities located in Alberta, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Québec in Canada; the states of Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Washington, and Wyoming in the United States; and the state of Western Australia. The Gas segment has a net ownership interest of approximately 2,775 MW of owned gas electrical-generating capacity, and facilities located in Alberta, Ontario, Michigan, and the state of Western Australia. The Energy Transition segment has a net ownership interest of approximately 671 MW of owned coal electrical-generating capacity, as well as operates the Skookumchuck hydro facility in Centralia; and engages in the highvale mine and the mine reclamation activities. The Energy Marketing segment is involved in the trading of power, natural gas, and environmental products. It serves customers in various industry segments, including commercial real estate, municipal, manufacturing, industrial, hospitality, finance, and oil and gas. TransAlta Corporation was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
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