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Appfolio Inc(APPF)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+19.51% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$204.22
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APPF

09/25/2026: APPF (1-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (19.51%). Updated daily EoD!

AppFolio Inc is a cloud-based software company providing essential tools to the property management industry. Its core strengths include a highly intuitive software platform and the successful integration of high-margin financial services that increase customer retention. The primary growth opportunity lies in expanding into the larger commercial real estate market and scaling its AI-driven automation tools. Investors should monitor competitive risks from established players and potential economic headwinds in the North American real estate sector. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with the inherent volatility of SaaS companies and should be evaluated based on the company's ability to maintain high retention while capturing market share.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitAppFolio is well-positioned in a growing SaaS market with consistent double-digit revenue expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often exhibits strong price trends correlated with recurring revenue growth milestones.
Value investorWeak fitThe company typically trades at a high valuation multiple consistent with high-growth SaaS firms.
Dividend investorWeak fitAppFolio does not pay dividends, prioritizing capital reinvestment for growth.
Low-risk investorMixed fitHigh growth stocks can experience significant volatility, making them less suitable for strictly low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighGrowth software stocks frequently experience sharp price corrections during market downturns.
Valuation riskMedium / highInvestors pay a premium for growth, which can lead to rapid price adjustments if growth targets are missed.
Competition risk (Software saturation)MediumCompetition from large, entrenched incumbents limits the ability to rapidly capture total market share.
Business qualityMediumStrong recurring revenue streams support a high-quality SaaS business model.
Dividend incomeLow / noneIncome-focused investors will not find yield here.
Execution riskMediumMaintaining software innovation and market share requires constant execution in a crowded field.

Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
PRICE PATH

Flat / Range-Bound

The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -14.61%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
APPF receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, and solid company fundamentals. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
APPF has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong cash generation (FCF margin 25.1%) and solid revenue growth (+19.7%) are partially offset by negative earnings growth (-30.9%), modest insider ownership of 3.95%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
APPF's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 34.1%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is APPF's strongest growth driver at +28.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+19.7%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-30.9%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 99.4% and approximately 96.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 3.95% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.19%
Principal Financial Group Inc 4.53%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.19%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 2.96%
Ashe Capital Management, LLC 2.96%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
APPF generates approximately $613 of gross profit, $161 of operating income, and $251 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 12.53%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
APPF has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 7.24B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 46.57
1Y Target Price 234.16
Price to earnings Ratio 46.57
1Y Target Price 234.16
Volume (30-day avg) 314.1K shares
Beta 0.85
52 Weeks Range 142.56 - 283.14
Updated Date 09/25/2026
52 Weeks Range 142.56 - 283.14
Updated Date 09/25/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.39

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Core SaaS SubscriptionsMonthly recurring fees for accessing the AppFolio Property Manager platform.This is the predictable backbone of revenue that grows as more properties are managed on the platform.
Value-Added ServicesTransaction fees from electronic payments, insurance premiums, and tenant screening services.This segment scales directly with the number of transactions processed, providing high-margin variable revenue.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 46.57
Forward PE 128.21
Enterprise Value 7.60B
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.96
Enterprise Value 7.60B
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.96
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 34.54
Shares Outstanding 24.09M
Shares Floating 23.19M
Shares Outstanding 24.09M
Shares Floating 23.19M
Percent Insiders 3.95
Percent Institutions 99.44

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Appfolio Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Santa Barbara, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-06-26
President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Shane Trigg
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 1702
Full time employees 1702

AppFolio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud-based platform for the real estate industry in the United States. The company provides a cloud-based platform that assist with accounting, reporting, marketing, leasing, maintenance, workflow automation, and communication services. It offers AppFolio Property Manager Core, a platform that provides the accounting functionalities for small property management companies, as well as serves as a system of record; AppFolio Property Manager Plus, which offers affordable housing and student housing, advanced accounting, advanced data analysis, and read-only API access services; and AppFolio Property Manager Max that provides customer relationship management tools and full database access through a read and write application programming interface services. The company also provides value-added services, such as electronic payment, tenant screening, maintenance, business optimization, resident, and risk mitigation services. It serves property managers, property investors, potential residents, residents, and vendors. AppFolio, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.