Group 1 Automotive Inc logo

Group 1 Automotive Inc(GPI)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$244.97
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for GPI

10/23/2026: GPI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Group 1 Automotive Inc is a prominent automotive retailer that operates a large network of dealerships across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company benefits from a diversified brand portfolio and a stable, high-margin parts and service business that balances cyclical vehicle sales. Its primary growth strategy centers on disciplined M&A and digital transformation to capture a larger share of the customer lifecycle. While the business faces risks from economic downturns and shifting automotive retail models, its modest valuation and consistent dividend payments may appeal to value-oriented investors. Investors should monitor macroeconomic trends, interest rate environments, and the company's progress in adapting to the electric vehicle service landscape.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers moderate growth through M&A, but operates in a mature, cyclical industry.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit strong momentum during periods of auto industry strength, contingent on market upturn signals.
Value investorStrong fitThe stock often trades at a low P/E ratio, making it attractive to value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company pays a consistent dividend, though it is not primarily a high-yield income play.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe cyclical nature of the automotive sector makes the stock subject to higher volatility during economic downturns.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highAutomotive retail stocks are highly cyclical and reactive to consumer economic confidence.
Valuation riskLowThe stock often trades at modest multiples, limiting significant downside from valuation compression.
Competition risk (Automotive Retail)Medium / highIntense competition from peers and the shift to direct-to-consumer models could pressure margins.
Business qualityMediumThe business has a solid operating model, but relies on manufacturer allocations and economic cycles.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are reliable but provide moderate yield compared to pure-play income stocks.
Execution riskMediumThe reliance on successfully integrating acquired dealerships remains key to long-term growth.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -29.25%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
GPI receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
GPI has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+13.2%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-35.0%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 1.7%), soft profitability (net margin 1.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
GPI's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (1.7% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is GPI's strongest growth driver at +69.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+13.2%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-35.0%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 111.2% and approximately 80.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.39% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 17.09%
Conifer Management, LLC 8.11%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 5.94%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.82%
FMR Inc 4.72%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
GPI generates approximately $155 of gross profit, $42 of operating income, and $17 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 2-star rating, with moderate cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 28.05%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
GPI has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.92B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.24
1Y Target Price 333.33
Price to earnings Ratio 10.24
1Y Target Price 333.33
Volume (30-day avg) 262.5K shares
Beta 0.92
52 Weeks Range 224.65 - 426.66
Updated Date 10/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 224.65 - 426.66
Updated Date 10/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.04%
Basic EPS (TTM) 23.93

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
New Vehicle RetailSale of new vehicles from various manufacturers.The primary volume driver, though often carries lower per-unit profit margins.
Used Vehicle RetailSale of pre-owned vehicles and wholesale operations.Provides a crucial alternative for price-sensitive buyers and better margins than new cars.
Parts and ServiceMaintenance, repairs, and sale of parts.This is a high-margin, recurring revenue business that stabilizes earnings during economic cycles.
Finance and InsuranceFinancing, extended warranties, and insurance sales.Highly profitable segment that significantly boosts the bottom line per transaction.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-28
When Before Market
Estimate 9.65
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) 3.83%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.5%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.49%

Valuation

Trailing PE 10.24
Forward PE 5.67
Enterprise Value 8.64B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13
Enterprise Value 8.64B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.13
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.39
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.56
Shares Outstanding 11.92M
Shares Floating 9.58M
Shares Outstanding 11.92M
Shares Floating 9.58M
Percent Insiders 2.39
Percent Institutions 111.24

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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