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Compass Minerals International Inc(CMP)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CMP
10/26/2026: CMP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Compass Minerals International is a specialty mineral and salt producer serving both the public highway maintenance and agricultural nutrition markets. The company holds a significant, asset-backed position in North America but faces inherent volatility due to its reliance on winter weather and agricultural commodity cycles. Its primary growth opportunity lies in potential lithium extraction at its existing facilities, which could pivot the company into higher-growth energy sectors. However, investors must monitor execution risks regarding these capital-intensive projects and the impact of debt on balance sheet health. The stock may appeal to those seeking value exposure in the industrial mineral space, though it remains sensitive to cyclical macro trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely dependent on successful capital-intensive projects like lithium, which introduces execution risk. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks strong, sustained directional momentum due to the seasonal and cyclical nature of its primary business segments. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock may present value opportunities for those willing to overlook cyclical volatility and focus on asset-backed fundamental value. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividend reliability has been adjusted in recent years to support balance sheet health, reducing the appeal for pure income seekers. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Price volatility driven by weather and commodity cycles makes this less suitable for conservative, low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Commodity pricing and seasonal weather patterns cause significant swings in top and bottom-line performance. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing often fluctuates based on seasonal expectations rather than long-term intrinsic value. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Competition from large global fertilizer and industrial mineral players pressures pricing power. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company relies on specific, high-quality mineral deposits, which provides a moat but is subject to operational exhaustion. |
| Dividend income | Medium | The dividend is not guaranteed and remains subject to the company's capital allocation and debt service requirements. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successful execution of the lithium extraction project is crucial for future growth narratives. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 1.79% | Avg. Invested days 29 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 892.93M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 50.64 | 1Y Target Price 29.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 50.64 | 1Y Target Price 29.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 365.1K shares | Beta 1.26 | 52 Weeks Range 16.40 - 34.50 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 16.40 - 34.50 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.42 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Salt | Highway, industrial, and consumer salt products. | Weather drives revenue; heavy snowfall is typically better for demand. |
| Plant Nutrition | Sulfate of potash and micronutrient fertilizers. | Driven by global agricultural trends and demand for high-yield, premium fertilizers. |
| Geography | Primary operations in North America and the UK. | The company is geographically concentrated, making local market conditions highly impactful. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 50.64 | Forward PE 11.45 | Enterprise Value 1.72B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 |
Enterprise Value 1.72B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.69 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.93 | Shares Outstanding 41.98M | Shares Floating 39.30M |
Shares Outstanding 41.98M | Shares Floating 39.30M | ||
Percent Insiders 23.32 | Percent Institutions 78.33 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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