AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd logo

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd(AXS)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 7 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+3.87% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$106.6
11/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AXS

11/02/2026: AXS (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd is a global specialty insurer and reinsurer that focuses on complex commercial risks. The company has a leading position in niche specialty lines, benefiting from disciplined underwriting and a simplified portfolio strategy. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging data analytics and AI to enhance underwriting accuracy in high-margin sectors. However, the company faces risks from climate-driven catastrophe volatility and intense competition from larger, well-capitalized industry peers. The stock may suit dividend-oriented and value-focused investors who value capital returns and stability. Key developments to monitor include catastrophe loss ratios and progress in their ongoing digital transformation initiatives.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers moderate growth potential linked to niche market penetration rather than rapid, disruptive expansion.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum can be inconsistent due to the cyclical nature of insurance and the impact of catastrophe events.
Value investorStrong fitAXIS is often valued for its tangible book value and consistent dividend profile in a stable specialty niche.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a reliable history of returning capital to shareholders through consistent dividend payments.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile established, the industry is inherently exposed to volatility from natural disasters and climate change.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumInsurance stocks often fluctuate based on the occurrence of major catastrophic events.
Valuation riskLowThe stock generally trades in line with book value expectations within the insurance sector.
Competition risk (Specialty Insurance)Medium / highAggressive competition from global giants can pressure underwriting margins.
Business qualityMediumThe company has successfully specialized, though it lacks the scale of dominant global peers.
Dividend incomeLowThe dividend is generally secure, backed by long-term underwriting profitability.
Execution riskMediumThe strategy depends on the ability to maintain underwriting discipline during market cycles.

Price Behavior

Flat / Range-Bound
PRICE PATH

Flat / Range-Bound

The stock price has been trading within a narrow range with minimal directional movement.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 30.76%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
AXS receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
AXS has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid profitability (net margin 15.4%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-6.7%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -0.6%), moderate revenue growth (+9.1%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
AXS's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (-0.6% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is AXS's strongest growth driver at +9.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-6.7%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-102.2%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 103.5% and approximately 93.2% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.90%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

AQR Capital Management LLC 5.80%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 5.25%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.19%
BlackRock Inc 4.71%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.38%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
AXS generates approximately $499 of gross profit, $187 of operating income, and $-6 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and solid capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 17.68%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
AXS has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 7.52B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.02
1Y Target Price 118.82
Price to earnings Ratio 8.02
1Y Target Price 118.82
Volume (30-day avg) 718.6K shares
Beta 0.46
52 Weeks Range 93.02 - 119.44
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 93.02 - 119.44
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.71%
Basic EPS (TTM) 13.07

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Specialty InsuranceUnderwriting professional liability, cyber, marine, and property insurance.The company earns premiums by insuring complex commercial risks.
ReinsuranceProviding catastrophe and excess-of-loss coverage to other insurance companies.The company acts as an insurer for other insurance companies, managing large-scale global risk.
Investment IncomeInterest and dividends earned on the company's investment portfolio.The company earns profit by investing the cash collected from insurance premiums before claims are paid.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-28
When After Market
Estimate 2.97
Actual 3.12

Profitability

Profit Margin 14.62%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.68%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.22%
Return on Equity (TTM) 15.97%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.02
Forward PE 7.89
Enterprise Value 8.51B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value 8.51B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 71.74M
Shares Floating 66.86M
Shares Outstanding 71.74M
Shares Floating 66.86M
Percent Insiders 0.9
Percent Institutions 103.49

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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