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Upturn AI Summary - About
Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc(BDTX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BDTX
11/03/2026: BDTX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Black Diamond Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on precision oncology by targeting specific genetic drivers of cancer. Its primary strength lies in its proprietary MAP platform, which allows for the design of selective therapies like BDTX-1535. The main investment story centers on the potential of its clinical-stage pipeline to treat patients with few remaining options. However, as a pre-commercial firm, it faces significant risks including clinical failure, cash burn, and intense competition from large pharmaceutical incumbents. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are prepared to monitor ongoing clinical trial data readouts closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers high potential upside tied to clinical breakthroughs but entails significant binary risk. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Interest is typically driven by clinical data readouts rather than sustained technical trends. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | As a pre-revenue, loss-making biotech, the company lacks the fundamental earnings metrics required for value investing. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend and requires all capital for R&D. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High clinical and financial volatility makes this stock unsuitable for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Clinical trial results can lead to drastic, sudden stock price movements. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuations are highly speculative as they depend on the uncertain success of future clinical products. |
| Competition risk (oncology pathway inhibitors) | High | The company competes with well-funded incumbents with deep pockets in the kinase inhibitor space. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the platform technology is recognized, the company lacks a commercial-stage product portfolio. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should expect zero income from this stock. |
| Execution risk | High | The company must successfully navigate complex clinical trial processes and regulatory approvals. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -24.76% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/03/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 100.28M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 770.0K shares | Beta 3.46 | 52 Weeks Range 1.60 - 4.94 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 1.60 - 4.94 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.75 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Drug Development | Clinical-stage pipeline assets (BDTX-1535, BDTX-4933). | The company currently spends money to develop drugs rather than generating revenue from sales. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 8.33 | Enterprise Value 8.16M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.11 |
Enterprise Value 8.16M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.56 | Shares Outstanding 57.30M | Shares Floating 52.62M |
Shares Outstanding 57.30M | Shares Floating 52.62M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.66 | Percent Institutions 72.59 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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