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Upturn stock rating
WMG logo

Warner Music Group (WMG)

Upturn stock rating
$32.99
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY12.9%
upturn advisory
WEAK BUY
BUY since 75 days
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/17/2025: WMG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

19 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $37.72

1 Year Target Price $37.72

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$37.72 Target price
52w Low $25.41
Current$32.99
52w High $35.99

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.86%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.20B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 57.89
1Y Target Price 37.72
Price to earnings Ratio 57.89
1Y Target Price 37.72
Volume (30-day avg) 19
Beta 1.31
52 Weeks Range 25.41 - 35.99
Updated Date 10/18/2025
52 Weeks Range 25.41 - 35.99
Updated Date 10/18/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.31%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.57

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.59%
Operating Margin (TTM) 15.45%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 6.46%
Return on Equity (TTM) 42.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE 57.89
Forward PE 23.75
Enterprise Value 21913114592
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value 21913114592
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.09
Shares Outstanding 145886566
Shares Floating 144526455
Shares Outstanding 145886566
Shares Floating 144526455
Percent Insiders 1.97
Percent Institutions 103.59

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Warner Music Group

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Warner Music Group (WMG) was founded in 1929 as Warner Bros. Music. It has evolved through various ownership structures, including Time Warner and Access Industries, becoming a publicly traded company (NASDAQ: WMG) in 2020. Significant milestones include acquisitions of major labels and expansion into digital music distribution.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Recorded Music: The Recorded Music segment involves discovering and developing artists, marketing and distributing their music, and licensing content across various platforms. This includes physical and digital sales, streaming, and licensing to film, TV, and commercials.
  • Music Publishing: The Music Publishing segment owns and administers copyrights to musical compositions. This includes licensing these compositions for use in recordings, performances, and other media, generating revenue from royalties.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Robert Kyncl serves as CEO. The company operates with a hierarchical structure, including executive leadership, label presidents, and functional teams for marketing, finance, and legal affairs.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Music Streaming (Artist Catalog): Warner Music Group's vast catalog of recorded music is its primary product, generating revenue through streaming services like Spotify and Apple Music. Streaming accounts for the majority of WMG's revenue. Market share fluctuates, but WMG is consistently among the top three global music companies. Competitors include Universal Music Group (UMG) and Sony Music Entertainment (SME).
  • Music Publishing (Song Rights): Warner Chappell Music, WMG's publishing arm, licenses and collects royalties for its songwriters' compositions. Revenue is generated through performance rights organizations (PROs) and direct licensing deals. Competitors include Sony Music Publishing and Universal Music Publishing Group.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The music industry is currently dominated by streaming, with physical sales declining but vinyl experiencing a resurgence. Live music is also a significant revenue stream. The industry is concentrated among three major labels: Universal, Sony, and Warner.

Positioning

Warner Music Group is one of the 'Big Three' record labels, holding a significant market share and leveraging its extensive catalog and artist roster. Its competitive advantages include its global reach, established relationships with artists, and investment in emerging markets.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global music market is estimated to reach $33 billion by 2023. WMG is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of this market through its recorded music and publishing operations.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive music catalog
  • Strong artist roster
  • Global distribution network
  • Established relationships with streaming platforms
  • Growing presence in emerging markets

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on streaming revenue
  • Dependence on hit records
  • Competition from independent artists
  • Vulnerability to piracy and copyright infringement
  • Potential royalty disputes

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of new revenue streams
  • Acquisition of smaller labels and catalogs
  • Leveraging technology for artist discovery and promotion
  • Growth in music publishing royalties

Threats

  • Changing consumer preferences
  • Increased competition from independent artists
  • Copyright infringement and piracy
  • Economic downturn
  • Shifting power dynamics with streaming platforms

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • UMG (Vivendi)
  • SONY (SNE)
  • HYBE (352820.KS)

Competitive Landscape

Warner Music Group faces strong competition from Universal and Sony. WMG differentiates itself through its artist development and global reach. However, it faces challenges from larger competitors with more market share and greater resources.

Major Acquisitions

Spinnin' Records

  • Year: 2017
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded WMG's presence in electronic dance music.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Warner Music Group has experienced growth primarily driven by the increase in streaming revenue. Strategic acquisitions and investments in emerging markets have also contributed to its growth.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth for Warner Music Group, driven by the continued expansion of streaming and the company's strategic initiatives. These projections depend on market conditions.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic partnerships with social media platforms, investments in emerging markets like Africa and Asia, and the acquisition of smaller music labels to expand its catalog.

Summary

Warner Music Group is a major player in the music industry, benefiting from the growth of streaming. Its extensive catalog and global reach are key strengths. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors and evolving consumer preferences. WMG must continue to innovate and adapt to maintain its competitive edge.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (where available), industry reports, analyst estimates, news articles

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Warner Music Group

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2020-06-03
President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert Kyncl
Sector Communication Services
Industry Entertainment
Full time employees 5800
Full time employees 5800

Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials; and conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, as well as sylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, TenThousand Projects, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. This segment markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. The Music Publishing segment owns and acquires rights to approximately one million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. This segment also administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York with a manufacturing unit in Singapore.