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Vaalco Energy Inc(EGY)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EGY
11/06/2026: EGY (3-star) is a SELL. SELL for 1 day. Simulated Profits (-15.14%). Updated daily EoD!
Vaalco Energy is an independent oil and gas exploration company with a focus on offshore West African assets and onshore Canadian production. The company is characterized by a strong, debt-light balance sheet and a disciplined approach to returning capital to shareholders through dividends. Its main growth story involves optimizing its acquired Egyptian assets and exploring new potential in Equatorial Guinea. However, investors must consider risks associated with commodity price volatility and geopolitical instability in its operating regions. Vaalco may suit investors looking for income-focused energy exposure, though they should monitor production performance and regional political developments closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company is more focused on yield and stable production than aggressive organic growth. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends heavily on the price of Brent crude rather than company-specific catalysts. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Vaalco often trades at attractive multiples relative to its cash flow and asset base. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The company maintains a reliable dividend policy supported by healthy free cash flow. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to volatile commodity prices and geopolitical risks in Africa creates substantial risk. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The company's earnings are directly tied to the global market price of crude oil. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation is often linked to sentiment regarding commodity cycles rather than consistent earnings growth. |
| Competition risk (Oil & Gas) | Medium / high | Vaalco competes with larger, more diversified producers for prime exploration acreage and capital. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the asset base is stable, it lacks the operational breadth of larger supermajors. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are generally stable but could be adjusted if commodity prices collapse. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Operating complex offshore and international assets requires precise execution to avoid costly delays. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 19.11% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory SELL |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/06/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 565.93M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.2 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10.2 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.3M shares | Beta 0.18 | 52 Weeks Range 3.25 - 6.59 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.25 - 6.59 | Updated Date 11/05/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 4.63% | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.04 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| West Africa (Gabon/Equatorial Guinea) | Offshore crude oil production primarily from the Etame Marin block. | This is the core profit generator for the company. |
| Canada & Egypt | Onshore light oil and natural gas production. | These assets provide geographic and commodity diversification. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 0.04 | Actual -0.1 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -31.11% | Operating Margin (TTM) 47.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1% | Return on Equity (TTM) -24.4% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 5.4 | Enterprise Value 799.42M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.62 |
Enterprise Value 799.42M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.62 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.9 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 47.72 | Shares Outstanding 105.19M | Shares Floating 101.78M |
Shares Outstanding 105.19M | Shares Floating 101.78M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.25 | Percent Institutions 73.04 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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