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Upturn AI Summary - About
The TJX Companies Inc(TJX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TJX
10/09/2026: TJX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
The TJX Companies, Inc. is a prominent global off-price retailer known for its successful store-based model and vast network of brand-name merchandise. The company has a leading position in the industry, supported by a highly effective supply chain and a 'treasure hunt' shopping environment that consistently attracts cost-conscious consumers. Its primary growth opportunity lies in further international expansion and the strengthening of its digital presence. Risks include potential competition from online-first discount retailers and the constant pressure of managing complex global inventory. The stock may suit investors seeking long-term stability and consistent dividend growth, though they should monitor store performance and evolving consumer shopping trends closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | TJX has a long history of steady, reliable growth through store expansion and market share gains. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | The stock can show positive momentum during periods of strong retail performance, contingent on market signals. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The valuation often reflects the company's high quality and consistency, which may limit deep value opportunities. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | TJX is known for its consistent dividend payments and history of increasing payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The company's defensive business model often provides stability during broader market volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Like most consumer discretionary stocks, TJX can experience fluctuations based on macroeconomic reports. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | High investor demand for stable retail stocks can sometimes lead to premium pricing. |
| Competition risk (off-price retail) | Medium | The sector is increasingly crowded with both brick-and-mortar and digital competitors. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company possesses a strong, proven franchise with durable operational advantages. |
| Dividend income | Low | Dividends are reliable but may not satisfy investors seeking high yields. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully managing a vast, changing inventory across thousands of stores is complex. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -5.02% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 152.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 25.7 | 1Y Target Price 169.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 25.7 | 1Y Target Price 169.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.8M shares | Beta 0.56 | 52 Weeks Range 122.78 - 169.47 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 122.78 - 169.47 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.30% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.4 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Marmaxx | Revenue from T.J. Maxx and Marshalls stores in the U.S. | This is the core profit driver, generating the majority of company revenue. |
| HomeGoods | Revenue from home decor and furniture retail sales. | This segment provides exposure to the home improvement and lifestyle market. |
| International | Sales from TJX Canada and TJX International operations. | Geography-based revenue that provides diversification beyond the U.S. market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 25.7 | Forward PE 24.94 | Enterprise Value 153.06B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 |
Enterprise Value 153.06B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.45 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.22 | Shares Outstanding 1.10B | Shares Floating 1.10B |
Shares Outstanding 1.10B | Shares Floating 1.10B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.15 | Percent Institutions 94.92 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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