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ALK logo ALK
Upturn stock rating
ALK logo

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)

Upturn stock rating
$44.78
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/27/2025: ALK (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

16 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $68.93

1 Year Target Price $68.93

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$68.93 Target price
52w Low $39.79
Current$44.78
52w High $78.08

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.96%
Avg. Invested days 54
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.04B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 36.17
1Y Target Price 68.93
Price to earnings Ratio 36.17
1Y Target Price 68.93
Volume (30-day avg) 16
Beta 1.4
52 Weeks Range 39.79 - 78.08
Updated Date 10/27/2025
52 Weeks Range 39.79 - 78.08
Updated Date 10/27/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.21

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-23
When After Market
Estimate 1.1
Actual 1.05

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.06%
Operating Margin (TTM) 5.63%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 1.88%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.53%

Valuation

Trailing PE 36.17
Forward PE 6.63
Enterprise Value 9896905889
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36
Enterprise Value 9896905889
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45
Shares Outstanding 115232538
Shares Floating 114641395
Shares Outstanding 115232538
Shares Floating 114641395
Percent Insiders 0.58
Percent Institutions 90.92

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alaska Air Group Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 as McGee Airways, offering flights between Anchorage and Bristol Bay, Alaska. It evolved through mergers and acquisitions, becoming Alaska Airlines and eventually Alaska Air Group, expanding its service to include the continental US and international destinations.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Alaska Airlines: The primary operating segment providing passenger and cargo air transportation services, primarily focused on routes along the West Coast and to Alaska, Hawaii, and Mexico.
  • Horizon Air: A regional airline that operates under a capacity purchase agreement with Alaska Airlines, providing flights to smaller communities in the Pacific Northwest and beyond.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a CEO and executive team, with a board of directors overseeing strategic direction. The organizational structure includes various departments for operations, finance, marketing, and human resources.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Passenger Air Transportation: Alaska Airlines' primary offering. It focuses on West Coast travel and has a strong presence in the Pacific Northwest. Competitors include Delta (DAL), United (UAL), and Southwest (LUV). Market share data can be found in the 'Competitors' Section
  • Cargo Services: Alaska Air Cargo provides air freight services across Alaska Airlines' network, transporting goods and products to various destinations. Competitors include FedEx (FDX) and UPS (UPS).
  • Mileage Plan Loyalty Program: A frequent flyer program that rewards customers with miles for flying and other activities. Competitors: Delta SkyMiles, United MileagePlus, American AAdvantage.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The airline industry is highly competitive and subject to economic cycles, fuel price volatility, and regulatory changes. Demand fluctuates with travel trends and business cycles.

Positioning

Alaska Air Group is positioned as a leading airline in the Pacific Northwest, known for its customer service and focus on West Coast travel. It differentiates itself through its strong regional presence and Mileage Plan loyalty program.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global airline industry is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Alaska Air Group is positioned to capture a portion of this market, especially in the North America region.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation in the Pacific Northwest
  • Loyal customer base
  • Efficient operations
  • Solid financial performance

Weaknesses

  • Geographic concentration limits growth opportunities
  • Reliance on West Coast market
  • Exposure to fuel price volatility
  • Labor relations can be challenging

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Partnerships with other airlines
  • Increased demand for air travel
  • Growth in cargo services

Threats

  • Economic downturn
  • Increased competition
  • Terrorist attacks or security threats
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices
  • Regulatory changes

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DAL
  • UAL
  • LUV
  • AAL

Competitive Landscape

Alaska Air Group faces competition from major airlines like Delta, United, Southwest, and American. Its advantages include its strong brand in the Pacific Northwest and efficient operations. Disadvantages include its geographic concentration and exposure to fuel price volatility.

Major Acquisitions

Virgin America

  • Year: 2016
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2600
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Alaska Airlines' presence in California and increased its competitiveness on transcontinental routes.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth requires access to real-time financial data.

Future Projections: Future projections require access to real-time financial data and analyst estimates.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet modernization, expansion of routes, and enhancements to the Mileage Plan program.

Summary

Alaska Air Group is a strong regional player with a loyal customer base and solid financial performance. Its reliance on the West Coast and exposure to fuel price volatility are key risks. Recent initiatives like fleet modernization and route expansion position it for future growth, but competition remains intense. The acquisition of Virgin America was a significant move to bolster its footprint.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • SEC Filings
  • Company Website
  • Analyst Reports (Delayed Data)

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is based on current available information and may be subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alaska Air Group Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Seattle, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 2001-01-02
President, CEO & Director Mr. Benito Minicucci
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 31221
Full time employees 31221

Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates airlines. It operates through three segments: Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional. The company offers scheduled air transportation services on Boeing jet aircraft for passengers and cargo in the United States, and in parts of Canada, Mexico, Costa Rica, Belize, Guatemala, and the Bahamas; and for passengers across a shorter distance network within the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.