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Vistra Energy Corp (VST)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$198
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Today's Top Performer Top performer
Profit since last BUY41.61%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 59 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

07/29/2025: VST (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 59 days. Profits (41.61%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Outstanding Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

Number of Analysts

rating

18 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $185.16

1 Year Target Price $185.16

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$185.16 Target price
52w Low $66.04
Current$198
52w High $207.12

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 390.28%
Avg. Invested days 66
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/29/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 66.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 31.04
1Y Target Price 185.16
Price to earnings Ratio 31.04
1Y Target Price 185.16
Volume (30-day avg) 18
Beta 1.28
52 Weeks Range 66.04 - 207.12
Updated Date 07/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 66.04 - 207.12
Updated Date 07/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.46%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.31

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-06
When Before Market
Estimate 1.62
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.4%
Operating Margin (TTM) -3.05%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.3%
Return on Equity (TTM) 41.68%

Valuation

Trailing PE 31.04
Forward PE 31.25
Enterprise Value 86068343149
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67
Enterprise Value 86068343149
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.75
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.7
Shares Outstanding 339332000
Shares Floating 335623056
Shares Outstanding 339332000
Shares Floating 335623056
Percent Insiders 0.69
Percent Institutions 82.23

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Vistra Energy Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Vistra Energy Corp. traces its roots back to TXU Corp, a large Texas utility. Following financial difficulties, the company restructured and emerged as Energy Future Holdings. Further restructuring led to the formation of Vistra Energy Corp in 2016. The company has evolved into a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail Electricity: Vistra's retail electricity segment serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers with electricity plans and related services. Operates under various retail brands, including TXU Energy.
  • Power Generation: Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including natural gas, nuclear, and coal-fired plants. Focus is shifting towards cleaner energy sources.
  • Asset Closure and Repurposing: Vistra is actively decommissioning and repurposing fossil fuel generation sites, including renewable energy development and battery storage projects.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Vistra Energy Corp. is led by its CEO, Jim Burke. The organizational structure includes functional departments such as finance, operations, legal, and strategy, supporting the core business segments. The Board of Directors provides oversight and strategic guidance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Retail Electricity Plans: Offers various electricity plans to residential and commercial customers in Texas and other markets. TXU Energy is a prominent brand within this segment. Market share is significant in Texas, however specific figures fluctuate and are difficult to pin down without specific reporting period. Competitors include NRG Energy (NRG), Constellation Energy (CEG), and other retail energy providers.
  • Wholesale Electricity Sales: Sells electricity generated from its power plants to wholesale markets and other retailers. The revenue for this market fluctuates based on fuel prices and demand.
  • Renewable Energy Projects: Development and operation of solar and battery storage projects. This segment is growing in importance as Vistra transitions to cleaner energy. Competitors include NextEra Energy Resources (NEE), and AES Corporation (AES).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The power generation and retail electricity industry is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by the shift towards renewable energy, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and evolving consumer preferences. Competition is fierce, with both established players and new entrants vying for market share.

Positioning

Vistra Energy Corp. is a major player in the Texas electricity market, with a strong retail presence and a diverse generation portfolio. They are actively transitioning towards cleaner energy sources and expanding their renewable energy footprint. Competitive advantages include a large customer base and a strong brand recognition in Texas.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for electricity retail is extensive across the United States, amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Vistra is strategically positioned within Texas, a significant consumer market, and is expanding into other regions, capturing a portion of this vast TAM.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large Customer Base in Texas
  • Diverse Generation Portfolio
  • Strong Retail Brand (TXU Energy)
  • Commitment to Renewable Energy Transition
  • Experienced Management Team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on Fossil Fuel Generation (though decreasing)
  • Exposure to Commodity Price Volatility
  • Legacy Liabilities from Past Operations
  • Regulatory Risks
  • High Debt Levels (though decreasing)

Opportunities

  • Growing Demand for Renewable Energy
  • Expansion into New Geographic Markets
  • Development of Battery Storage Technology
  • Government Incentives for Clean Energy
  • Acquisition of Distressed Assets

Threats

  • Increasing Competition from Renewable Energy Providers
  • Fluctuations in Natural Gas Prices
  • Changing Regulatory Landscape
  • Cybersecurity Risks
  • Economic Downturn

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NRG
  • CEG
  • AES

Competitive Landscape

Vistra Energy Corp. faces intense competition from other power generators and retail energy providers. Its competitive advantage lies in its large customer base in Texas, its diverse generation portfolio, and its commitment to renewable energy. However, it faces challenges from competitors with lower costs or more aggressive growth strategies.

Major Acquisitions

Crius Energy Trust

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 343
  • Strategic Rationale: Expansion of retail customer base and geographic footprint in key markets.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Vistra Energy Corp.'s growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansion of its retail business, and the development of renewable energy projects.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued investment in renewable energy, expansion into new markets, and the increasing demand for clean energy solutions. Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued revenue growth and profitability improvements.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include the development of large-scale solar and battery storage projects, the retirement of coal-fired power plants, and expansion of its retail business into new states.

Summary

Vistra Energy Corp. is a major player in the power generation and retail electricity market, with a strong presence in Texas. Their transition to renewable energy is a key strength, though they need to manage legacy liabilities and commodity price volatility. Continued investment in clean energy and efficient management of their asset portfolio will be vital for future growth and success. The company is taking good steps in transitioning from fossil fuels to clean energy.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor Presentations, Press Releases, Third-Party Research Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Vistra Energy Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Irving, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-10-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. James A. Burke CPA
Sector Utilities
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Full time employees 6850
Full time employees 6850

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.