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Warner Music Group (WMG)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: WMG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $35.82
1 Year Target Price $35.82
9 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.5% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 16.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 57.07 | 1Y Target Price 35.82 |
Price to earnings Ratio 57.07 | 1Y Target Price 35.82 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 25.56 - 36.20 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 25.56 - 36.20 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.33% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.57 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-07 | When - | Estimate 0.29 | Actual 0.03 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.45% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 42.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 57.07 | Forward PE 22.57 | Enterprise Value 21047811572 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62 |
Enterprise Value 21047811572 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.62 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.25 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.18 | Shares Outstanding 145887008 | Shares Floating 144625496 |
Shares Outstanding 145887008 | Shares Floating 144625496 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.97 | Percent Institutions 104.94 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warner Music Group

Company Overview
History and Background
Warner Music Group (WMG) was founded in 1958 as Warner Bros. Records. It has evolved through various ownerships, including Time Warner and private equity firms, before going public in 2020. It is one of the 'big three' recording companies in the world.
Core Business Areas
- Recorded Music: Involves discovering and developing recording artists and distributing, marketing, and selling their music through physical and digital formats.
- Music Publishing: Involves owning and acquiring copyrights to musical compositions, licensing these copyrights for various uses, and collecting royalties.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Kyncl is the CEO. The organizational structure includes divisions for Recorded Music and Music Publishing, with regional and label-specific teams.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Music Recordings: Distribution and sales of music recordings in physical and digital formats. Market share is variable, around 16% in the USA in 2023, fluctuating with the success of their artists. Competitors: Universal Music Group, Sony Music Entertainment, independent labels.
- Music Publishing (Warner Chappell Music): Licensing of musical compositions for various uses, generating royalty income. Competitors: Sony Music Publishing, Universal Music Publishing Group.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The music industry is undergoing a digital transformation, with streaming services dominating revenue. There is also a resurgence of physical media, like vinyl records. Growth potential lies in emerging markets and new technologies like Web3 and NFTs.
Positioning
WMG is a major player in the music industry, with a vast catalog and global reach. Their competitive advantages include established relationships with artists, a strong publishing arm, and investments in new technologies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global music market is estimated to be worth over $80 billion. WMG is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its diverse portfolio and strategic partnerships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong catalog of artists and songs
- Global distribution network
- Established relationships with streaming services
- Growing music publishing business
- Investment in new technologies
Weaknesses
- Reliance on hit-driven business
- Exposure to piracy and copyright infringement
- Competition from independent artists
- Fluctuations in revenue based on artist popularity.
- Dependence on Key personnel for Artist Relationships
Opportunities
- Growth in streaming services
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Development of new revenue streams (NFTs, Web3)
- Acquisition of independent labels and catalogs
- Partnerships with technology companies
Threats
- Intense competition from other major labels
- Changing consumer preferences
- Piracy and copyright infringement
- Economic downturns
- Technological disruptions
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UMG.AS
- SONY
Competitive Landscape
WMG competes with UMG and Sony for artist signings, market share, and digital distribution. WMG differentiates itself through its focus on artist development and strategic partnerships.
Major Acquisitions
10K Projects
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Expand WMG's reach in hip hop and alternative music and gain access to a roster of successful artists.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: WMG's historical growth has been driven by the shift to digital music consumption and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by the continued growth of streaming services, expansion into emerging markets, and development of new revenue streams.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include partnerships with social media platforms, investments in Web3 technologies, and acquisitions of independent labels.
Summary
Warner Music Group is a strong player in the music industry, benefiting from the growth of streaming. Its vast catalog and global presence are key strengths. However, it faces intense competition and must adapt to changing consumer preferences and technological disruptions. Future success depends on its ability to innovate and capitalize on new revenue streams.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is approximate and may vary depending on the source. Financial data is based on the most recent available information and is subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warner Music Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-06-03 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert Kyncl | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Entertainment | Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.wmg.com |
Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.wmg.com |
Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials; and conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, as well as sylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, TenThousand Projects, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. This segment markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. The Music Publishing segment owns and acquires rights to approximately one million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. This segment also administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York with a manufacturing unit in Singapore.

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