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Warner Music Group (WMG)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/17/2025: WMG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $37.72
1 Year Target Price $37.72
9 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 21.86% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.20B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 57.89 | 1Y Target Price 37.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio 57.89 | 1Y Target Price 37.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 19 | Beta 1.31 | 52 Weeks Range 25.41 - 35.99 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 25.41 - 35.99 | Updated Date 10/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.31% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.57 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.59% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.45% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) 42.71% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 57.89 | Forward PE 23.75 | Enterprise Value 21913114592 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66 |
Enterprise Value 21913114592 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.39 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 23.09 | Shares Outstanding 145886566 | Shares Floating 144526455 |
Shares Outstanding 145886566 | Shares Floating 144526455 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.97 | Percent Institutions 103.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Warner Music Group

Company Overview
History and Background
Warner Music Group (WMG) was founded in 1929 as Warner Bros. Music. It has evolved through various ownership structures, including Time Warner and Access Industries, becoming a publicly traded company (NASDAQ: WMG) in 2020. Significant milestones include acquisitions of major labels and expansion into digital music distribution.
Core Business Areas
- Recorded Music: The Recorded Music segment involves discovering and developing artists, marketing and distributing their music, and licensing content across various platforms. This includes physical and digital sales, streaming, and licensing to film, TV, and commercials.
- Music Publishing: The Music Publishing segment owns and administers copyrights to musical compositions. This includes licensing these compositions for use in recordings, performances, and other media, generating revenue from royalties.
Leadership and Structure
Robert Kyncl serves as CEO. The company operates with a hierarchical structure, including executive leadership, label presidents, and functional teams for marketing, finance, and legal affairs.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Music Streaming (Artist Catalog): Warner Music Group's vast catalog of recorded music is its primary product, generating revenue through streaming services like Spotify and Apple Music. Streaming accounts for the majority of WMG's revenue. Market share fluctuates, but WMG is consistently among the top three global music companies. Competitors include Universal Music Group (UMG) and Sony Music Entertainment (SME).
- Music Publishing (Song Rights): Warner Chappell Music, WMG's publishing arm, licenses and collects royalties for its songwriters' compositions. Revenue is generated through performance rights organizations (PROs) and direct licensing deals. Competitors include Sony Music Publishing and Universal Music Publishing Group.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The music industry is currently dominated by streaming, with physical sales declining but vinyl experiencing a resurgence. Live music is also a significant revenue stream. The industry is concentrated among three major labels: Universal, Sony, and Warner.
Positioning
Warner Music Group is one of the 'Big Three' record labels, holding a significant market share and leveraging its extensive catalog and artist roster. Its competitive advantages include its global reach, established relationships with artists, and investment in emerging markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global music market is estimated to reach $33 billion by 2023. WMG is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of this market through its recorded music and publishing operations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive music catalog
- Strong artist roster
- Global distribution network
- Established relationships with streaming platforms
- Growing presence in emerging markets
Weaknesses
- Reliance on streaming revenue
- Dependence on hit records
- Competition from independent artists
- Vulnerability to piracy and copyright infringement
- Potential royalty disputes
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new revenue streams
- Acquisition of smaller labels and catalogs
- Leveraging technology for artist discovery and promotion
- Growth in music publishing royalties
Threats
- Changing consumer preferences
- Increased competition from independent artists
- Copyright infringement and piracy
- Economic downturn
- Shifting power dynamics with streaming platforms
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UMG (Vivendi)
- SONY (SNE)
- HYBE (352820.KS)
Competitive Landscape
Warner Music Group faces strong competition from Universal and Sony. WMG differentiates itself through its artist development and global reach. However, it faces challenges from larger competitors with more market share and greater resources.
Major Acquisitions
Spinnin' Records
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded WMG's presence in electronic dance music.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Warner Music Group has experienced growth primarily driven by the increase in streaming revenue. Strategic acquisitions and investments in emerging markets have also contributed to its growth.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project continued growth for Warner Music Group, driven by the continued expansion of streaming and the company's strategic initiatives. These projections depend on market conditions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include strategic partnerships with social media platforms, investments in emerging markets like Africa and Asia, and the acquisition of smaller music labels to expand its catalog.
Summary
Warner Music Group is a major player in the music industry, benefiting from the growth of streaming. Its extensive catalog and global reach are key strengths. However, the company faces challenges from larger competitors and evolving consumer preferences. WMG must continue to innovate and adapt to maintain its competitive edge.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (where available), industry reports, analyst estimates, news articles
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Warner Music Group
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-06-03 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Robert Kyncl | ||
Sector Communication Services | Industry Entertainment | Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.wmg.com |
Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.wmg.com |
Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials; and conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, as well as sylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Sire, Spinnin' Records, TenThousand Projects, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. This segment markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. The Music Publishing segment owns and acquires rights to approximately one million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions. Its catalog includes songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. This segment also administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York with a manufacturing unit in Singapore.

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