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agilon health Inc (AGL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/30/2025: AGL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
20 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $0.96
1 Year Target Price $0.96
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.9% | Avg. Invested days 22 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/30/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 305.88M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 0.96 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 0.96 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 20 | Beta 0.07 | 52 Weeks Range 0.51 - 6.08 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 0.51 - 6.08 | Updated Date 12/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.78 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.24% | Operating Margin (TTM) -8.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -12.52% | Return on Equity (TTM) -73.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 178.57 | Enterprise Value 27170328 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05 |
Enterprise Value 27170328 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -104.52 | Shares Outstanding 414581604 | Shares Floating 268599130 |
Shares Outstanding 414581604 | Shares Floating 268599130 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.08 | Percent Institutions 92.72 |
Upturn AI SWOT
agilon health Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
agilon health Inc. was founded in 2017 by Ronald K. K. Paul and is a healthcare company focused on empowering physicians to manage the health of their senior patients. The company partners with independent physician groups to transition them to value-based care models. Key milestones include its IPO in March 2021, which raised approximately $987 million.
Core Business Areas
- Value-Based Care Enablement Platform: agilon health provides a comprehensive platform that enables physician groups to succeed in value-based care arrangements. This includes data analytics, care coordination, patient engagement tools, and risk management support.
- Partnership Network Development: The company actively builds and manages a network of physician partners, supporting them in adopting and excelling within value-based payment models, particularly for Medicare Advantage beneficiaries.
Leadership and Structure
agilon health is led by its co-founder and CEO, Ronald K. Paul. The company operates through a partnership model, working closely with physician groups to integrate its platform and services into their existing practices.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- agilon Health Platform: A technology and service platform designed to support physicians in value-based care. This includes advanced analytics, care management, patient engagement, and administrative support. No specific market share data is publicly available for this platform as it's an integrated offering. Key competitors in the broader health tech and value-based care enablement space include companies like Optum, ChenMed, and various EHR/practice management software providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The healthcare industry is undergoing a significant shift towards value-based care, moving away from fee-for-service models. This trend is driven by payers, including Medicare and commercial insurers, seeking to improve quality outcomes and control costs. The senior care market, particularly Medicare Advantage, is a key focus for value-based initiatives.
Positioning
agilon health is positioned as a critical enabler for independent physician groups looking to navigate and thrive in the complex value-based care landscape. Its competitive advantage lies in its specialized focus on senior populations and its ability to provide a comprehensive solution that addresses the multifaceted challenges of value-based care.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for value-based care enablement and senior primary care is substantial and growing. While precise figures vary, the shift towards value-based payments across Medicare, Medicaid, and commercial insurance represents hundreds of billions of dollars annually. agilon health is targeting a significant portion of this market, particularly the Medicare Advantage segment, by partnering with physician groups.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on value-based care, a growing industry trend.
- Partnership model with physician groups, creating a loyal network.
- Experienced leadership team with expertise in healthcare and value-based care.
- Proprietary technology platform that supports care coordination and analytics.
- Alignment with government initiatives to improve senior healthcare outcomes.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on a limited number of physician partners.
- Potential for regulatory changes impacting value-based care models.
- The complexity of integrating new technologies and care models into physician practices.
- Execution risk in scaling the partnership model effectively.
- Profitability can be sensitive to patient outcomes and risk adjustment.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets and physician groups.
- Growth of the Medicare Advantage program and increasing adoption of value-based care by Medicare Advantage plans.
- Development of new services and solutions within the value-based care ecosystem.
- Potential for partnerships with larger health systems or payers.
- Leveraging data analytics for enhanced population health management.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from other value-based care enablers and integrated health systems.
- Changes in government reimbursement policies or value-based care program structures.
- Increased operational costs and administrative burdens.
- Cybersecurity risks and data privacy concerns.
- The ability of physician groups to achieve desired clinical outcomes.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Optum (UnitedHealth Group) (US Stock Symbol: UNH)
- ChenMed (Private)
- Oak Street Health (Acquired by CVS Health) (US Stock Symbol: CVS)
Competitive Landscape
agilon health competes in a dynamic and evolving landscape. Its primary advantage lies in its focused approach to empowering independent physician groups with a comprehensive value-based care platform. However, larger, more integrated players like Optum and established providers like ChenMed, along with recently acquired entities like Oak Street Health, possess significant market presence, resources, and established patient bases. agilon's challenge is to continue scaling its model effectively while demonstrating superior clinical and financial outcomes to attract and retain physician partners and payers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: agilon health has experienced rapid revenue growth since its inception, driven by its expansion of physician partnerships and the increasing adoption of value-based care models. The number of physicians and patients on its platform has grown significantly.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for agilon health generally anticipate continued revenue growth as the company expands its network and as value-based care becomes more prevalent. However, profitability is expected to improve gradually, with many analysts forecasting a path to profitability over the next few years.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely include continued expansion of its physician network, enhancements to its technology platform to further support value-based care outcomes, and deepening relationships with Medicare Advantage plans. The company also focuses on improving operational efficiency to drive towards profitability.
Summary
agilon health Inc. is a rapidly growing company positioned to capitalize on the shift towards value-based healthcare, particularly for seniors. Its core strength lies in its comprehensive platform that empowers independent physician groups. While revenue growth is robust, the company faces challenges with profitability and intense competition. Continued focus on operational efficiency, clinical outcomes, and strategic partnerships will be crucial for its long-term success and navigating the evolving healthcare landscape.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- agilon health Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is an automated analysis based on publicly available information. It is not financial advice and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. Financial data is subject to change and may have reporting variations. Market share data is an estimation based on available industry data and competitive analysis. Users are encouraged to conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About agilon health Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Westerville, OH, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-15 | CEO - | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Medical Care Facilities | Full time employees 1076 | Website https://www.agilonhealth.com |
Full time employees 1076 | Website https://www.agilonhealth.com | ||
agilon health, inc. provides healthcare services for seniors through primary care physicians in the communities of the United States. It offers a platform that manages the total healthcare needs of the patients by subscription-like per-member per-month. The company was formerly known as Agilon Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to agilon health, inc. in March 2021. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Westerville, Ohio.
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