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Upturn AI SWOT - About
agilon health Inc (AGL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/18/2025: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.9% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/18/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 902.42M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4741384 | Beta 0.14 | 52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 7.73 | Updated Date 06/19/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 7.73 | Updated Date 06/19/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.62 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.41% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -8.85% | Return on Equity (TTM) -42.97% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 | Enterprise Value 577349878 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.15 |
Enterprise Value 577349878 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.15 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.1 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 | Shares Outstanding 413952000 | Shares Floating 307417149 |
Shares Outstanding 413952000 | Shares Floating 307417149 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.1 | Percent Institutions 97.64 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.3 | Target Price 4.25 | Buy - | Strong Buy 4 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 4 | ||
Hold 14 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
agilon health Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
agilon health Inc. was founded in 2016. It focuses on partnering with physician groups to help them transition to value-based care models. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2021 and expansion to multiple states.
Core Business Areas
- Value-Based Care Platform: Provides a technology and service platform that enables physician groups to manage the health of their patients under value-based care arrangements.
- Risk-Bearing Entity: Acts as a risk-bearing entity, contracting directly with payers (Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial insurers) to manage the total cost of care for patients.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Steve Sell. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for operations, finance, technology, and sales.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- agilonONE Platform: A technology and service platform providing data analytics, care management tools, and administrative support. The platform supports roughly 600,000 patients. Competitors include population health management solutions from companies like Optum (UNH) and Cerner (ORCL).
- Value-Based Care Agreements: Agreements with physician groups and payers to manage the total cost of care for a defined population of patients. Revenue generated from these agreements constitutes a significant portion of the company's income. Competitors include traditional fee-for-service models and other value-based care enablers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The healthcare industry is rapidly shifting towards value-based care models, driven by the need to control costs and improve patient outcomes. This trend creates significant opportunities for companies like agilon health.
Positioning
agilon health is positioned as an enabler of value-based care, offering a comprehensive platform and risk-bearing capabilities to support physician groups. Its competitive advantage lies in its integrated approach and proven track record.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for value-based care is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Agilon is positioned to capture a meaningful share of this market by expanding its network of physician partners and payer relationships.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Scalable Platform
- Strong Physician Partnerships
- Proven Track Record in Value-Based Care
- Experienced Management Team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Key Physician Partners
- Complexity of Value-Based Care Models
- Relatively new company with shorter performance history
- High implementation costs
Opportunities
- Expansion to New Geographies
- Partnerships with Additional Payers
- Growth in Medicare Advantage
- Acquisition of Complementary Businesses
Threats
- Changes in Healthcare Regulations
- Increased Competition
- Economic Downturn Affecting Healthcare Spending
- Cybersecurity Threats
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UNH
- CVS
- HUM
Competitive Landscape
Agilon's competitive advantage comes from its tech and service platform focusing on value-based agreements. Disadvantages include relative newness and smaller size.
Major Acquisitions
Essential Care Physicians
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 47
- Strategic Rationale: Expansion into Florida market and adding physicians to the agilon network.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Agilon health has experienced rapid growth in revenue and membership over the past few years.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and membership, driven by the increasing adoption of value-based care. Profitability is expected to improve over time as the company achieves greater scale.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new geographic markets and partnering with new physician groups and payers.
Summary
agilon health is a growing company in the value-based care market. The company has a strong platform and partnerships, but profitability is still a concern. It needs to watch out for increased competition and changes in healthcare regulations.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Website
- Analyst Reports
- Yahoo Finance
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and estimates can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About agilon health Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Westerville, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Steven Jackson Sell | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 1076 | Website https://www.agilonhealth.com |
Full time employees 1076 | Website https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Westerville, Ohio.
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