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Upturn AI Summary - About
The TJX Companies Inc(TJX)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TJX
10/23/2026: TJX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
The TJX Companies Inc is a leading off-price retailer known for its successful 'treasure hunt' shopping experience across the T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods banners. The company has a leading position in its niche, supported by a resilient business model that historically performs well through diverse economic conditions. Its primary growth story revolves around continued store expansion and international market penetration. Key risks include intense competition from other discounters, potential supply chain disruptions, and the challenge of scaling a complex, inventory-intensive business. As a stable compounder with a history of dividend growth, the stock may appeal to value and income-oriented investors monitoring store productivity and margin health.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company maintains consistent store expansion and revenue growth trajectories. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | This is a stable retail stock; momentum appeal depends on broader market conditions and retail sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | TJX provides stable cash flows and is often valued as a high-quality compounder in the retail space. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company has a reliable history of dividend payments and share repurchases. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | Its off-price business model demonstrates lower volatility relative to traditional cyclical retail. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Retail stocks are subject to sentiment shifts, though TJX tends to be more resilient. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | As a popular retail stock, the valuation can sometimes reach premium levels. |
| Competition risk (off-price retail) | Medium | Intense competition from Ross and Burlington keeps pricing power in check. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company possesses a highly efficient and proven operating model. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Dividend payouts are secure, though yields may be modest compared to high-yield sectors. |
| Execution risk | Low | The company has an extensive track record of successful operational execution. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -6.03% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 159.56B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 26.86 | 1Y Target Price 171.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio 26.86 | 1Y Target Price 171.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 8.3M shares | Beta 0.56 | 52 Weeks Range 122.78 - 169.47 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 122.78 - 169.47 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.23% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.4 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Marmaxx | T.J. Maxx and Marshalls store sales. | The primary engine of growth and revenue for the company. |
| HomeGoods | Home decor and fashion retail. | A key growth driver providing diversification in the home category. |
| International | Operations in Canada, Europe, and Australia. | Provides geographic diversification and long-term expansion potential. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 26.86 | Forward PE 24.75 | Enterprise Value 152.18B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.56 |
Enterprise Value 152.18B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.12 | Shares Outstanding 1.10B | Shares Floating 1.10B |
Shares Outstanding 1.10B | Shares Floating 1.10B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.16 | Percent Institutions 95.41 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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