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Citi Trends Inc(CTRN)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CTRN
11/09/2026: CTRN (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Citi Trends Inc is a specialized off-price retailer focused on providing affordable apparel and home goods to urban, value-conscious consumers. The company's primary strength lies in its niche market focus and a flexible store model that caters to a specific demographic. While the company has historically utilized store expansion as a growth driver, it is currently navigating operational challenges and intense competition from larger, better-capitalized national discount retailers. Key risks include significant macroeconomic sensitivity, margin pressure from logistics costs, and the ongoing need for effective inventory execution. The stock may appeal to turnaround-focused investors, though it remains a volatile play in a challenging retail environment.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company is currently focused more on operational stability and turnaround than on rapid top-line expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum metrics are generally muted; a shift would require a strong positive upturn in sales and margin consistency. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | While the stock may appear discounted, valuation is tied heavily to the successful execution of operational turnarounds. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The business model and stock exhibit significant volatility and sensitivity to broader macroeconomic cycles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to quarterly earnings misses and retail sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Future valuation depends heavily on the company's ability to restore profit margins. |
| Competition risk (off-price retail giants) | High | Larger competitors with better scale can offer deeper discounts and more aggressive inventory cycles. |
| Business quality | Medium | The niche focus provides some protection but limits overall operating leverage. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Shareholders receive no income through dividends. |
| Execution risk | High | Management must successfully navigate inventory and cost pressures to deliver sustained profitability. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 33.7% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 375.36M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 53.58 | 1Y Target Price 91 |
Price to earnings Ratio 53.58 | 1Y Target Price 91 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 196.0K shares | Beta 1.87 | 52 Weeks Range 36.05 - 77.91 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 36.05 - 77.91 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.84 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Sales | Physical store sales of apparel, footwear, and home accessories. | The company depends on getting customers into physical stores to buy affordable items. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 53.58 | Forward PE 3.64 | Enterprise Value 544.32M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 |
Enterprise Value 544.32M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.43 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.63 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.46 | Shares Outstanding 8.34M | Shares Floating 4.74M |
Shares Outstanding 8.34M | Shares Floating 4.74M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.64 | Percent Institutions 105.66 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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