Titan Machinery Inc logo

Titan Machinery Inc(TITN)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 27 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-3.25% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$22.63
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TITN

10/09/2026: TITN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Titan Machinery is a cyclical retail business that serves as a vital link between major equipment manufacturers and end-users in the agricultural and construction sectors. Its main strength lies in a vast dealership network and a steady aftermarket service business, which provides resilience during market downturns. The core investment story centers on regional consolidation and the modernization of farming equipment through precision technology. Investors face risks related to commodity price volatility, interest rate sensitivity, and reliance on OEM partnerships. The stock best suits value-oriented investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility and monitor agricultural demand cycles closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is largely driven by consolidation and commodity cycles rather than sustained secular innovation.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong momentum during commodity-driven agricultural super-cycles.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at modest multiples relative to earnings during down-cycles.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a regular dividend.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe business is highly cyclical and sensitive to macro-economic volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to fluctuations in farm income and commodity pricing.
Valuation riskMediumEarnings multiples can expand or contract significantly based on cycle expectations.
Competition risk (OEM direct sales)Medium / highManufacturers could increase direct sales, potentially marginalizing the dealership model.
Business qualityMediumMargins are thin and require high volume and efficient inventory management.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not rely on the stock for steady income.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends heavily on integrating acquisitions and managing floorplan financing costs.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -52.87%
Avg. Invested days 20
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
TITN receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
TITN has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-46.8%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 4.7%), negative revenue growth (-10.2%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
TITN's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 19.7%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is TITN's strongest growth driver at +524.0% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-10.2%, negative) and earnings growth (-46.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 91.8% and approximately 86.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 11.26% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 10.40%
Nantahala Capital Management, LLC 9.63%
BlackRock Inc 7.14%
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC 6.69%
Jupiter Topco LLC 4.79%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
TITN generates approximately $158 of gross profit, $-1 of operating income, and $47 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Operating losses explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -19.31% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
TITN has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 532.55M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 25.25
Volume (30-day avg) 287.6K shares
Beta 1.41
52 Weeks Range 13.21 - 26.90
Updated Date 10/11/2026
52 Weeks Range 13.21 - 26.90
Updated Date 10/11/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.49

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
AgricultureCase IH & New Holland tractors and combines; parts and service.This is the core engine, sensitive to farm income.
ConstructionEarthmoving and road-building equipment.Tied to infrastructure and housing project demand.
GeographyPrimary operations in the Upper Midwest US and parts of Europe.Performance is linked to regional agricultural prosperity.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 44.05
Enterprise Value 1.43B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23
Enterprise Value 1.43B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.62
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 43.3
Shares Outstanding 23.53M
Shares Floating 20.36M
Shares Outstanding 23.53M
Shares Floating 20.36M
Percent Insiders 11.26
Percent Institutions 91.79

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.