Theravance Biopharma Inc logo

Theravance Biopharma Inc(TBPH)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 65 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-2.07% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$17.03
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TBPH

09/25/2026: TBPH (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Theravance Biopharma is a specialized biotechnology company centered on its primary respiratory product, YUPELRI, which is used for COPD treatment. The company's main strength lies in this established commercial asset, which provides a foundation for revenue and operational focus. Its investment story centers on optimizing the commercial potential of YUPELRI while maintaining fiscal discipline. Primary risks include heavy product concentration, intense competition from major pharmaceutical incumbents, and the inherent volatility of the biotech sector. The stock may suit investors seeking a niche, commercial-stage biotech exposure, provided they are comfortable with the risks associated with a narrow product portfolio.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company is in a mature commercial phase rather than a rapid expansion phase.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock lacks consistent, high-volume upward momentum often sought by this style.
Value investorMixed fitValuation may be attractive to some, but earnings consistency remains a challenge.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend.
Low-risk investorWeak fitBiotech stocks are inherently volatile due to clinical and commercial risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is subject to significant price swings based on news cycles.
Valuation riskMediumMarket perception of long-term earnings potential can shift rapidly.
Competition risk (Respiratory drug market)HighCompetition from global giants with superior resources limits market share.
Business qualityMediumReliance on a single product creates structural fragility.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income from this investment.
Execution riskMedium / highCommercializing a niche product requires precise market execution.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 24.46%
Avg. Invested days 55
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TBPH receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by soft analyst coverage, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TBPH has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+287.7%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 221.9%) are partially offset by modest insider ownership of 4.61%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TBPH's financial health is supported by strong liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 78.3%). Operating efficiency is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TBPH's strongest growth driver at +2109.8% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+66.9%, strong) and earnings growth (+287.7%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 94.7% and approximately 49.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 4.61% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Madison Avenue Partners, LP 17.74%
Weiss Asset Management LP 14.36%
BlackRock Inc 8.79%
Newtyn Management LLC 6.61%
Irenic Capital Management LP 5.32%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TBPH generates approximately $949 of gross profit, $-123 of operating income, and $2,219 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins and strong cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is weak.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 18.07%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TBPH has a relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 884.18M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 16.38
1Y Target Price 17.67
Price to earnings Ratio 16.38
1Y Target Price 17.67
Volume (30-day avg) 885.4K shares
Beta 0.24
52 Weeks Range 13.08 - 21.03
Updated Date 10/23/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.08 - 21.03
Updated Date 10/23/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.04

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Respiratory CommercializationSales of YUPELRI for COPD patients.Revenue comes mainly from one drug, making performance highly tied to its success.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 16.38
Forward PE 9.73
Enterprise Value 535.09M
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.48
Enterprise Value 535.09M
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.48
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.6
Shares Outstanding 51.92M
Shares Floating 25.87M
Shares Outstanding 51.92M
Shares Floating 25.87M
Percent Insiders 4.61
Percent Institutions 94.71

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.