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Upturn AI Summary - About
AutoZone Inc(AZO)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AZO
10/23/2026: AZO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
AutoZone is a premier retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts, serving both DIY consumers and commercial repair shops. The company is known for its extensive store footprint, highly efficient logistics, and consistent track record of capital allocation, particularly through share repurchases. Its primary growth story remains the expansion of commercial business and the ongoing demand from an aging vehicle fleet. However, it faces risks from electric vehicle adoption, which may reduce future maintenance needs, and intense competition from e-commerce platforms. The stock is best suited for long-term investors seeking defensive growth, though those prioritizing dividend income should look elsewhere.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is steady and reliable rather than exponential, appealing more to consistent compounding investors. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits strong price momentum driven by consistent earnings performance. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the business quality is high, the stock often trades at premium valuation multiples. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | AutoZone does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The essential nature of the business and strong financial discipline provide a defensive profile. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can experience price swings based on overall market sentiment and consumer spending data. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Investors pay a premium for high-quality earnings, which can lead to corrections if growth expectations are not met. |
| Competition risk (E-commerce) | Medium | Amazon and other online platforms threaten the convenience advantage of traditional retail stores. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company's model has historically proven highly resilient and profitable across economic cycles. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income to provide a cushion during market downturns. |
| Execution risk | Low | The management team has a proven, decades-long track record of operational excellence. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -5.13% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 51.77B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.25 | 1Y Target Price 3670.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.25 | 1Y Target Price 3670.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 306.5K shares | Beta 0.4 | 52 Weeks Range 2730.65 - 3996.25 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2730.65 - 3996.25 | Updated Date 10/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 158.06 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| DIY Retail | Direct sales of parts and accessories through over 7,000 stores. | This is the core, stable revenue engine driven by everyday consumers. |
| Commercial (DIFM) | Parts delivery to repair shops and professional installers. | This is a key growth area as more repairs are handled by professionals. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.25 | Forward PE 16.5 | Enterprise Value 58.81B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.55 |
Enterprise Value 58.81B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.55 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.85 | Shares Outstanding 16.17M | Shares Floating 16.12M |
Shares Outstanding 16.17M | Shares Floating 16.12M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.25 | Percent Institutions 98.2 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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