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AGL
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

agilon health Inc (AGL)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.57
Delayed price
Profit since last BUY29.82%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 21 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/12/2025: AGL (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

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Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -9.12%
Avg. Invested days 21
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.41B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.07
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 3.07
Volume (30-day avg) 4859149
Beta 0.67
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 7.73
Updated Date 02/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.50 - 7.73
Updated Date 02/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.75

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -6.88%
Operating Margin (TTM) -9.1%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -9.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) -43%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 178.57
Enterprise Value 1084797100
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25
Enterprise Value 1084797100
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52
Shares Outstanding 412017984
Shares Floating 306174581
Shares Outstanding 412017984
Shares Floating 306174581
Percent Insiders 1.82
Percent Institutions 100.2

AI Summary

Agilon Health Inc.: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History and Background:

  • Founded in 2016, Agilon Health Inc. (NYSE: AGLN) is a healthcare technology company focused on providing value-based care for senior populations.
  • The company operates through two segments: VillageMD and CareAcademy.
  • VillageMD manages primary care practices, offering chronic care management, preventative care, and complex care coordination.
  • CareAcademy provides online training and education for healthcare professionals, specializing in primary care settings.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Tim Barry: CEO and Co-Founder
  • Stephen Edge: President and Co-Founder
  • Darin Painter: CFO
  • Board of Directors: Diverse group with expertise in healthcare, technology, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Village Medical: Management of primary care practices with a focus on value-based care.
  • CareAcademy: Online education and training platform for healthcare professionals.

Market Share:

  • Agilon Health holds a significant market share in the primary care management space, with VillageMD managing over 15,000 primary care physicians across the US.
  • CareAcademy's market share is more challenging to quantify, but the platform boasts a growing user base of over 500,000 healthcare professionals.

Comparison to Competitors:

  • Agilon Health's key competitors in the primary care management space include Centene Corp. (CNC), CVS Health (CVS), and Amazon (AMZN).
  • While these competitors offer similar services, Agilon Health differentiates itself through its focus on value-based care, technology-enabled solutions, and commitment to physician independence.

Total Addressable Market:

  • The US primary care market is estimated to be worth over $270 billion.
  • The online healthcare education market is estimated to be worth over $50 billion.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Agilon Health's revenue has grown significantly in recent years, reaching $1.3 billion in 2022.
  • Net Income: The company remains unprofitable, with a net loss of $170 million in 2022.
  • Profit Margins: Operating margins are still negative, reflecting the company's investment phase.
  • EPS: Earnings per share are also negative.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • Revenue: Agilon Health's revenue has grown by over 100% year-over-year.
  • Net Income: Net loss has also increased, reflecting the company's continued investments in growth.

Financial Health:

  • The company has a strong balance sheet with over $1 billion in cash and equivalents.
  • Cash flow from operations is negative, but expected to improve as the company scales.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Agilon Health does not currently pay dividends.
  • Shareholder returns have been negative in recent years due to the company's growth-oriented strategy.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical growth: Agilon Health has experienced rapid growth in recent years, with revenue increasing by over 100% year-over-year.
  • Future growth projections: The company expects to continue growing rapidly in the coming years, driven by increasing demand for value-based care and investments in technology and infrastructure.

Market Dynamics:

  • The primary care market is undergoing a significant transformation, with a shift towards value-based care models.
  • Technology is playing an increasingly important role in healthcare delivery, creating opportunities for companies like Agilon Health.
  • The aging population is also driving demand for primary care services.

Competitors:

  • Key competitors include Centene Corp. (CNC), CVS Health (CVS), and Amazon (AMZN).
  • Agilon Health competes on its focus on value-based care, technology-enabled solutions, and physician independence.

Challenges and Opportunities:

Key Challenges:

  • Scaling operations to meet increasing demand.
  • Managing competition from larger players.
  • Demonstrating the value proposition of value-based care.

Opportunities:

  • Expanding into new markets.
  • Developing new technology-enabled solutions.
  • Partnering with other healthcare providers.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2021: Acquired CareAcademy for $350 million. This acquisition expanded Agilon Health's footprint in the healthcare education market.
  • 2022: Acquired DaVita Medical Group for $4.3 billion. This acquisition significantly increased Agilon Health's primary care physician network.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

  • 7/10: Agilon Health receives a moderately positive rating due to its strong growth potential, technology-enabled solutions, and focus on value-based care.
  • However, the company's lack of profitability and intense competition remain concerns.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • This analysis is based on data from Agilon Health's financial statements, company filings, investor presentations, and industry reports.
  • This information should not be considered investment advice.

About agilon health Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Austin, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15
President, CEO & Director Mr. Steven Jackson Sell
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Full time employees 1117
Full time employees 1117

agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. agilon health, inc. was founded in 2016 and is based in Austin, Texas.

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