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BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: BBAI (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $6.67
1 Year Target Price $6.67
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 35.29% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.98B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 6.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 3.2 | 52 Weeks Range 2.36 - 10.36 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.36 - 10.36 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.45 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-10 | When - | Estimate -0.05 | Actual -0.03 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -295.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -53.35% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -5.87% | Return on Equity (TTM) -120.34% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 2503505374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.65 |
Enterprise Value 2503505374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 17.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.26 | Shares Outstanding 436551228 | Shares Floating 433469176 |
Shares Outstanding 436551228 | Shares Floating 433469176 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.84 | Percent Institutions 34.01 |
Upturn AI SWOT
BigBearai Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
BigBearai Holdings Inc. was founded in 2018, emerging from the cybersecurity and defense sectors. The company has focused on developing and deploying artificial intelligence (AI) solutions for complex operational environments. Key milestones include securing significant government contracts and expanding its AI platform capabilities to address critical decision-making challenges for enterprises and government agencies.
Core Business Areas
- AI Solutions for Defense and Intelligence: Providing advanced AI-powered decision support systems, predictive analytics, and situational awareness tools to government agencies, particularly within the defense and intelligence communities. This includes solutions for threat detection, intelligence analysis, and mission planning.
- AI Solutions for Enterprise: Offering AI platforms and services to commercial enterprises across various sectors such as logistics, finance, and energy. These solutions aim to optimize operations, improve forecasting, enhance customer engagement, and mitigate risks.
- Data Science and Analytics Services: Leveraging its AI expertise to provide consulting and implementation services related to data science, machine learning, and advanced analytics for clients seeking to derive actionable insights from their data.
Leadership and Structure
BigBearai Holdings Inc. is led by a management team with experience in technology, government contracting, and AI. The organizational structure is typically aligned around its core business segments, with dedicated teams for product development, sales, engineering, and customer support. Specific leadership roles and their backgrounds are detailed in their public filings.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: Decision Dominance Platform (DD): This is BigBearai's flagship AI-powered decision intelligence platform. It aims to fuse data from disparate sources to provide actionable insights and support complex decision-making in real-time. Competitors include Palantir Technologies (PLTR) with its Foundry platform, and various custom AI/ML solutions developed in-house by large enterprises or by specialized AI firms like C3.ai (AI).
- Product Name 2: AI-driven Predictive Analytics Tools: These tools leverage machine learning to forecast future trends, identify potential risks, and optimize operational outcomes across various industries. Competitors include established analytics providers and emerging AI startups focusing on specific vertical applications.
- Product Name 3: Cybersecurity AI Solutions: Focused on advanced threat detection, anomaly identification, and automated response mechanisms to protect against cyber threats. Competitors include major cybersecurity firms and specialized AI security companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
BigBearai operates in the rapidly growing artificial intelligence and machine learning market. This sector is characterized by increasing demand for AI solutions across government and commercial sectors, driven by the need for enhanced decision-making, operational efficiency, and competitive advantage. The industry is highly competitive, with both large established technology companies and nimble startups vying for market share.
Positioning
BigBearai is positioned as a provider of sophisticated AI-driven decision intelligence and operational optimization solutions, with a strong initial focus on government and defense contracts. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to develop and deploy complex AI systems for high-stakes environments and its integration of multiple AI disciplines. However, it faces intense competition from larger, more established players with broader customer bases and significant R&D budgets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for AI solutions globally is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars and is projected to grow significantly in the coming years. BigBearai is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM by targeting specific segments within defense, intelligence, and enterprise markets where its advanced AI capabilities are most valuable. Its current market share is relatively small compared to industry giants, indicating substantial room for growth.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong focus on government and defense contracts, providing a stable revenue base.
- Advanced AI and machine learning capabilities with a proprietary decision intelligence platform.
- Experienced leadership team with expertise in technology and government operations.
- Agility and ability to develop customized AI solutions for complex problems.
Weaknesses
- Relatively smaller market share and brand recognition compared to larger competitors.
- Dependence on a limited number of large contracts, particularly from government agencies.
- Challenges in scaling commercial enterprise adoption beyond initial pilot programs.
- Profitability has been inconsistent, with ongoing investments in R&D and sales.
Opportunities
- Expanding AI adoption across more commercial industries beyond its current focus.
- Leveraging existing government relationships to secure larger and more diverse contracts.
- Developing new AI applications and platforms for emerging markets.
- Strategic partnerships and alliances to broaden market reach and technology integration.
Threats
- Intense competition from established tech giants and other AI startups.
- Changes in government spending priorities and contract awards.
- Rapid technological advancements requiring continuous innovation.
- Data privacy concerns and regulatory changes impacting AI deployment.
- Economic downturns affecting enterprise and government IT budgets.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
- C3.ai, Inc. (AI)
- Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH)
- Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)
Competitive Landscape
BigBearai's advantages include its specialized AI decision intelligence platform and strong foothold in the defense sector. However, it faces disadvantages against larger, more diversified competitors like Booz Allen Hamilton and Leidos, which have broader customer bases and more established revenue streams. Palantir and C3.ai are direct competitors in the AI platform space, with Palantir having a significant head start in government contracts and C3.ai focusing on enterprise AI applications across multiple industries.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: BigBearai has experienced growth in revenue, primarily driven by its government contracts. The expansion into commercial markets is a more recent initiative and is still developing. Profitability has been a challenge, with a consistent focus on scaling operations and market penetration.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for BigBearai's future growth generally anticipate continued revenue expansion, particularly from the commercial sector. However, achieving consistent profitability remains a key focus and a factor in future growth. Projections often depend on successful contract wins, market adoption of its AI solutions, and efficient operational management.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have focused on expanding sales and marketing efforts to drive commercial adoption of its AI platforms, strengthening partnerships within the defense and intelligence communities, and potentially exploring strategic acquisitions or collaborations to enhance its technology portfolio and market reach.
Summary
BigBearai Holdings Inc. is a growing AI solutions provider with a strong foundation in the defense sector. Its advanced AI decision intelligence platform presents significant opportunities for expansion into commercial markets. However, the company faces intense competition and has yet to achieve consistent profitability, necessitating a focus on scaling revenue and operational efficiency. Strategic execution and market adoption will be crucial for its long-term success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News and Analysis Websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be subject to change and may not be completely up-to-date. Readers should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About BigBearai Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters McLean, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-05 | CEO & Director Mr. Kevin McAleenan | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Information Technology Services | Full time employees 630 | Website https://bigbear.ai |
Full time employees 630 | Website https://bigbear.ai | ||
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. The company offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. It also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services. The company serves U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, border protection, transportation security, manufacturing, distribution and logistics, travel, entertainment, and tourism sectors. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mclean, Virginia.

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