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Upturn AI SWOT - About
VST 
Vistra Energy Corp (VST)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/15/2025: VST (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Outstanding Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.
Number of Analysts
18 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $218.24
1 Year Target Price $218.24
| 10 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 371.16% | Avg. Invested days 69 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  5.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/15/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 71.05B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 33.66 | 1Y Target Price 218.24 |
Price to earnings Ratio 33.66 | 1Y Target Price 218.24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18 | Beta 1.35 | 52 Weeks Range 89.63 - 217.90 | Updated Date 09/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 89.63 - 217.90 | Updated Date 09/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.44% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.23 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 13.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) 39.3% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 33.66 | Forward PE 21.98 | Enterprise Value 91113621942 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84 |
Enterprise Value 91113621942 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.84 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.57 | Shares Outstanding 338820000 | Shares Floating 316485288 |
Shares Outstanding 338820000 | Shares Floating 316485288 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.68 | Percent Institutions 93.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Vistra Energy Corp
Company Overview
History and Background
Vistra Energy Corp. traces its roots back to TXU Corp., founded in 1882. It underwent restructuring in 2016, emerging as Vistra Energy. Vistra has evolved from a Texas-focused utility to a national power generation and retail electricity company, acquiring Dynegy in 2018.
Core Business Areas
- Retail: Vistra's retail electricity segment provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers under brands such as TXU Energy, Reliant, and Ambit Energy.
- Generation: Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including natural gas, nuclear, coal, and renewable energy sources.
- Vistra Zero: Aims to invest in zero carbon, and decarbonization projects, with focus on solar, battery, and nuclear energy.
Leadership and Structure
Vistra Energy is led by CEO Jim Burke. The organizational structure includes various departments overseeing retail, generation, finance, legal, and regulatory affairs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Retail Electricity: Vistra, through its brands, sells electricity to residential and commercial customers in Texas and other states. TXU Energy is a key brand, holding a substantial market share within the Texas ERCOT market. Competitors include NRG Energy, Constellation Energy, and Direct Energy.
- Natural Gas: Vistra offers natural gas services to select customer segments, often bundled with electricity plans. Competitors include CenterPoint Energy, Atmos Energy, and numerous regional gas providers.
- Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs): Vistra generates and sells RECs from its renewable facilities. Competitors in the REC market include other renewable energy generators and brokers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The power generation industry is undergoing a transition towards renewable energy sources, driven by environmental concerns and government regulations. Demand for electricity is growing, especially with electrification trends.
Positioning
Vistra is a major player in the Texas electricity market and has been expanding its renewable energy portfolio. Its competitive advantages include its diverse generation mix and strong retail presence in key markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The U.S. electricity market is valued at hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Vistra is positioned to capture a share of this TAM through its retail and generation businesses, especially with its move towards more renewable sources.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large-scale generation capacity
- Strong retail presence in Texas
- Diversified generation portfolio
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on fossil fuel generation
- Exposure to volatile commodity prices
- Regulatory risks
- Debt burden
Opportunities
- Growth in renewable energy demand
- Expansion into new markets
- Investment in energy storage technologies
- Government incentives for renewable energy
Threats
- Increasing competition from renewable energy providers
- Changes in environmental regulations
- Fluctuations in natural gas prices
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- NRG
- CEG
- AES
Competitive Landscape
Vistra competes with other large power generation and retail electricity companies. Its strengths include its scale and diversified generation portfolio. Its weaknesses include its reliance on fossil fuels and regulatory risks.
Major Acquisitions
Dynegy
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1740
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Dynegy expanded Vistra's generation portfolio and geographic footprint, making it a larger player in the U.S. power market. It also gave Vistra access to new markets and customers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Vistra has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, particularly in the retail electricity segment.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by increased demand for electricity and expansion into renewable energy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investing in solar and battery storage projects, retiring coal-fired power plants, and expanding its retail customer base.
Summary
Vistra is a major player in the U.S. electricity market, with a strong retail presence and diverse generation portfolio. The company is adapting to the changing energy landscape by investing in renewable energy sources. High debt and regulations are risks, but growth in renewables and strategic initiatives offer opportunities. Vistra has strong growth potential, but must be aware of threats.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The data and analysis provided are for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Vistra Energy Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Irving, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-10-04 | President, CEO & Director Mr. James A. Burke CPA | ||
Sector Utilities | Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers | Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com |
Full time employees 6850 | Website https://vistracorp.com | ||
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
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