Alignment Healthcare LLC logo

Alignment Healthcare LLC(ALHC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$8.06
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALHC

10/23/2026: ALHC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Alignment Healthcare is a tech-enabled managed care company specializing in Medicare Advantage plans for seniors. The company stands out for its proprietary care platform, which integrates clinical data to personalize member health outcomes and manage costs effectively. Its primary growth opportunity lies in expanding its localized, high-touch care model into new geographic markets. However, the company faces significant execution risks, including intense competition from large national insurers and sensitivity to government reimbursement policy changes. Alignment Healthcare may suit growth-oriented investors interested in the aging-population trend, provided they monitor the company's ability to balance rapid expansion with sustainable medical loss ratios.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitAlignment offers growth potential in the MA market but faces high execution risks and stiff competition.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum investors may find the stock interesting during uptrends in the healthcare sector, pending favorable market sentiment.
Value investorWeak fitThe company is not currently valued based on traditional value metrics like P/E, given its growth-at-all-costs phase.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend and focuses entirely on reinvestment.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and sensitivity to regulatory shifts make this unsuitable for risk-averse investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock can experience sharp price swings due to earnings surprises or regulatory headlines.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh growth expectations are priced in, leaving little room for error in quarterly results.
Competition risk (National Insurance Giants)HighDominant national players have more resources to capture market share.
Business qualityMediumThe tech-enabled model is differentiated, but the underlying business is capital intensive.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not rely on the stock for income.
Execution riskMedium / highScaling care delivery models efficiently across new geographies is inherently challenging.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 23.11%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
ALHC receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
ALHC has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, strong growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+99.4%) and strong revenue growth (+46.1%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 2.9%), weak profitability (net margin -0.0%), modest insider ownership of 2.57%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
ALHC's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 37.0%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is ALHC's strongest growth driver at +1802.0% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+46.1%, strong) and earnings growth (+99.4%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 116.5% and approximately 90.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.57% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 9.32%
Wellington Management Company LLP 9.05%
FMR Inc 6.71%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,Inc. 6.32%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.63%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
ALHC generates approximately $124 of gross profit, $4 of operating income, and $29 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Weak margins explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 24.43%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
ALHC has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.67B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 42.42
1Y Target Price 12.31
Price to earnings Ratio 42.42
1Y Target Price 12.31
Volume (30-day avg) 11.6M shares
Beta 1.14
52 Weeks Range 6.01 - 25.12
Updated Date 10/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 6.01 - 25.12
Updated Date 10/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.19

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Medicare Advantage Insurance PremiumsMonthly premium payments received from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) and members.The company collects recurring monthly payments to cover the healthcare needs of its enrolled senior members.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 42.42
Forward PE 204.08
Enterprise Value 1.44B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37
Enterprise Value 1.44B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.37
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.59
Shares Outstanding 207.44M
Shares Floating 188.21M
Shares Outstanding 207.44M
Shares Floating 188.21M
Percent Insiders 2.57
Percent Institutions 116.5

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.