AGL
AGL 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory

agilon health Inc (AGL)

agilon health Inc (AGL) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$0.75
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close icon Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Upturn Advisory Summary

11/05/2025: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

4 star rating from financial analysts

20 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $1.13

1 Year Target Price $1.13

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$1.13 Target price
52w Low $0.64
Current$0.75
52w High $6.08

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -13.9%
Avg. Invested days 22
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/05/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 276.61M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.13
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 1.13
Volume (30-day avg) 20
Beta 0.06
52 Weeks Range 0.64 - 6.08
Updated Date 11/8/2025
52 Weeks Range 0.64 - 6.08
Updated Date 11/8/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.78

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-30
When -
Estimate -0.1501
Actual -0.2561

Profitability

Profit Margin -5.24%
Operating Margin (TTM) -8.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -12.52%
Return on Equity (TTM) -73.31%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 178.57
Enterprise Value 161949000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05
Enterprise Value 161949000
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52
Shares Outstanding 414581604
Shares Floating 286372243
Shares Outstanding 414581604
Shares Floating 286372243
Percent Insiders 2.08
Percent Institutions 91.94

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

agilon health Inc

agilon health Inc(AGL) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

agilon health was founded in 2016. It partners with physician groups to create value-based care models, enabling them to transition from fee-for-service to a more proactive, risk-bearing approach. The company went public in April 2021.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Partnership Model: Agilon Health partners with primary care physicians by providing a fully integrated and capital-efficient model to manage patient populations under full risk.
  • Technology and Analytics: Offers a technology platform and data analytics to support physician decision-making and improve patient outcomes.
  • Care Management: Provides care management services to coordinate patient care and improve the quality of care delivered.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Steve Sell. The organizational structure is centered around supporting partner physician groups through regional and central support teams.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Full-Risk Model: agilon health's core offering involves partnering with physician groups to manage patient populations under full-risk contracts with payers. This includes access to its technology platform, care management services, and network of specialists. Market share data is not directly available in percentages, but agilon manages care for approximately 800,000 patients as of 2024. Competitors include companies offering similar value-based care models or ACO enablement such as Privia Health, Oak Street Health (acquired by CVS), and ChenMed.
  • agilonONE Platform: A proprietary technology platform which provides insights into the patient's care. Number of users are the number of patients managed which is approximately 800,000 as of 2024. Competitors are companies that offer a similar technology.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The healthcare industry is shifting towards value-based care models, driven by the need to control costs and improve patient outcomes. This involves moving away from fee-for-service reimbursement and towards models that reward quality and efficiency.

Positioning

Agilon Health is positioned as an enabler of value-based care for primary care physicians. It provides a comprehensive platform and support services to help them transition to and succeed in risk-bearing arrangements. Its competitive advantage lies in its proven track record and scalability.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for value-based care enablement is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, representing the total healthcare spending that can be managed under these models. Agilon is positioned to capture a significant share of this market by expanding its network of physician partners.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Scalable business model
  • Proven technology platform
  • Strong relationships with physician groups
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on payer contracts
  • Operational complexity
  • Potential for adverse selection
  • High customer acquisition costs

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Partnerships with additional physician groups
  • Development of new value-based care products
  • Increase penetration with existing partners

Threats

  • Changes in healthcare regulations
  • Increased competition
  • Adverse selection
  • Economic downturn

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • CLOV
  • OOSH
  • PVAH

Competitive Landscape

Agilon Health faces competition from other value-based care enablers and managed care organizations. Its advantages include a strong track record and proven technology platform. Disadvantages can stem from the need for continued growth with capital and need to achieve economies of scale.

Major Acquisitions

Essentia Primary Care

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
  • Strategic Rationale: The company acquired Essentia to expand their geographic market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Agilon Health has experienced significant revenue growth in recent years due to its expansion into new markets and increased penetration within existing markets.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth and profitability as the company scales its value-based care model. Earnings are expected to improve as efficiencies are generated.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding partnerships with physician groups, enhancing its technology platform, and developing new care management programs.

Summary

Agilon Health is a growing company in the value-based care space, demonstrating strong revenue growth. Profitability remains a challenge, reflected in negative net income, but improving margins suggest progress. Its core business model and strong partnerships with physician groups position it well, though continued expansion with capital requirements and market competition are key considerations. The shift in healthcare to value-based care presents a tailwind but they must execute to capture market share.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (SEC)
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be subject to change. Market share estimates are approximate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About agilon health Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Westerville, OH, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15
CEO -
Sector Healthcare
Industry Medical Care Facilities
Full time employees 1076
Full time employees 1076

agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Westerville, Ohio.