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Vistra Energy Corp (VST)




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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/29/2025: VST (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 59 days. Profits (41.61%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $185.16
1 Year Target Price $185.16
10 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 390.28% | Avg. Invested days 66 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 66.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 31.04 | 1Y Target Price 185.16 |
Price to earnings Ratio 31.04 | 1Y Target Price 185.16 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 1.28 | 52 Weeks Range 66.04 - 207.12 | Updated Date 07/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.04 - 207.12 | Updated Date 07/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.46% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.31 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-06 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.62 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.4% | Operating Margin (TTM) -3.05% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.3% | Return on Equity (TTM) 41.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 31.04 | Forward PE 31.25 | Enterprise Value 86068343149 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67 |
Enterprise Value 86068343149 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.75 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.7 | Shares Outstanding 339332000 | Shares Floating 335623056 |
Shares Outstanding 339332000 | Shares Floating 335623056 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.69 | Percent Institutions 82.23 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vistra Energy Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Vistra Energy Corp. traces its roots back to TXU Corp, a large Texas utility. Following financial difficulties, the company restructured and emerged as Energy Future Holdings. Further restructuring led to the formation of Vistra Energy Corp in 2016. The company has evolved into a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Electricity: Vistra's retail electricity segment serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers with electricity plans and related services. Operates under various retail brands, including TXU Energy.
- Power Generation: Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including natural gas, nuclear, and coal-fired plants. Focus is shifting towards cleaner energy sources.
- Asset Closure and Repurposing: Vistra is actively decommissioning and repurposing fossil fuel generation sites, including renewable energy development and battery storage projects.
Leadership and Structure
Vistra Energy Corp. is led by its CEO, Jim Burke. The organizational structure includes functional departments such as finance, operations, legal, and strategy, supporting the core business segments. The Board of Directors provides oversight and strategic guidance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Retail Electricity Plans: Offers various electricity plans to residential and commercial customers in Texas and other markets. TXU Energy is a prominent brand within this segment. Market share is significant in Texas, however specific figures fluctuate and are difficult to pin down without specific reporting period. Competitors include NRG Energy (NRG), Constellation Energy (CEG), and other retail energy providers.
- Wholesale Electricity Sales: Sells electricity generated from its power plants to wholesale markets and other retailers. The revenue for this market fluctuates based on fuel prices and demand.
- Renewable Energy Projects: Development and operation of solar and battery storage projects. This segment is growing in importance as Vistra transitions to cleaner energy. Competitors include NextEra Energy Resources (NEE), and AES Corporation (AES).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The power generation and retail electricity industry is undergoing a significant transformation, driven by the shift towards renewable energy, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and evolving consumer preferences. Competition is fierce, with both established players and new entrants vying for market share.
Positioning
Vistra Energy Corp. is a major player in the Texas electricity market, with a strong retail presence and a diverse generation portfolio. They are actively transitioning towards cleaner energy sources and expanding their renewable energy footprint. Competitive advantages include a large customer base and a strong brand recognition in Texas.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for electricity retail is extensive across the United States, amounting to hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Vistra is strategically positioned within Texas, a significant consumer market, and is expanding into other regions, capturing a portion of this vast TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large Customer Base in Texas
- Diverse Generation Portfolio
- Strong Retail Brand (TXU Energy)
- Commitment to Renewable Energy Transition
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Fossil Fuel Generation (though decreasing)
- Exposure to Commodity Price Volatility
- Legacy Liabilities from Past Operations
- Regulatory Risks
- High Debt Levels (though decreasing)
Opportunities
- Growing Demand for Renewable Energy
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets
- Development of Battery Storage Technology
- Government Incentives for Clean Energy
- Acquisition of Distressed Assets
Threats
- Increasing Competition from Renewable Energy Providers
- Fluctuations in Natural Gas Prices
- Changing Regulatory Landscape
- Cybersecurity Risks
- Economic Downturn
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NRG
- CEG
- AES
Competitive Landscape
Vistra Energy Corp. faces intense competition from other power generators and retail energy providers. Its competitive advantage lies in its large customer base in Texas, its diverse generation portfolio, and its commitment to renewable energy. However, it faces challenges from competitors with lower costs or more aggressive growth strategies.
Major Acquisitions
Crius Energy Trust
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 343
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion of retail customer base and geographic footprint in key markets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Vistra Energy Corp.'s growth has been driven by acquisitions, organic expansion of its retail business, and the development of renewable energy projects.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by continued investment in renewable energy, expansion into new markets, and the increasing demand for clean energy solutions. Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued revenue growth and profitability improvements.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include the development of large-scale solar and battery storage projects, the retirement of coal-fired power plants, and expansion of its retail business into new states.
Summary
Vistra Energy Corp. is a major player in the power generation and retail electricity market, with a strong presence in Texas. Their transition to renewable energy is a key strength, though they need to manage legacy liabilities and commodity price volatility. Continued investment in clean energy and efficient management of their asset portfolio will be vital for future growth and success. The company is taking good steps in transitioning from fossil fuels to clean energy.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor Presentations, Press Releases, Third-Party Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vistra Energy Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irving, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-10-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. James A. Burke CPA | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com |
Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com |
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

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