Titan Machinery Inc logo

Titan Machinery Inc(TITN)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-6.37% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$23.12
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TITN

10/23/2026: TITN (2-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (-6.37%). Updated daily EoD!

Titan Machinery Inc is a large dealer of agricultural and construction equipment, primarily focusing on the CNH Industrial brand portfolio. Its primary strength lies in a deep regional footprint combined with stable, high-margin revenue from parts and services. The core growth opportunity stems from precision agriculture technology and potential infrastructure investment, though these are balanced against the high cyclicality of farm commodity prices and interest rate sensitivity. While the company offers a compelling value proposition for industry observers, it lacks dividends and faces competition from massive OEMs. Investors should monitor commodity market health and manufacturer-dealer relationships as key long-term indicators of performance.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely tied to cyclical industry trends rather than secular innovation.
Momentum investorMixed fitPerformance is highly conditional on commodity cycles and market sentiment regarding interest rates.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at low valuation multiples during the trough of agricultural cycles.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend, focusing capital on growth.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to cyclical agricultural and construction sectors creates inherent volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighCyclical market exposure leads to significant share price swings.
Valuation riskMediumValuation is sensitive to the anticipated duration of the agricultural upcycle.
Competition risk (OEM dominance)HighIntense competition from major OEMs like Deere & Company puts pressure on dealer margins.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies heavily on external manufacturer relationships and external economic drivers.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company provides no income to shareholders.
Execution riskMediumSuccessful growth depends on integrating complex dealership acquisitions.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -54.39%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TITN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TITN has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-46.8%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 4.7%), negative revenue growth (-10.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TITN's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 19.7%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TITN's strongest growth driver at +524.0% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-10.2%, negative) and earnings growth (-46.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 92.3% and approximately 86.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 11.26% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 10.40%
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 9.63%
BlackRock Inc 7.14%
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC 6.69%
Jupiter Topco LLC 4.79%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TITN generates approximately $158 of gross profit, $-1 of operating income, and $47 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Operating losses explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -19.31% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TITN has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 544.08M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.25
Volume (30-day avg) 193.4K shares
Beta 1.41
52 Weeks Range 13.21 - 26.90
Updated Date 10/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.21 - 26.90
Updated Date 10/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Agriculture EquipmentCase IH branded tractors, combines, and precision tech.This is the primary revenue driver, tied to farmer income and crop prices.
Construction EquipmentCase CE excavators, loaders, and compact equipment.This provides diversification into non-farm infrastructure and commercial development.
Parts & ServiceMaintenance, repairs, and aftermarket parts.This segment offers higher, more stable margins compared to initial equipment sales.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 44.05
Enterprise Value 1.22B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value 1.22B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.24
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 33.27
Shares Outstanding 23.53M
Shares Floating 20.36M
Shares Outstanding 23.53M
Shares Floating 20.36M
Percent Insiders 11.26
Percent Institutions 92.29

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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