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Upturn AI Summary - About
Tilray Inc(TLRY)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TLRY
10/16/2026: TLRY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Tilray Brands, Inc. is a diversified operator in the cannabis and beverage alcohol sectors, known for a broad portfolio of brands across international markets. Its main business strength lies in its diversified revenue streams, which help offset the volatility inherent in the Canadian cannabis industry. The primary investment story rests on the potential for future U.S. federal cannabis legalization or favorable rescheduling, which could unlock significant growth. Investors face substantial risks including sector-wide regulatory uncertainty, ongoing net losses, and potential equity dilution. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility and hold a long-term view on the evolution of the global cannabis market.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | High growth potential exists if U.S. regulations change, but historical execution has been inconsistent. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often experiences volatile swings tied to regulatory headlines rather than consistent technical trends. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's lack of consistent profitability makes traditional value metrics difficult to justify. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Tilray does not pay a dividend and focuses on cash preservation for growth and operations. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High volatility and sector-specific regulatory risks make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to legislative speculation and sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Speculative premiums often detach the share price from fundamental operating metrics. |
| Competition risk (Cannabis/Alcohol) | High | Oversupply in cannabis and saturated alcohol markets pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business has successfully diversified but remains structurally unprofitable. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No income is returned to shareholders via dividends. |
| Execution risk | High | Integrating diverse acquisitions requires significant management bandwidth and efficiency. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -50.86% | Avg. Invested days 15 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/16/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 449.27M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.89 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.89 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4.1M shares | Beta 1.92 | 52 Weeks Range 3.03 - 16.20 | Updated Date 10/17/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.03 - 16.20 | Updated Date 10/17/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.41 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Cannabis Operations | Adult-use and medical cannabis sales, wholesale, and cultivation. | This is the core revenue driver but remains subject to complex regulatory barriers. |
| Beverage Alcohol | Craft breweries and spirits brands. | This segment provides more stable, non-cannabis cash flow for the company. |
| Geography | Canada, Europe, and the United States. | International diversification helps mitigate dependence on any single regulatory market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 1000 | Enterprise Value 761.12M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.47 |
Enterprise Value 761.12M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.47 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 80.67 | Shares Outstanding 147.79M | Shares Floating 144.36M |
Shares Outstanding 147.79M | Shares Floating 144.36M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.59 | Percent Institutions 10.13 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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