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AGNC logo AGNC
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
AGNC logo

AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$9.28
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY0.76%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 14 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: AGNC (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 14 days. Profits (0.76%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

15 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $9.45

Year Target Price $9.45

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$9.45Target price
Low$7.64
Current$9.28
high$10.12

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 8.76%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.47B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.78
1Y Target Price 9.45
Price to earnings Ratio 25.78
1Y Target Price 9.45
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 1.28
52 Weeks Range 7.64 - 10.12
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.64 - 10.12
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 15.53%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.36

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 80.48%
Operating Margin (TTM) 64.1%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.56%
Return on Equity (TTM) 5.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.78
Forward PE 5.65
Enterprise Value 59216084992
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.21
Enterprise Value 59216084992
Price to Sales(TTM) 16.21
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 1020380032
Shares Floating 1013294001
Shares Outstanding 1020380032
Shares Floating 1013294001
Percent Insiders 0.39
Percent Institutions 41.93

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.93
Target Price 9.45
Buy 4
Strong Buy 5
Buy 4
Strong Buy 5
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

AGNC Investment Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

AGNC Investment Corp. was founded in 2008 and is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investing in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) on a leveraged basis. Initially capitalized to take advantage of distressed mortgage assets, it has grown into a leading agency MBS investor.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Agency MBS Investments: AGNC invests primarily in residential mortgage-backed securities for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government agency or U.S. Government-sponsored entity (GSE), such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. It also has small percentage of non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, commercial mortgage-backed securities, and other investments.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Peter Federico (President and CEO). The organizational structure is that of a REIT, with a board of directors overseeing management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Agency MBS: AGNC's primary offering is investment in Agency MBS. As an REIT, AGNC's revenue is generated by the net interest margin between its asset yields (from MBS holdings) and its funding costs (from repurchase agreements and other borrowings). Market share data specifically for Agency MBS investors is less readily available than for broader asset management categories. Competitors include other REITs and institutional investors with similar investment strategies.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The agency MBS market is influenced by interest rates, monetary policy, housing market conditions, and the actions of government agencies. The industry is highly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and changes in the yield curve.

Positioning

AGNC is one of the largest and most established agency MBS REITs. Its competitive advantages include its scale, expertise in MBS investing, and active risk management practices. It maintains a sizable portfolio and actively hedges interest rate risk.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market is the total value of agency MBS outstanding, which is in the trillions of dollars. AGNC is positioned to capitalize on this vast market by leveraging its expertise and capital to generate returns through spread investing.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large scale and established market presence
  • Expertise in agency MBS investing
  • Active risk management and hedging strategies
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • High sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
  • Reliance on repurchase agreements for funding
  • Exposure to changes in government policy
  • Highly leveraged business model

Opportunities

  • Potential to increase portfolio size as the agency MBS market grows
  • Ability to capitalize on market dislocations and volatility
  • Expansion into related asset classes
  • Refinancing its current investments with more favorable terms

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Changes in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve
  • Increased competition from other REITs and institutional investors
  • Changes in government regulations affecting the agency MBS market

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NLY
  • IVR
  • ARR
  • TWO

Competitive Landscape

AGNC competes with other mortgage REITs for capital and investment opportunities. Its competitive advantages include its scale and expertise, but it also faces challenges from smaller, more nimble competitors and larger institutional investors.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: AGNC's growth has been driven by the expansion of its agency MBS portfolio and active management of its funding costs. The growth has varied as well as the performance.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on factors such as interest rate trends, government policy, and the overall health of the housing market. Analyst estimates should be reviewed to get insight.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include strategic portfolio adjustments, hedging activities, and efforts to optimize funding costs.

Summary

AGNC Investment Corp. is a leading agency MBS REIT that benefits from its scale and expertise. It's sensitive to interest rate changes, requiring active risk management. Future performance depends on the interest rate environment and regulatory landscape, although dividends look promising. AGNC has had solid shareholder returns but is very cyclical.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • AGNC Investment Corp. Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Company Press Releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual circumstances and thorough due diligence.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About AGNC Investment Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 2008-05-13
President, CEO & Director and Chief Investment Officer Mr. Peter J. Federico
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 53
Full time employees 53

AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.