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VST 5-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) company logo

Vistra Energy Corp (VST)

Vistra Energy Corp (VST) 5-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$189.39
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/05/2025: VST (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 5 star rating for performance

Outstanding Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

18 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $224.98

1 Year Target Price $224.98

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$224.98 Target price
52w Low $90.3
Current$189.39
52w High $219.82

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 318.44%
Avg. Invested days 63
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/05/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 62.93B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 29.86
1Y Target Price 224.98
Price to earnings Ratio 29.86
1Y Target Price 224.98
Volume (30-day avg) 18
Beta 1.39
52 Weeks Range 90.30 - 219.82
Updated Date 11/5/2025
52 Weeks Range 90.30 - 219.82
Updated Date 11/5/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.46%
Basic EPS (TTM) 6.22

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-11-05
When Before Market
Estimate 2.62
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 12.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 13.98%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.06%
Return on Equity (TTM) 39.3%

Valuation

Trailing PE 29.86
Forward PE 22.32
Enterprise Value 88724938658
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.4
Enterprise Value 88724938658
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.4
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.79
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.21
Shares Outstanding 338820324
Shares Floating 316376866
Shares Outstanding 338820324
Shares Floating 316376866
Percent Insiders 0.71
Percent Institutions 93.22

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Vistra Energy Corp

Vistra Energy Corp(VST) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Vistra Energy Corp. traces its roots back to TXU Corp., founded in 1882. Following a leveraged buyout in 2007 and subsequent bankruptcy restructuring, it emerged as Energy Future Holdings and later rebranded as Vistra Energy in 2016. The company has evolved from a traditional utility to a diversified energy company.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail: Vistra's retail segment provides electricity and natural gas services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across multiple states. Brands include TXU Energy, Dynegy, and Luminant.
  • Generation: Vistra owns and operates a diverse portfolio of power generation facilities, including natural gas, nuclear, and coal-fired plants. They are also expanding into renewable energy sources.
  • Renewables: Vistra is growing its renewable energy portfolio through solar, wind, and battery storage projects.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Vistra Energy Corp. is led by a board of directors and an executive management team. The CEO is Jim Burke. The organizational structure is departmentalized based on core business areas such as retail, generation, and renewables, with supporting functions like finance, legal, and human resources.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Electricity Retail: Vistra, primarily through TXU Energy, offers electricity plans to residential and commercial customers in Texas. They hold a significant market share in ERCOT, though precise figures fluctuate. Competitors include Reliant Energy (NRG), Direct Energy (NRG), and various smaller retail electric providers (REPs).
  • Natural Gas Generation: Vistra operates numerous natural gas-fired power plants that generate electricity for the wholesale market. Market share data for specific plants is not readily available, but Vistra is a major player in Texas' power generation market. Competitors include Calpine, NRG, and independent power producers.
  • Renewable Energy Generation: Vistra operates solar and battery storage facilities. The market is growing, and competitors include NextEra Energy, AES, and independent renewable energy developers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The energy industry is undergoing a significant transformation driven by decarbonization efforts, increasing renewable energy adoption, and evolving regulatory landscapes. Demand for electricity is expected to grow, driven by electrification of transportation and other sectors. The Texas market (ERCOT) is particularly dynamic, with high demand and increasing renewable penetration.

Positioning

Vistra is positioned as a diversified energy company, balancing its legacy generation assets with investments in renewable energy and retail operations. Its competitive advantages include a large customer base, a diverse generation portfolio, and experience in the Texas market.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for electricity retail and generation in Vistra's operating regions is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Vistra is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, especially in Texas, but faces increasing competition from renewable energy providers and other large utilities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large Retail Customer Base
  • Diversified Generation Portfolio
  • Strong Presence in Texas Market
  • Experience in Energy Market
  • Established Brand Recognition

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on Fossil Fuels
  • Exposure to Commodity Price Volatility
  • Regulatory Risks
  • Aging Infrastructure
  • Debt Burden

Opportunities

  • Growth in Renewable Energy
  • Expansion into New Markets
  • Investment in Energy Storage
  • Increased Electrification
  • Government Incentives for Renewables

Threats

  • Increasing Competition
  • Changing Regulations
  • Environmental Concerns
  • Cybersecurity Risks
  • Economic Downturn

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NRG
  • AES
  • EXC

Competitive Landscape

Vistra competes with other large energy companies, independent power producers, and retail electricity providers. Its advantages include its large customer base and diversified generation portfolio. Its disadvantages include its reliance on fossil fuels and exposure to commodity price volatility.

Major Acquisitions

Ambit Energy

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 475
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Vistra's retail customer base and geographic footprint.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Vistra has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, particularly in the retail and renewable energy sectors.

Future Projections: Analysts' projections for Vistra's future growth vary but generally anticipate continued investment in renewable energy and expansion of the retail business.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include acquisitions of renewable energy projects, investments in battery storage, and expansion of the retail footprint.

Summary

Vistra Energy is a diversified energy company with a strong presence in the Texas market. It has a large customer base and a diversified generation portfolio, but faces challenges related to its reliance on fossil fuels and exposure to commodity price volatility. Vistra is actively investing in renewable energy and battery storage, which should help to mitigate these risks in the long term. The company needs to manage its debt and navigate the evolving regulatory landscape.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry News and Publications
  • Company Website
  • EIA - US Energy Information Administration

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary depending on the source and methodology. Financial data and analysts' projections are subject to change. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Vistra Energy Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Irving, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-10-04
President, CEO & Director Mr. James A. Burke CPA
Sector Utilities
Industry Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Full time employees 6850
Full time employees 6850

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 41,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.