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Upturn AI Summary - About
AMREP Corporation(AXR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AXR
11/13/2026: AXR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
AMREP Corporation is a long-standing real estate and services company that primarily focuses on land development in Rio Rancho, New Mexico, alongside its media fulfillment business. Its main strength lies in its significant land inventory, which provides valuable optionality for growth in the Southwest. The investment story centers on the potential for strategic land sales to drive significant capital returns. However, investors must consider risks like high sensitivity to cyclical real estate markets, regional concentration, and the secular decline of traditional media fulfillment. The stock is generally best suited for value-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility and have a long time horizon.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The growth profile is episodic and tied to real estate cycles rather than consistent compounding. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Trading volume and price action do not typically show sustained momentum characteristics. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at a valuation reflecting the underlying value of its land holdings. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not have a consistent history of dividend payments. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Real estate concentration and small-cap status introduce significant volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Small-cap stocks are subject to wider price swings based on low liquidity. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation relies heavily on subjective estimates of real estate asset values. |
| Competition risk (Regional real estate) | Medium | Larger homebuilders can dominate local markets through scale and capital access. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business depends on lumpy real estate sales cycles. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The company does not focus on providing consistent dividend income. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing land development approvals and timelines is complex. |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 112.46M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.2 | 1Y Target Price 22 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.2 | 1Y Target Price 22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6.5K shares | Beta 1.24 | 52 Weeks Range 17.61 - 29.01 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 17.61 - 29.01 | Updated Date 11/13/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.1 |
Sector & Industry Intelligence
Sector
Real Estate
Constructive- Sentiment
- Strong Bullish
- Momentum
- BUY Breadth Improving
- BUY participation
- 64.5%
- Active BUY / eligible
- 20 / 31
- 30-Day BUY Count Change
- +16
- Market state
- Strong Bullish
More qualifying stocks are receiving or maintaining BUY advisories, indicating improving market participation.
Industry
Industry classification is unavailable for this snapshot.
Sector signal summarizes BUY breadth conditions for the sector. It does not override this stock’s BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory.
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 9.47% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Land Development | Sale of residential and commercial properties in Rio Rancho, New Mexico. | Revenue is highly dependent on when specific land tracts are sold to developers or homebuilders. |
| Media Fulfillment | Subscription management and customer service. | Provides recurring revenue but faces headwinds from a transition to digital media. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.2 | Forward PE 37.59 | Enterprise Value 63.79M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.74 |
Enterprise Value 63.79M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.74 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.24 | Shares Outstanding 5.32M | Shares Floating 2.94M |
Shares Outstanding 5.32M | Shares Floating 2.94M | ||
Percent Insiders 46.31 | Percent Institutions 41.18 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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