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Upturn AI Summary - About
Conagra Brands, Inc.(CAG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAG
10/09/2026: CAG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Conagra Brands is a mature consumer packaged goods company known for a portfolio of familiar household brands like Healthy Choice and Slim Jim. The company has a leading position in the North American frozen and shelf-stable segments, which provides stable cash flows. Its main growth story centers on operational discipline, brand renovation, and innovation in high-convenience categories. However, investors must weigh these strengths against risks, including intense competition from private labels, sensitivity to commodity cost inflation, and moderate debt levels. Conagra may best suit value and dividend-focused investors, provided they monitor the company’s ability to successfully pass through pricing and maintain brand relevance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | Conagra is a mature, slow-growth packaged food company, not a high-growth technology or disruptive enterprise. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | This is a conditional play based on positive upturn signals regarding margin recovery or sector rotation. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at reasonable valuation multiples, making it attractive to those seeking stable cash flows. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Conagra provides a reliable and consistent dividend yield that appeals to income-oriented portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | As a consumer staple, Conagra typically exhibits lower volatility compared to the broader, more cyclical market. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | As a consumer staple, the stock is generally less volatile than growth equities but susceptible to broad sector sell-offs. |
| Valuation risk | Low | The stock historically trades within a moderate valuation band consistent with the mature packaged food industry. |
| Competition risk (private label) | Medium / high | Private label products pose a constant threat to market share during periods of high consumer price sensitivity. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company maintains a solid portfolio of well-known brands, though it faces the challenges of a maturing food market. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | The dividend is well-supported by cash flows, making it a reliable component of the investment thesis. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the ongoing ability to manage input costs and maintain brand relevance through innovation. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.69% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.32 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14.32 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13.5M shares | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 12.39 - 19.60 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 12.39 - 19.60 | Updated Date 10/09/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 9.03% | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.98 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail (Grocery & Snacks) | Shelf-stable staples like Hunt's, Slim Jim, and Orville Redenbacher's. | This segment is a reliable revenue engine driven by household pantry staple consumption. |
| Refrigerated & Frozen | Frozen meals like Healthy Choice, Marie Callender's, and Banquet. | A key growth and innovation engine that capitalizes on convenience-focused eating habits. |
| Foodservice | Customized culinary solutions for restaurants and institutions. | This area benefits from the broader recovery and growth in commercial dining and away-from-home eating. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-09-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.31 | Actual 0.41 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -16.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) -24.89% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 10.62 | Enterprise Value 14.15B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.57 |
Enterprise Value 14.15B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.57 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.98 | Shares Outstanding 477.41M | Shares Floating 473.92M |
Shares Outstanding 477.41M | Shares Floating 473.92M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.65 | Percent Institutions 91.38 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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