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Upturn AI Summary - About
Rivian Automotive Inc(RIVN)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RIVN
10/09/2026: RIVN (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Rivian Automotive is an electric vehicle manufacturer known for its premium adventure-focused R1 series and commercial electric delivery vans. The company benefits from a strong brand and a strategic commercial partnership with Amazon, providing a foundation for its growth story. The primary opportunity lies in its planned shift toward more affordable, mass-market vehicles like the upcoming R2. However, the company faces significant risks related to production scaling, ongoing financial losses, and intense competition from larger automotive players. It is generally suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are interested in the long-term electrification trend and willing to monitor production and margin milestones.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Rivian is a high-growth company in an emerging sector, though it carries substantial execution and financial risk. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum can be significant, but is highly sensitive to production delivery reports and macro sentiment. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company is not currently profitable, making traditional value metrics difficult to apply. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | No dividends are paid, and capital is entirely focused on expansion. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's volatility and status as a loss-making growth stock do not suit risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock often experiences significant price swings based on production news and macro conditions. |
| Valuation risk | High | As a growth stock with no earnings, valuation depends heavily on future production and margin assumptions. |
| Competition risk | High | Intense competition from well-funded legacy auto makers and Tesla puts pressure on pricing and market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the technology is highly regarded, the company is still establishing the necessary scale for business maturity. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current expectation of dividend income. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully ramping up new platforms like the R2 is critical to the company's long-term survival. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -15.84% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 20.75B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23.9M shares | Beta 1.62 | 52 Weeks Range 12.39 - 22.69 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 12.39 - 22.69 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.58 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Vehicle Sales | Revenue from sales of R1T and R1S vehicles. | This is the primary revenue engine for the company. |
| Commercial Fleet | Revenue from the production and sale of electric delivery vans (EDVs). | Provides a base of recurring fleet demand and institutional partnerships. |
| Services and Other | Includes automotive finance, insurance, and charging network fees. | An emerging revenue stream that grows as the number of Rivian vehicles on the road increases. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 21.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53 |
Enterprise Value 21.79B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -1.96 | Shares Outstanding 1.44B | Shares Floating 945.41M |
Shares Outstanding 1.44B | Shares Floating 945.41M | ||
Percent Insiders 34.54 | Percent Institutions 40.34 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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