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AGNC logo AGNC
Upturn stock rating
AGNC logo

AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC)

Upturn stock rating
$9.99
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY14.04%
upturn advisory
Strong Buy
BUY since 92 days
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/17/2025: AGNC (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 92 days. Simulated Profits (14.04%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

15 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $9.9

1 Year Target Price $9.9

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$9.9 Target price
52w Low $7.27
Current$9.99
52w High $10.31

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 19.81%
Avg. Invested days 66
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/17/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.52B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 33.3
1Y Target Price 9.9
Price to earnings Ratio 33.3
1Y Target Price 9.9
Volume (30-day avg) 15
Beta 1.31
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 10.31
Updated Date 10/18/2025
52 Weeks Range 7.27 - 10.31
Updated Date 10/18/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 14.52%
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.3

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-20
When After Market
Estimate 0.39
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 76.21%
Operating Margin (TTM) 125%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.42%
Return on Equity (TTM) 3.98%

Valuation

Trailing PE 33.3
Forward PE 6.3
Enterprise Value 59186909184
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.22
Enterprise Value 59186909184
Price to Sales(TTM) 21.22
Enterprise Value to Revenue -
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 1053322495
Shares Floating 1034596697
Shares Outstanding 1053322495
Shares Floating 1034596697
Percent Insiders 0.37
Percent Institutions 43.15

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

AGNC Investment Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

AGNC Investment Corp. was founded in 2008 and is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). It has grown to become one of the largest REITs in the sector.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: AGNC primarily invests in agency MBS, which are residential mortgage-backed securities guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or by Ginnie Mae.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by Peter Federico as President and CEO. The organizational structure involves investment management and operations teams focused on portfolio management, risk management, and capital allocation.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Agency MBS Portfolio: AGNC's primary offering is its portfolio of agency MBS. Specific market share data for a single REIT's MBS holdings is not readily available; instead, overall market share is tracked at the agency level. Competitors are other REITs and institutional investors who invest in agency MBS.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The REIT industry, particularly the mortgage REIT sector, is influenced by interest rates, macroeconomic conditions, and housing market dynamics. It is a competitive sector with many companies managing large amounts of debt.

Positioning

AGNC is a large, well-established player in the agency MBS space. Its scale provides access to favorable financing and operational efficiencies. It faces competition from similar REITs and institutional investors.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for agency MBS is trillions of dollars. AGNC holds a relatively small but significant portion of this market. Its positioning depends on its ability to generate positive returns from its holdings compared to other investment options.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Experienced management team
  • Large asset base providing economies of scale
  • High liquidity
  • Focus on agency MBS reduces credit risk

Weaknesses

  • Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations (interest rate risk)
  • Reliance on short-term repurchase agreements for funding
  • External management structure (historically, although now internally managed)
  • High leverage

Opportunities

  • Expansion into related asset classes
  • Increased investment in higher-yielding MBS
  • Strategic acquisitions to grow asset base
  • Benefit from favorable changes in government housing policy

Threats

  • Rising interest rates impacting portfolio value
  • Increased competition in the agency MBS market
  • Changes in government regulations affecting MBS market
  • Economic downturn leading to mortgage delinquencies (indirectly, via impact on agency MBS spreads)

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • NLY
  • TWO
  • IVR

Competitive Landscape

AGNC is a leading mREIT due to its larger asset base and focus on agency-backed securities. NLY and TWO pursue different investment strategies, including non-agency MBS, impacting their risk and return profiles. AGNC benefits from economies of scale but faces interest rate risk challenges common to the sector.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: AGNC's historical growth has been driven by increasing its MBS portfolio. Growth rates need to be completed with current actuals.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates for future growth should be added here, including consensus EPS and revenue growth projections.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives taken by AGNC could include portfolio adjustments, capital raising activities, or strategic partnerships. These details would need to be added based on specific news and company reports.

Summary

AGNC is a large mortgage REIT that invests primarily in agency MBS, making it sensitive to interest rate fluctuations. Its size provides advantages in accessing capital, but it also faces risks associated with leverage and interest rate volatility. The company's dividend yield is attractive, but shareholder returns are heavily influenced by interest rate movements. AGNC needs to carefully manage its interest rate risk and maintain a stable source of funding to continue delivering value.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor Presentations, SEC Filings, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on your own research and due diligence. Market conditions are subject to change.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About AGNC Investment Corp

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Bethesda, MD, United States
IPO Launch date 2008-05-13
President, CEO & Director and Chief Investment Officer Mr. Peter J. Federico
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Full time employees 53
Full time employees 53

AGNC Investment Corp. provides private capital to housing market in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. The company generally would not be subject to federal or state corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.