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Warner Music Group (WMG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: WMG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $37.78
1 Year Target Price $37.78
| 9 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.47% | Avg. Invested days 55 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.53B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 43.09 | 1Y Target Price 37.78 |
Price to earnings Ratio 43.09 | 1Y Target Price 37.78 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.25 | 52 Weeks Range 25.25 - 35.76 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 25.25 - 35.76 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.45% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.42% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 51.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 43.09 | Forward PE 20 | Enterprise Value 19638387127 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 |
Enterprise Value 19638387127 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.1 | Shares Outstanding 147022746 | Shares Floating 145588509 |
Shares Outstanding 147022746 | Shares Floating 145588509 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.88 | Percent Institutions 109.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warner Music Group

Company Overview
History and Background
Warner Music Group (WMG) was founded in 1958 as a division of Warner Bros. Pictures. It has since evolved into one of the world's leading music companies, encompassing recorded music, music publishing, and artist services. Significant milestones include its acquisition by Time Warner in 1989, its spin-off as an independent company in 2004, and its subsequent acquisition by Access Industries in 2011. WMG went public again in 2020.
Core Business Areas
- Recorded Music: This segment focuses on discovering and developing recording artists, acquiring music rights, and marketing and distributing recorded music through various channels, including physical sales, digital downloads, and streaming. It represents the largest portion of WMG's revenue.
- Music Publishing: This segment operates through Warner Chappell Music, one of the world's largest music publishers. It owns and administers a vast catalog of songs and musical compositions, licensing them for use in various media and collecting royalties.
- Artist Services and Other: This segment includes various artist-focused services such as touring, merchandise, and brand partnerships, as well as other miscellaneous music-related businesses.
Leadership and Structure
Warner Music Group is led by a CEO and a Board of Directors. The company is organized into major labels and publishing divisions, with regional operations and specialized business units.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Recorded Music Catalog: WMG's core product is its extensive catalog of music from a diverse roster of artists across various genres. Market share in this area is deeply intertwined with overall streaming and physical sales figures, where WMG competes with Universal Music Group and Sony Music Entertainment. Specific revenue figures for individual product categories are not typically disclosed but contribute to the overall segment revenue.
- Music Publishing Catalog: Warner Chappell Music's vast catalog of songs and compositions. Its market share is significant within the music publishing industry, competing with companies like Universal Music Publishing Group and Sony Music Publishing. Revenue is generated through licensing fees and royalties.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The music industry is primarily driven by streaming services, digital downloads, and to a lesser extent, physical sales and live performances. Digital transformation has reshaped revenue streams, with subscription-based streaming becoming the dominant revenue source. The industry is highly competitive, with a focus on artist discovery, talent management, and intellectual property rights.
Positioning
Warner Music Group is one of the 'big three' major music companies, holding a significant global market share in both recorded music and music publishing. Its competitive advantages include its extensive catalog of music, strong relationships with artists and songwriters, global distribution network, and ability to adapt to evolving digital platforms.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global music industry TAM is estimated to be in the tens of billions of US dollars, with streaming services accounting for the largest and fastest-growing portion. WMG is a leading player within this TAM, vying for market share against other major labels and independent entities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive and valuable music catalog
- Strong relationships with artists and songwriters
- Global distribution network
- Diversified revenue streams (recorded music, publishing)
- Brand recognition and legacy
Weaknesses
- Dependence on streaming revenue growth
- Competition from major and independent labels
- Challenges in predicting and capitalizing on viral trends
- Artist royalties and contractual obligations
Opportunities
- Growth in emerging markets
- Expansion of direct-to-fan engagement and artist services
- Leveraging AI and new technologies for music creation and distribution
- Partnerships with emerging platforms and technologies
- Increased demand for music licensing in various media
Threats
- Piracy and illegal downloading
- Dominance of major streaming platforms
- Fluctuations in consumer spending on entertainment
- Changes in copyright laws and regulations
- Intensifying competition from independent artists and distributors
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Universal Music Group (UMG)
- Sony Music Entertainment (SONY)
Competitive Landscape
WMG competes directly with UMG and Sony Music Entertainment, the other two major music labels, for talent, market share, and distribution dominance. The landscape is also shaped by the growing influence of independent labels and direct-to-fan platforms. WMG's advantages lie in its diverse roster and established infrastructure, while challenges include the immense scale of its competitors and the evolving digital ecosystem.
Major Acquisitions
300 Entertainment
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 400
- Strategic Rationale: To expand WMG's frontline artist roster and strengthen its presence in hip-hop and R&B genres, particularly in the US market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: WMG has experienced steady revenue growth in recent years, primarily fueled by the expansion of digital music streaming. The company has also made strategic acquisitions to bolster its catalog and expand its services.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued modest revenue growth for WMG, driven by ongoing streaming adoption and potential new revenue streams. Growth in emerging markets and expansion of artist services are key areas for future development.
Recent Initiatives: Investments in emerging artists and genres,Expansion of global partnerships and distribution channels,Exploration of Web3 and blockchain technologies for artist engagement and revenue generation,Focus on data analytics to identify trends and opportunities
Summary
Warner Music Group is a strong player in the global music industry, benefiting from its vast catalog and established artist relationships. Its primary growth driver is the booming streaming market, although it faces intense competition from major rivals and the dynamic digital landscape. WMG needs to continue innovating in artist services and exploring new technologies to maintain its competitive edge and adapt to evolving consumer preferences.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Warner Music Group Investor Relations Reports
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is a general overview and analysis of Warner Music Group based on publicly available information and industry trends. Specific financial data is illustrative and should be verified with the latest official financial statements. Market share figures are estimates and can fluctuate. This is not financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warner Music Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-06-03 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert Kyncl | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Entertainment | Full time employees 5500 | Website https://www.wmg.com |
Full time employees 5500 | Website https://www.wmg.com | ||
Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The company is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials. It also owns and acquires rights to approximately two million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions, as well as administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. In addition, the company conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Asylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, and Warner Classics and Warner Records Nashville. Further, it markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, alternative, blues, gospel, and other Christian music. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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