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Upturn AI Summary - About
Allarity Therapeutics Inc(ALLR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALLR
10/09/2026: ALLR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Allarity Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on oncology, utilizing its proprietary Drug Response Predictor technology to match patients with specific targeted therapies. Its primary strength lies in its precision-medicine approach, aimed at increasing clinical trial success rates. However, the company faces significant risks, including high cash burn, reliance on external financing, and a history of regulatory hurdles that have delayed the commercialization of its pipeline. It is best suited for speculative investors comfortable with the high volatility of early-stage biotech. Potential investors should monitor clinical trial progress and the company's ability to maintain sufficient capital to fund its research.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company is high-risk and pre-commercial, offering speculative growth rather than established performance. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum is typically discouraged by the company's history of volatility and clinical setbacks. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The lack of positive earnings and core revenue streams makes traditional value assessment inapplicable. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company has no history of dividends and requires cash for R&D. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Extreme volatility and binary clinical trial outcomes make this unsuitable for low-risk strategies. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Speculative biotech stocks often experience sharp swings based on clinical news or dilution fears. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuation is highly subjective as it depends on future probabilities of regulatory approval. |
| Competition risk (Major Pharma) | High | The company faces well-resourced competitors that can outspend and out-market them. |
| Business quality | Medium / high | The business model is unproven commercially, creating significant execution risk. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company is a cash-burning biotech that does not return income to shareholders. |
| Execution risk | High | The company must successfully navigate complex clinical and regulatory paths to reach market. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Highly Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent, large price swings that make its near-term movement less predictable.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -65.13% | Avg. Invested days 17 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  1.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.75M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 111.5K shares | Beta 0.57 | 52 Weeks Range 0.77 - 1.84 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 0.77 - 1.84 | Updated Date 10/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.79 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Oncology Research and Development | Clinical trial development for candidates like Dovitinib and Stenoparib. | The company is currently burning cash to prove its drugs work; it does not currently generate significant sales. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 21.69M | Price to Sales(TTM) 45.66 |
Enterprise Value 21.69M | Price to Sales(TTM) 45.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 62.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.08 | Shares Outstanding 15.91M | Shares Floating 15.86M |
Shares Outstanding 15.91M | Shares Floating 15.86M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.16 | Percent Institutions 8.05 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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