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Upturn AI Summary - About
Airbnb Inc(ABNB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ABNB
10/28/2026: ABNB (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Airbnb is a global travel platform that has built a leading position in the alternative accommodation market through a marketplace model. The company benefits from strong brand equity and an asset-light structure, allowing for high operational leverage. Its primary growth story revolves around expanding into long-term rentals and enhancing the user experience through technology. However, investors must consider material risks, including ongoing regulatory challenges in major cities and competition from established travel aggregators. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility and are monitoring the company's ability to maintain high margins amidst shifting travel demand.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Airbnb demonstrates strong revenue growth potential and scaling capabilities within the global travel sector. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fit is conditional on positive price trends and market sentiment toward travel stocks. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | Airbnb's valuation often commands a premium, making it less attractive for traditional deep-value investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, prioritizing cash flow for growth and repurchases. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The stock carries high volatility and regulatory risks associated with the travel and gig-economy sectors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | High beta leads to significant price swings, impacting short-term investor outcomes. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | The stock often trades at high multiples, leaving little room for error during growth decelerations. |
| Competition risk (Direct competition from OTAs) | Medium / high | Intense pressure from well-funded travel aggregators could compress margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | The platform possesses strong network effects and significant brand equity. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Income-focused investors will find no yield here. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Maintaining quality across millions of hosts globally remains a complex operational challenge. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.68% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 101.09B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 38.46 | 1Y Target Price 183.95 |
Price to earnings Ratio 38.46 | 1Y Target Price 183.95 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4.3M shares | Beta 1.24 | 52 Weeks Range 110.81 - 193.45 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 110.81 - 193.45 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.39 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Service Fees | Commission fees charged to both hosts and guests for successful bookings on the platform. | Airbnb acts as a middleman, collecting a percentage fee on every transaction processed. |
| Geography: North America | Revenue generated from bookings within the US, Canada, and Mexico. | North America remains a primary, high-spending market for the company's growth. |
| Geography: International | Bookings across Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. | International markets provide critical diversification and long-term expansion opportunities. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 2.89 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 20.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.01% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 6.14% | Return on Equity (TTM) 34.54% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 38.46 | Forward PE 27.62 | Enterprise Value 91.28B | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.68 |
Enterprise Value 91.28B | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.68 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 32.4 | Shares Outstanding 419.53M | Shares Floating 405.77M |
Shares Outstanding 419.53M | Shares Floating 405.77M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.94 | Percent Institutions 89.98 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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