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Upturn AI Summary - About
Qilian International Holding Group Limited(BGM)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BGM
10/30/2026: BGM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Qilian International Holding Group Limited is a small-cap firm operating in China's pharmaceutical and agricultural chemical markets. While the company has built a niche presence through its manufacturing of APIs, TCM products, and fertilizers, it remains a smaller player compared to regional conglomerates. Its main growth opportunity lies in leveraging its specialized production capabilities, but success is heavily dependent on navigating China's complex regulatory landscape. Risks include high price volatility, intense competition from better-funded peers, and a lack of liquidity. This stock is best suited for speculative investors familiar with the risks of small-cap, international equities; stakeholders should monitor regulatory updates and production efficiency improvements.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's limited scale and regional focus offer modest growth potential relative to larger industry peers. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock lacks the high trading volume and consistent upward price trend required for momentum strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Potential value may exist if the stock trades below book value, but business quality remains a significant concern. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not provide reliable dividend income, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Small-cap, international, and sector-specific risks make this a high-volatility investment. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to significant price swings due to low liquidity and small market capitalization. |
| Valuation risk | Medium / high | Accurately valuing small-cap, foreign-listed companies is difficult due to information asymmetry and market sentiment. |
| Competition risk (Pharmaceutical/Fertilizer) | High | The company competes with much larger, better-funded domestic firms in both its pharma and chemical segments. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business relies on a limited product set and regional market dominance which may lack durability. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no current expectation of dividend distributions, negating income utility. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Operational success is tied to navigating complex and evolving regulatory environments in China. |
Price Behavior
Steep Decline
The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -53.88% | Avg. Invested days 15 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 127.40M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price - | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21.1K shares | Beta 1.46 | 52 Weeks Range 6.45 - 302.40 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 6.45 - 302.40 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -4.8 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Pharmaceutical Products | Anti-viral and antibiotic ingredients and medications. | This is a core revenue driver but faces intense competition from larger Chinese pharmaceutical players. |
| Traditional Chinese Medicine | Herbal-based supplements and therapeutics. | This segment leverages local resources but depends heavily on consumer preferences and health trends. |
| Chemical Fertilizers | Industrial-grade fertilizers for regional agricultural use. | A legacy business segment that provides steady but low-margin revenue based on regional demand. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 116.94M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66 |
Enterprise Value 116.94M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -2.48 | Shares Outstanding 12.69M | Shares Floating 4.63M |
Shares Outstanding 12.69M | Shares Floating 4.63M | ||
Percent Insiders 38.05 | Percent Institutions 0.1 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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