Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
NVR Inc(NVR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for NVR
10/09/2026: NVR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
NVR Inc. is a prominent U.S. homebuilder that distinguishes itself through an asset-light, capital-efficient business model. By focusing on land purchase options rather than outright ownership, the company minimizes risk and historically maintains robust margins compared to its peers. Its primary growth story revolves around steady market share gains in its core Eastern U.S. markets and effective capital allocation through massive share repurchases. Investors must monitor risks related to interest rate volatility, construction cost inflation, and the cyclical nature of the housing market. The stock may best suit growth or value investors who appreciate a conservative balance sheet and are comfortable with the inherent volatility of the homebuilding sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | NVR has a long history of compound earnings growth through disciplined operational focus. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum can be strong in housing bull markets, but is highly sensitive to interest rate cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Disciplined capital allocation and share repurchases often make it attractive to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | NVR does not pay a cash dividend. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While NVR's balance sheet is conservative, the cyclical nature of the homebuilding industry introduces inherent risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Housing stocks are highly sensitive to macroeconomic shifts and interest rate news. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock can trade at premiums due to its high-quality asset-light model. |
| Competition risk (National homebuilders) | Medium / high | Intense competition from larger national players like DHI and LEN can pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Strong | NVR's unique land-option model provides a distinct, high-quality competitive moat. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on NVR for cash income. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies on the ability to consistently source and secure land options in key markets. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 32.23% | Avg. Invested days 57 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.72B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 15.33 | 1Y Target Price 6395.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio 15.33 | 1Y Target Price 6395.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 40.6K shares | Beta 0.9 | 52 Weeks Range 5501.01 - 8200.00 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 5501.01 - 8200.00 | Updated Date 10/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 384.93 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Homebuilding | Building and selling detached homes and townhomes. | This is the primary revenue engine, highly dependent on housing market demand. |
| Mortgage Banking | Financing services for homebuyers. | Provides a supplementary revenue stream while facilitating home sales. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 15.33 | Forward PE 14.79 | Enterprise Value 16.54B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.64 |
Enterprise Value 16.54B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.64 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.75 | Shares Outstanding 2.66M | Shares Floating 2.62M |
Shares Outstanding 2.66M | Shares Floating 2.62M | ||
Percent Insiders 5.55 | Percent Institutions 92.38 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.