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BURL 
Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/31/2025: BURL (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
21 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $348.81
1 Year Target Price $348.81
| 14 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 8.83% | Avg. Invested days 52 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/31/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 17.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 32.26 | 1Y Target Price 348.81 |
Price to earnings Ratio 32.26 | 1Y Target Price 348.81 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 21 | Beta 1.74 | 52 Weeks Range 212.92 - 309.00 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 212.92 - 309.00 | Updated Date 11/1/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.48 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.96% | Operating Margin (TTM) 5.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.65% | Return on Equity (TTM) 43.41% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 32.26 | Forward PE 21.74 | Enterprise Value 21212299342 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 |
Enterprise Value 21212299342 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.93 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.27 | Shares Outstanding 63035016 | Shares Floating 61971240 |
Shares Outstanding 63035016 | Shares Floating 61971240 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.46 | Percent Institutions 115.59 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Burlington Stores Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Burlington Stores, Inc., founded in 1972 as a Burlington Coat Factory, has evolved into a leading off-price retailer. It expanded beyond coats into a broader range of apparel and home goods. The company has experienced significant growth in recent decades, focusing on value and a treasure hunt shopping experience.
Core Business Areas
- Off-Price Retail: Offers a wide assortment of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, and home goods at significant discounts to department and specialty store prices. Focuses on in-season, on-trend merchandise.
Leadership and Structure
Michael O'Sullivan serves as the CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments focusing on merchandising, operations, finance, and marketing, reporting to the CEO and Board of Directors.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Apparel: Clothing for men, women, and children, including casual wear, activewear, and outerwear. Competitors: TJ Maxx, Ross Stores, Marshalls. Market Share is consolidated within the off-price segment.
- Home Goods: Bedding, bath items, kitchenware, furniture, and decor. Competitors: HomeGoods, Big Lots, At Home. Market Share is consolidated within the off-price segment.
- Footwear: Shoes for men, women, and children, including athletic shoes, boots, and sandals. Competitors: DSW, Shoe Carnival, Off Broadway Shoe Warehouse. Market Share is consolidated within the off-price segment.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The off-price retail industry is characterized by competitive pricing, opportunistic buying, and a focus on value-conscious consumers. The industry is driven by fashion trends, economic conditions, and consumer spending habits.
Positioning
Burlington positions itself as a value-driven retailer offering a wide selection of branded merchandise at compelling discounts. It differentiates itself through its treasure hunt shopping experience and focus on in-season goods.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for off-price retail is substantial and growing, estimated at over $70 billion. Burlington is positioned to capture a significant share of this market through continued store expansion and strong inventory management.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Effective off-price business model
- Opportunistic buying capabilities
- In-season merchandise selection
- Loyal customer base
- Growing store footprint
Weaknesses
- Susceptible to economic downturns
- Inventory management challenges
- Dependence on vendor relationships
- Lower online presence compared to competitors
- Limited brand exclusivity
Opportunities
- Further store expansion in underserved markets
- Enhancement of online presence and e-commerce capabilities
- Expansion of product categories
- Increased focus on private label brands
- Leveraging data analytics to improve merchandising decisions
Threats
- Intense competition from other off-price retailers
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Supply chain disruptions
- Economic recession
- Inflation
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- TJX
- ROST
- BURL
Competitive Landscape
Burlington competes effectively with other off-price retailers by offering a compelling value proposition and a unique shopping experience. TJX Companies is the leader.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Burlington has experienced significant growth in revenue and store count over the past decade.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Burlington, driven by store expansion and comparable sales increases.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding store footprint, enhancing omni-channel capabilities, and optimizing inventory management.
Summary
Burlington Stores is a moderately strong company experiencing revenue and earnings growth. Its effective off-price business model and opportunistic buying capabilities contribute to its success. However, it is susceptible to economic downturns and faces intense competition. Continuing to expand its store footprint and improve its inventory management are key for future growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC), Analyst Reports, Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data is subject to change and may not be perfectly accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Burlington Stores Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Burlington, NJ, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-10-02 | CEO & Director Mr. Michael B. O'Sullivan | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Retail | Full time employees 17057 | Website https://www.burlington.com |
Full time employees 17057 | Website https://www.burlington.com | ||
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded merchandise in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company offers fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, home furnishings, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby and beauty merchandise products. It operates stores under the Burlington Stores, and Cohoes Fashions brands in Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico. Burlington Stores, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.
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