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Citi Trends Inc (CTRN)CTRN
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2024: CTRN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type: Stock | Upturn Star Rating | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 14.08% | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Profits based on simulation | Stock Returns Performance 2 | Last Close 12/05/2024 |
Type: Stock | Today’s Advisory: Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Historic Profit: 14.08% | Avg. Invested days: 36 |
Upturn Star Rating | Stock Returns Performance 2 |
Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/05/2024 | Upturn Advisory Performance 3 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 225.64M USD |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.67 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.37 |
Volume (30-day avg) 97717 | Beta 2.4 |
52 Weeks Range 13.65 - 32.90 | Updated Date 12/4/2024 |
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 225.64M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 27.67 |
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.37 | Volume (30-day avg) 97717 | Beta 2.4 |
52 Weeks Range 13.65 - 32.90 | Updated Date 12/4/2024 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2024-11-26 | When Before Market |
Estimate -0.79 | Actual -0.7808 |
Report Date 2024-11-26 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.79 | Actual -0.7808 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -2.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) -12.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.86% | Return on Equity (TTM) -15.14% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 3.81 |
Enterprise Value 391330163 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 56.81 |
Shares Outstanding 8615340 | Shares Floating 5032669 |
Percent Insiders 13.31 | Percent Institutions 103.07 |
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 3.81 | Enterprise Value 391330163 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.3 |
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 56.81 | Shares Outstanding 8615340 | Shares Floating 5032669 |
Percent Insiders 13.31 | Percent Institutions 103.07 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 29.25 | Buy - |
Strong Buy 2 | Hold 1 | Sell - |
Strong Sell - |
Rating 4.33 | Target Price 29.25 | Buy - | Strong Buy 2 |
Hold 1 | Sell - | Strong Sell - |
AI Summarization
Citi Trends Inc. Stock Analysis: A Comprehensive Overview
Company Profile
Detailed History and Background:
Founded in 1989, Citi Trends is a value-oriented retailer specializing in urban fashion apparel and accessories for the family. The company emerged from the bankruptcy of its predecessor, Fashion 21, operating primarily in underserved urban markets across the United States.
Core Business Areas:
Citi Trends offers a wide range of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children, including:
- Urban fashion: Streetwear, activewear, streetwear
- Footwear: Sneakers, boots, sandals
- Accessories: Jewelry, handbags, hats
- Home: Bedding, décor, kitchenware
Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:
- CEO: David Makuen
- President: Liz Romaine
- CFO: David W. Ceder
- EVP, Supply Chain & Operations: Jennifer Gossett
- EVP, Chief Merchandising Officer: Mark Yeager
The company operates a decentralized structure with regional teams responsible for day-to-day operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Citi Trends' top products include:
- Women's denim: Strong market share in urban markets.
- Men's athletic footwear: Significant growth in recent years.
- Licensed apparel: Partnerships with popular brands like Disney and Nickelodeon.
Market Share Analysis:
- Global market share: Limited data available due to the company's focus on the US market.
- US market share: Approximately 2.3% (within the discount apparel segment).
Comparison against Competitors:
Total Addressable Market (TAM):
The US discount apparel market is estimated at $50 billion, with room for further growth.
Financial Performance:
Recent Financial Statements Analysis (2022):
- Revenue: $922.4 million
- Net Income: $69.5 million
- Profit Margin: 7.5%
- Earnings per Share (EPS): $2.48
Year-over-Year Comparison:
- Revenue growth of 9.7%
- Net income growth of 22.8%
- EPS growth of 22.7%
Cash Flow Statements and Balance Sheet Health:
Strong cash flow generation and a healthy balance sheet with low debt levels.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
- Regular dividend payments since 2015.
- Recent dividend yield of approximately 1.5%.
- Payout ratio within a sustainable range.
Shareholder Returns:
- Total return of 25% over the past year.
- Outperformed the broader market.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical Growth Analysis:
- Consistent revenue and earnings growth in recent years.
- Expansion of store footprint and online presence.
Future Growth Projections:
- Analysts expect moderate revenue and earnings growth in the coming years.
- Continued focus on expanding online sales and enhancing customer experience.
Market Dynamics:
Industry Overview:
The discount apparel market is a competitive landscape with several major players. Growing online competition and changing consumer preferences add to the challenges.
Citi Trends' Positioning:
The company's focus on value and urban fashion differentiates it from competitors. Its omnichannel strategy and loyal customer base provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Competitors:
- Ross Stores (ROST)
- Burlington Stores (BURL)
- Five Below (FIVE)
- Dollar General (DG)
- TJ Maxx (TJX)
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Key Challenges:
- Intense competition and price pressure.
- Supply chain disruptions and rising costs.
- Omnichannel strategy execution.
Potential Opportunities:
- Expanding online presence and mobile app.
- New store openings in underserved markets.
- Private label brands and exclusive partnerships.
Recent Acquisitions:
No significant acquisitions within the past 3 years.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Based on an AI-based analysis, Citi Trends Inc. receives a 7.5 out of 10 rating. This indicates a positive overall outlook for the stock, considering its financial health, market position, and future prospects.
Sources and Disclaimers:
Data sources used for this analysis include:
- Citi Trends Inc. website
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings
- Market research reports
- Industry publications
This analysis should not be considered investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Citi Trends Inc
Exchange | NASDAQ | Headquaters | Savannah, GA, United States |
IPO Launch date | 2005-05-18 | CEO & Director | Mr. Kenneth Duane Seipel |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Website | https://cititrends.com |
Industry | Apparel Retail | Full time employees | 2700 |
Headquaters | Savannah, GA, United States | ||
CEO & Director | Mr. Kenneth Duane Seipel | ||
Website | https://cititrends.com | ||
Website | https://cititrends.com | ||
Full time employees | 2700 |
Citi Trends, Inc. operates as a value retailer of fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods. The company offers apparel, such as fashion sportswear and footwear for men and ladies, as well as apparel for kids, including newborns, infants, toddlers, boys, and girls; sleepwear, lingerie, and scrubs for ladies; and kids uniforms and accessories. It also provides accessories and beauty products that include handbags, luggage, hats, belts, sunglasses, jewelry, and watches, as well as offers outerwear for men and women. In addition, the company offers home and lifestyle products comprising home products for the bedroom, bathroom, kitchen, and decorative accessories; and food, tech, team sports, health and products, as well as seasonal items, books, and toys. Citi Trends, Inc. provides its products primarily to African American and multicultural families in the United States. The company was formerly known as Allied Fashion, Inc. and changed its name to Citi Trends, Inc. in 2001. Citi Trends, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Savannah, Georgia.
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