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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (AMR)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: AMR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
2 Analysts rated it
Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.
1 Year Target Price $184.5
1 Year Target Price $184.5
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 15.61% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/24/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 184.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 184.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2 | Beta 0.93 | 52 Weeks Range 97.41 - 215.30 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 97.41 - 215.30 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.59 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -2.09% | Operating Margin (TTM) -1.2% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 2.66 | Enterprise Value 2183715401 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 |
Enterprise Value 2183715401 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.15 | Shares Outstanding 12858024 | Shares Floating 10519921 |
Shares Outstanding 12858024 | Shares Floating 10519921 | ||
Percent Insiders 12.92 | Percent Institutions 88.18 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (formerly Alpha Natural Resources) was formed through a series of mergers and acquisitions in the coal industry. Its current iteration as Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. emerged after a financial restructuring and emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in 2016. The company has a long history in the metallurgical coal sector, with operations dating back many decades through its predecessor companies.
Core Business Areas
- Metallurgical Coal Production: Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. is primarily engaged in the production and sale of metallurgical coal, also known as coking coal. This type of coal is a crucial ingredient in the production of steel. The company operates mines primarily in Appalachia, a region known for its high-quality metallurgical coal reserves.
- Ancillary Services: While the core business is coal production, the company may also engage in related services such as transportation and logistics to deliver its products to customers.
Leadership and Structure
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in the coal and mining industries. The company is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: AMRR) and operates under a corporate governance structure overseen by a Board of Directors. Specific names of the current CEO and other key executives can be found in their latest SEC filings and investor relations materials.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Metallurgical Coal (High-Volatile, Mid-Volatile, Low-Volatile): Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. produces various grades of metallurgical coal essential for steelmaking. These grades differ in their coking properties, sulfur content, and ash content, catering to the specific needs of steel manufacturers globally. Market share for specific coal grades is highly dynamic and influenced by global steel demand, international trade policies, and competitor output. Key competitors include companies like Arch Resources (ARCH), Peabody Energy (PEB), and Consol Energy (CEIX). Precise market share percentages are proprietary and fluctuate, but Alpha is a significant producer in the US metallurgical coal market.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The metallurgical coal industry is intrinsically linked to the global steel production cycle. Demand is driven by infrastructure development, automotive manufacturing, and general economic growth. The industry is cyclical, with prices subject to significant volatility based on supply and demand, geopolitical events, and trade policies. Environmental regulations and the ongoing energy transition also present evolving dynamics, with a long-term focus on reducing carbon emissions.
Positioning
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. is positioned as a significant producer of high-quality metallurgical coal, primarily serving international and domestic steel markets. Its competitive advantages include its geographically advantageous mining locations in Appalachia, access to well-established transportation networks, and potentially long-term customer relationships. The company's ability to produce diverse grades of metallurgical coal allows it to cater to a broader customer base.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for metallurgical coal is directly tied to global steel production. While exact figures are subject to ongoing analysis and forecasts, the global demand for steel is measured in billions of tons annually, translating to a substantial TAM for metallurgical coal. Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. targets a significant portion of this TAM by focusing on the production and sale of its high-quality coking coal. Its positioning is strong within the US metallurgical coal supply chain, but its global reach is dependent on international trade and shipping costs.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Access to high-quality metallurgical coal reserves in Appalachia.
- Established infrastructure and logistics for coal transportation.
- Experience in operating in a cyclical commodity market.
- Diversified customer base, both domestic and international.
- Cost control and operational efficiency initiatives.
Weaknesses
- High exposure to commodity price volatility of metallurgical coal.
- Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) risks and pressures.
- Dependence on global steel production, which can be cyclical.
- Potential for labor disputes and operational disruptions.
- Capital-intensive nature of mining operations.
Opportunities
- Increasing global demand for steel due to infrastructure projects and economic growth in emerging markets.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to expand operational capacity or resource base.
- Advancements in mining technology to improve efficiency and reduce costs.
- Leveraging favorable long-term contracts with key steel producers.
- Diversification into related energy or material markets (long-term).
Threats
- Global economic slowdown impacting steel demand.
- Increasing environmental regulations and carbon pricing mechanisms.
- Competition from alternative materials or steelmaking processes that reduce coal reliance.
- Geopolitical instability affecting international trade and shipping.
- Fluctuations in currency exchange rates impacting export revenues.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Arch Resources Inc. (ARCH)
- Peabody Energy Corporation (PEB)
- Consol Energy Inc. (CEIX)
- Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC)
Competitive Landscape
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. competes in a concentrated market where key players are significant producers of metallurgical coal. Its advantages lie in its quality reserves and established logistics. Disadvantages could include higher cost structures compared to some international competitors or vulnerability to specific trade policies. The landscape is characterized by intense competition driven by global demand for steel.
Major Acquisitions
Existing assets and consolidation through predecessor companies
- Year:
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: The company's history is marked by consolidation within the coal industry. The formation and evolution of Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. itself is a result of significant corporate restructuring and asset integration, aiming to create a more efficient and competitive entity in the metallurgical coal market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.'s historical growth has been closely tied to the demand for metallurgical coal and its ability to maintain operational efficiency and access key markets. Growth has been shaped by market cycles, acquisitions (historical), and strategic decisions regarding its asset base. Periods of high coal prices have driven significant revenue and profit growth.
Future Projections: Future projections for Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. are largely dependent on global steel demand, anticipated metallurgical coal prices, and the company's ability to manage operational costs and environmental regulations. Analyst estimates will typically forecast revenue, earnings, and cash flow based on these macroeconomic factors and the company's specific operational plans. Growth in earnings per share and free cash flow are key indicators of future success.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. have likely focused on optimizing production, managing costs, enhancing safety, and potentially exploring opportunities for portfolio diversification or strategic partnerships. The company may also be investing in technologies to improve environmental performance and operational efficiency. Specific initiatives are detailed in their investor presentations and annual reports.
Summary
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. is a significant player in the metallurgical coal market, leveraging its high-quality reserves and operational expertise. The company's performance is strongly tied to global steel demand and volatile coal prices, presenting both opportunities for substantial profit and risks of downturns. While its core business is robust, it faces increasing ESG pressures and competition. Continued focus on operational efficiency, cost management, and strategic market positioning will be crucial for sustained success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor Relations Websites
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg, FactSet)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The information is based on publicly available data and analysis, which may be subject to change. Users are advised to conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Bristol, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-03-24 | CEO, Treasurer & Director Mr. Charles Andrew Eidson | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Coking Coal | Full time employees 3960 | |
Full time employees 3960 | |||
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc., a mining company, produces, processes, and sells met and thermal coal in Virginia and West Virginia. The company provides metallurgical coal products. It operates twenty active mines and eight active coal preparation and load-out facilities. The company was formerly known as Contura Energy, Inc. and changed its name to Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. in February 2021. Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, Tennessee.
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