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BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/15/2025: BBAI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $5.83
1 Year Target Price $5.83
1 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 67.52% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.88B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.83 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.83 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 3.16 | 52 Weeks Range 1.36 - 10.36 | Updated Date 09/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.36 - 10.36 | Updated Date 09/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.58 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -290.98% | Operating Margin (TTM) -52.48% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -6.48% | Return on Equity (TTM) -240.41% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 1597553181 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.3 |
Enterprise Value 1597553181 | Price to Sales(TTM) 12.3 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.26 | Shares Outstanding 370703008 | Shares Floating 367719037 |
Shares Outstanding 370703008 | Shares Floating 367719037 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.26 | Percent Institutions 33.75 |
Upturn AI SWOT
BigBearai Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
BigBearai Holdings Inc. was founded in 2008, initially focusing on data analytics for government agencies. It expanded into AI-powered solutions and acquisitions of complementary businesses. It went public via SPAC merger in December 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Analytics: Provides advanced analytics and data science services to government and commercial clients.
- AI Solutions: Develops and deploys AI-powered platforms and solutions for various applications including cybersecurity, logistics, and supply chain management.
- Cybersecurity: Offers AI-driven cybersecurity solutions to protect critical infrastructure and sensitive data.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by CEO Mandy Long and has a structured executive team overseeing various departments. A board of directors provides governance and strategic guidance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Global Knowledge Graph (GKG): A knowledge representation technology that provides insights into complex relationships within data. Competitors include Palantir and C3.ai. Market share data is proprietary and not publicly available but contributes significantly to revenue.
- Data Exploitation Platform (DEP): A platform for managing and exploiting large datasets. Competitors include Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure. Market share data is proprietary and not publicly available, but DEP drives revenue in defense and intelligence markets.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The AI and data analytics market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increased demand for data-driven decision-making. Government and commercial sectors are heavily investing in AI solutions.
Positioning
BigBearai Holdings Inc is positioned as a provider of AI-powered solutions for complex data challenges, particularly in the government and defense sectors. Their competitive advantage lies in their deep domain expertise and specialized AI applications.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for AI and data analytics is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. BigBearai is focused on capturing a portion of this TAM, primarily in the government and defense sectors.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong domain expertise in government and defense
- Proprietary AI-powered platforms
- Established relationships with key government agencies
- Experienced leadership team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on government contracts
- Smaller scale compared to larger competitors
- Potential for contract delays or cancellations
- High customer concentration
Opportunities
- Expanding into new commercial markets
- Developing new AI applications for emerging industries
- Acquiring complementary businesses
- Capitalizing on the growing demand for AI solutions
Threats
- Intense competition from larger players
- Changes in government spending priorities
- Rapid technological advancements
- Data security and privacy concerns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PLTR
- C3
- MSFT
Competitive Landscape
BigBearai has a competitive edge in specific government applications. Larger competitors have greater resources and broader market reach.
Major Acquisitions
Pangiam
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 70
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Pangiam added computer vision capabilities to its portfolio.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by contract wins and acquisitions. Revenue growth has varied year-to-year.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project revenue growth in the coming years as the company expands its offerings and wins new contracts.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new commercial markets, developing new AI applications, and pursuing strategic acquisitions.
Summary
BigBearai Holdings Inc. is a company focused on AI and data analytics, particularly within the government and defense sectors. They possess niche expertise and established relationships; however, they also rely on government contracts and face competition from larger firms. Growing revenue, focusing on profitability, and diversifying its revenue stream will be crucial for the company to maintain a positive growth rate. Continued advancement and keeping up with the changing technologies will be crucial.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC), Analyst Reports, Market Research Reports, BigBearai Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Financial data may be rounded for presentation purposes.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About BigBearai Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters McLean, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-05 | CEO & Director Mr. Kevin McAleenan | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Information Technology Services | Full time employees 630 | Website https://bigbear.ai |
Full time employees 630 | Website https://bigbear.ai |
BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. The company offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. It also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services. The company serves U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, border protection, transportation security, manufacturing, distribution and logistics, travel, entertainment, and tourism sectors. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mclean, Virginia.

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