Allbirds Inc(BIRD)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.32
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BIRD

09/25/2026: BIRD (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Allbirds Inc is a consumer-focused apparel and footwear company recognized for its use of sustainable materials like merino wool and eucalyptus fibers. While the company has established a distinct brand identity and a loyal customer base, it currently faces significant challenges regarding operational scale and persistent financial losses. The core investment story centers on its strategic pivot to reach profitability by optimizing its retail footprint and expanding through wholesale partnerships. Key risks include intense competition from established giants and the high cost of acquiring customers. The stock may suit investors seeking speculative exposure to the sustainable retail sector, though it currently carries substantial execution risk.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company's recent shift toward contraction and profitability focus limits its immediate growth appeal.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock has demonstrated poor momentum, consistently underperforming broader market trends.
Value investorMixed fitWhile the market cap has dropped significantly, the absence of consistent earnings makes valuation assessment difficult.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and has no near-term path to becoming an income-generating stock.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational uncertainty make this stock unsuitable for conservative, low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock has experienced extreme price swings characteristic of speculative growth stocks.
Valuation riskMedium / highDifficulty in predicting future cash flows creates uncertainty regarding the stock's fundamental value.
Competition risk (Athleisure/Footwear)HighEstablished giants like Nike and specialized players like On Holding exert significant pressure on market share.
Business qualityMediumWhile the brand is well-regarded, the business model has yet to demonstrate consistent profitability at scale.
Dividend incomeLow / noneAllbirds does not offer any dividend yield to support a total return strategy.
Execution riskHighThe company is undergoing significant strategic changes, which introduces substantial operational and management risk.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -13.28%
Avg. Invested days 24
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BIRD receives a 3-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BIRD has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+17.2%) is partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin -38.2%), negative revenue growth (-19.7%), soft profitability (net margin -50.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BIRD's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 37.9%). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is BIRD's strongest growth driver at +17.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, free-cash-flow growth (+14.3%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (-19.7%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 23.6% and approximately 80.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 9.69% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 6.98%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 1.76%
BlackRock Inc 0.63%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 0.57%
Anson Funds Management LP 0.54%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BIRD generates approximately $358 of gross profit, $-493 of operating income, and $-382 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -0.51% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BIRD has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 27.40M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 14
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 14
Volume (30-day avg) 524.4K shares
Beta 2.62
52 Weeks Range 1.88 - 21.26
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.88 - 21.26
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -10.01

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Direct-to-Consumer (DTC)Sales made through the company's e-commerce website and company-owned retail locations.This is the primary way they connect with customers and control the brand experience.
Wholesale / DistributionPartnerships with third-party retailers to sell Allbirds products.This segment is being used to broaden reach and increase market penetration.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 4.74M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value 4.74M
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.18
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.61
Shares Outstanding 9.32M
Shares Floating 7.46M
Shares Outstanding 9.32M
Shares Floating 7.46M
Percent Insiders 9.69
Percent Institutions 23.55

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Allbirds Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-20
President, CEO, Secretary & Director Dr. Nadia Carlsten
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees 362
Full time employees 362

Smartbird, Inc provides footwear and apparel products in the United States and internationally. The company offers a range of lifestyle products for men and women, as well as footwear and secondary apparel, such as classic tees, sweats, socks, and underwear. It sells its products through its e-commerce and third-party marketplace site, distributor and third-party retail partners, and physical retail channels. The company was formerly known as Allbirds, Inc. and changed its name to Smartbird, Inc in December 2015. Smartbird, Inc was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.