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BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$5.09
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
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Upturn Advisory Summary

09/15/2025: BBAI (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Above Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Number of Analysts

rating

4 Analysts rated it

Very few follow this stock; limited insights, higher-risk early investing.

1 Year Target Price $5.83

1 Year Target Price $5.83

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$5.83 Target price
52w Low $1.36
Current$5.09
52w High $10.36

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.52%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/15/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.88B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.83
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.83
Volume (30-day avg) 4
Beta 3.16
52 Weeks Range 1.36 - 10.36
Updated Date 09/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 1.36 - 10.36
Updated Date 09/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.58

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -290.98%
Operating Margin (TTM) -52.48%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -6.48%
Return on Equity (TTM) -240.41%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 1597553181
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.3
Enterprise Value 1597553181
Price to Sales(TTM) 12.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.47
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.26
Shares Outstanding 370703008
Shares Floating 367719037
Shares Outstanding 370703008
Shares Floating 367719037
Percent Insiders 1.26
Percent Institutions 33.75

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

BigBearai Holdings Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

BigBearai Holdings Inc. was founded in 2008, initially focusing on data analytics for government agencies. It expanded into AI-powered solutions and acquisitions of complementary businesses. It went public via SPAC merger in December 2021.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Analytics: Provides advanced analytics and data science services to government and commercial clients.
  • AI Solutions: Develops and deploys AI-powered platforms and solutions for various applications including cybersecurity, logistics, and supply chain management.
  • Cybersecurity: Offers AI-driven cybersecurity solutions to protect critical infrastructure and sensitive data.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by CEO Mandy Long and has a structured executive team overseeing various departments. A board of directors provides governance and strategic guidance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Global Knowledge Graph (GKG): A knowledge representation technology that provides insights into complex relationships within data. Competitors include Palantir and C3.ai. Market share data is proprietary and not publicly available but contributes significantly to revenue.
  • Data Exploitation Platform (DEP): A platform for managing and exploiting large datasets. Competitors include Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure. Market share data is proprietary and not publicly available, but DEP drives revenue in defense and intelligence markets.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The AI and data analytics market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increased demand for data-driven decision-making. Government and commercial sectors are heavily investing in AI solutions.

Positioning

BigBearai Holdings Inc is positioned as a provider of AI-powered solutions for complex data challenges, particularly in the government and defense sectors. Their competitive advantage lies in their deep domain expertise and specialized AI applications.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for AI and data analytics is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. BigBearai is focused on capturing a portion of this TAM, primarily in the government and defense sectors.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong domain expertise in government and defense
  • Proprietary AI-powered platforms
  • Established relationships with key government agencies
  • Experienced leadership team

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on government contracts
  • Smaller scale compared to larger competitors
  • Potential for contract delays or cancellations
  • High customer concentration

Opportunities

  • Expanding into new commercial markets
  • Developing new AI applications for emerging industries
  • Acquiring complementary businesses
  • Capitalizing on the growing demand for AI solutions

Threats

  • Intense competition from larger players
  • Changes in government spending priorities
  • Rapid technological advancements
  • Data security and privacy concerns

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PLTR
  • C3
  • MSFT

Competitive Landscape

BigBearai has a competitive edge in specific government applications. Larger competitors have greater resources and broader market reach.

Major Acquisitions

Pangiam

  • Year: 2022
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 70
  • Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Pangiam added computer vision capabilities to its portfolio.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth has been driven by contract wins and acquisitions. Revenue growth has varied year-to-year.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates project revenue growth in the coming years as the company expands its offerings and wins new contracts.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new commercial markets, developing new AI applications, and pursuing strategic acquisitions.

Summary

BigBearai Holdings Inc. is a company focused on AI and data analytics, particularly within the government and defense sectors. They possess niche expertise and established relationships; however, they also rely on government contracts and face competition from larger firms. Growing revenue, focusing on profitability, and diversifying its revenue stream will be crucial for the company to maintain a positive growth rate. Continued advancement and keeping up with the changing technologies will be crucial.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (SEC), Analyst Reports, Market Research Reports, BigBearai Holdings Inc. Investor Relations

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly. Financial data may be rounded for presentation purposes.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About BigBearai Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters McLean, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-05
CEO & Director Mr. Kevin McAleenan
Sector Technology
Industry Information Technology Services
Full time employees 630
Full time employees 630

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-powered decision intelligence solutions. The company offers national security, supply chain management, and digital identity and biometrics solutions. It also provides data ingestion, data enrichment, data processing, artificial intelligence, machine learning, predictive analytics, and predictive visualization solutions and services. The company serves U.S. defense and intelligence agencies, border protection, transportation security, manufacturing, distribution and logistics, travel, entertainment, and tourism sectors. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mclean, Virginia.