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Ellington Residential Mortgage (EARN)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: EARN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $5.62
1 Year Target Price $5.62
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 2.45% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 203.26M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 19.32 | 1Y Target Price 5.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 19.32 | 1Y Target Price 5.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.28 | 52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 5.77 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.81 - 5.77 | Updated Date 01/9/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 18.01% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.28 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -14.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) 67.82% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) -2.82% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 19.32 | Forward PE 5.88 | Enterprise Value 362040064 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.66 |
Enterprise Value 362040064 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 37570604 | Shares Floating 37047534 |
Shares Outstanding 37570604 | Shares Floating 37047534 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.4 | Percent Institutions 11.15 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Ellington Residential Mortgage

Company Overview
History and Background
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT (EAR) was formed in 2007 and went public in 2013. It is a real estate investment trust that invests in, originates, and acquires residential mortgage-related assets, primarily focusing on agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The company has evolved to manage a diversified portfolio of residential mortgage assets, adapting to market conditions.
Core Business Areas
- Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities: Invests in Agency MBS, which are securities backed by mortgages guaranteed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. These are considered a core asset class for generating income.
- Residential Mortgage Loans: Engages in the origination and acquisition of residential mortgage loans, including both conforming and non-conforming loans. This segment can provide direct control over asset quality and cash flows.
- Other Mortgage-Related Assets: May invest in other related assets such as mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) and other securitized products.
Leadership and Structure
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is externally managed by Ellington Management Group, L.L.C. This structure provides access to specialized expertise in mortgage investing and asset management. The executive team is comprised of experienced professionals from Ellington Management Group.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Agency MBS: Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT's primary offering involves investing in a portfolio of Agency MBS. While specific market share data for this segment of a REIT is not publicly available in the same way as for a product manufacturer, its success is tied to the broader MBS market. Competitors include other mortgage REITs and institutional investors in the fixed-income markets.
- Residential Mortgage Loan Origination and Acquisition: This segment focuses on acquiring and servicing residential mortgage loans. Market share here is fragmented, with numerous independent mortgage originators and aggregators as competitors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The residential mortgage market in the US is vast and influenced by interest rates, housing demand, regulatory changes, and economic conditions. Mortgage REITs operate within this dynamic environment, seeking to generate income from mortgage assets. The current market is characterized by fluctuating interest rates and ongoing housing market adjustments.
Positioning
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT positions itself as a specialized investor in residential mortgage assets, leveraging the expertise of its external manager. Its competitive advantages lie in its focused investment strategy, risk management capabilities, and operational efficiency derived from its external management structure.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for residential mortgages and related securities is in the trillions of US dollars. Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT operates within a segment of this market, focusing on Agency MBS and certain mortgage loan types. Its positioning is as a niche player within this massive market, aiming to generate consistent returns from its targeted asset classes.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced external management team with specialized expertise in mortgage assets.
- Diversified portfolio of residential mortgage-related assets.
- Focus on Agency MBS provides a degree of credit risk mitigation.
- Access to a broad range of mortgage investment strategies.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on external manager for operational execution and strategic direction.
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and credit spread volatility.
- Leverage can amplify both gains and losses.
- Potential for dividend volatility due to market conditions.
Opportunities
- Potential for income generation in a rising or stable interest rate environment through MBS investments.
- Acquisition of attractively priced mortgage assets during market dislocations.
- Expansion into complementary mortgage-related asset classes.
- Leveraging technology to improve operational efficiency and risk management.
Threats
- Adverse movements in interest rates, leading to declines in MBS values.
- Increased competition in the mortgage and MBS markets.
- Changes in government housing policy or GSE operations.
- Economic downturns leading to increased mortgage defaults.
- Liquidity risks in certain mortgage asset classes.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)
- Chimera Investment Corporation (CIM)
- New Residential Investment Corp. (NRZ)
- AG Mortgage Investment Trust, Inc. (MITT)
Competitive Landscape
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT competes with a number of other mortgage REITs that invest in similar asset classes. Its advantages include its specialized external management and focused strategy. Disadvantages may arise from its relative size compared to larger competitors and its reliance on the expertise of its manager.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is primarily driven by its ability to acquire and manage mortgage assets that generate attractive yields relative to its cost of capital. Growth is also achieved through strategic portfolio adjustments and potentially accretive acquisitions or capital raises.
Future Projections: Future projections for Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT depend on analyst expectations regarding interest rates, the housing market, and the company's ability to navigate these factors. Projections would typically be available from financial analysts covering the stock.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives likely focus on portfolio optimization, managing interest rate risk, and potentially expanding its asset base through strategic acquisitions or capital deployment to capitalize on market opportunities. Specific initiatives would be detailed in investor presentations and SEC filings.
Summary
Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT is a specialized mortgage REIT that focuses on agency MBS and other residential mortgage assets, managed by Ellington Management Group. Its strength lies in its experienced management and focused strategy, but it is susceptible to interest rate fluctuations and market volatility. The company needs to carefully manage its leverage and portfolio to navigate economic uncertainties and competitive pressures to maintain consistent shareholder returns.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Websites
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Ellington Residential Mortgage
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Old Greenwich, CT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2013-05-01 | CEO, President & Trustee Mr. Laurence Eric Penn | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Asset Management | Full time employees - | Website https://www.ellingtoncredit.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.ellingtoncredit.com | ||
Ellington Credit Company, a closed-end management investment company, focuses on generating current yields and risk-adjusted total returns by investing primarily in collateralized loan obligations. It invests in mezzanine debt and equity tranches. The company was formerly known as Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT and changed its name to Ellington Credit Company in April 2024. Ellington Credit Company was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Old Greenwich, Connecticut.

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