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Upturn AI Summary - About
AutoZone Inc(AZO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AZO
10/09/2026: AZO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AutoZone Inc is a leading U.S. retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts, serving both DIY enthusiasts and professional service shops. The company’s primary strengths include an extensive physical store footprint, a robust logistics network, and a consistent focus on share repurchases. Its growth story centers on expanding commercial B2B sales and capturing market share in a resilient, aftermarket-focused industry. Key risks include intense competition from O'Reilly and others, potential shifts toward electric vehicles, and macroeconomic sensitivity. AutoZone is generally suited for growth-oriented investors looking for a well-managed business in a stable industry, though the lack of a dividend may deter income-focused participants.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company demonstrates a consistent track record of earnings growth through operational scaling and share repurchases. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum suitability is conditional on positive technical indicators and broader market trends. |
| Value investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The company's disciplined capital allocation and historical valuation levels often appeal to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | AutoZone does not pay a cash dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While the business is resilient, equity market volatility and execution risks in a competitive industry present moderate risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Like most equities, AZO shares are subject to broader market fluctuations. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's premium valuation requires consistent execution to maintain shareholder value. |
| Competition risk (Retail and Professional) | High | Intense competition from O'Reilly and others puts pressure on margins and market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | AutoZone maintains a robust franchise with historically strong operating margins and brand equity. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The lack of dividend payments makes it irrelevant for income-seeking strategies. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on maintaining supply chain efficiency and effectively managing a large, distributed workforce. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.18% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 47.55B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.27 | 1Y Target Price 3719.96 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.27 | 1Y Target Price 3719.96 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 358.1K shares | Beta 0.4 | 52 Weeks Range 2730.65 - 4146.42 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2730.65 - 4146.42 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 152.55 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Auto Parts | Direct-to-consumer sales of automotive parts, fluids, and accessories. | This is the core of the business, where the company sells products to everyday drivers who perform their own maintenance. |
| Commercial Sales | B2B parts supply for professional repair shops and service centers. | This segment provides a growing revenue stream by serving professional mechanics who require high parts availability and fast delivery. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-09-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 54.54 | Actual 56.05 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.35% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.27 | Forward PE 16.5 | Enterprise Value 58.36B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 |
Enterprise Value 58.36B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.34 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.85 | Shares Outstanding 16.17M | Shares Floating 16.12M |
Shares Outstanding 16.17M | Shares Floating 16.12M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 98.96 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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