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Elastic NV (ESTC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: ESTC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $109.54
1 Year Target Price $109.54
15 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -37.74% | Avg. Invested days 23 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 109.54 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 109.54 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 30 | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 118.84 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 118.84 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.04 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.29% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) -12.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 33.44 | Enterprise Value 7258508669 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.44 |
Enterprise Value 7258508669 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.89 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1199.16 | Shares Outstanding 105535000 | Shares Floating 92325085 |
Shares Outstanding 105535000 | Shares Floating 92325085 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.18 | Percent Institutions 80.39 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Elastic NV

Company Overview
History and Background
Elastic NV was founded in 2012 as Elasticsearch. It evolved from a search engine to a broader data analytics and solutions company. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2018 and the expansion of its product suite beyond search.
Core Business Areas
- Elasticsearch: The core search and analytics engine, used for indexing, searching, and analyzing large volumes of data.
- Observability: Provides tools for monitoring and analyzing logs, metrics, and traces to ensure the performance and reliability of applications and infrastructure.
- Security: Offers security information and event management (SIEM) and endpoint security solutions to detect and prevent cyber threats.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO is Ashutosh Kulkarni. The company has a typical corporate structure with departments for engineering, sales, marketing, finance, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Elasticsearch: Elasticsearch is the core offering, a distributed, RESTful search and analytics engine. Competitors: Splunk, Datadog, Sumo Logic. While specific revenue breakdown is not readily available, it is the most significant revenue contributor. Elastic claims market leadership for search and relevance. Market share (est): 28%
- Kibana: Kibana is a visualization dashboard for Elasticsearch. Enables users to explore, visualize, and understand their data. It is integral to the overall value proposition of Elasticsearch. Competitors: Tableau, Grafana.
- Elastic Observability: A suite of tools for application performance monitoring (APM), infrastructure monitoring, and log analytics. Competitors: Datadog, New Relic, Dynatrace, Sumo Logic. Estimated market share: 14%
- Elastic Security: Provides security information and event management (SIEM) and endpoint security. Competitors: Splunk, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks. Estimated market share: 8%
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The industry is characterized by rapid growth in data volumes and increasing demand for real-time analytics, observability, and security solutions. Cloud adoption is a major driver.
Positioning
Elastic NV is positioned as a leading provider of search, analytics, observability, and security solutions, offering a unified platform for managing and analyzing data across various use cases. Its competitive advantages include its open-source roots and its scalability.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
Estimated TAM for search, observability, and security is $80 Billion. Elastic NV is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, benefiting from its expanding product portfolio and cloud-native offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong open-source foundation
- Scalable and flexible platform
- Unified solutions across search, observability, and security
- Large and active community
- Expanding cloud presence
Weaknesses
- Complexity of platform can lead to longer sales cycles
- Competition from larger, well-established vendors
- Sales execution inconsistencies
Opportunities
- Growing demand for real-time data analytics
- Increasing adoption of cloud-based solutions
- Expansion into new markets and verticals
- Strategic partnerships and acquisitions
Threats
- Intense competition from established players and emerging startups
- Economic downturn impacting IT spending
- Security vulnerabilities and data breaches
- Changes in open-source licensing models
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SPLK
- DDOG
- SUMO
Competitive Landscape
Elastic NV has a strong competitive position due to its unified platform and open-source foundation. However, it faces intense competition from larger, well-established vendors like Splunk and Datadog.
Major Acquisitions
Build.Security
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 13
- Strategic Rationale: Strengthened security capabilities with cloud-native authorization platform.
opbeat
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 34
- Strategic Rationale: Enhanced application performance monitoring (APM) capabilities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Elastic NV has experienced strong revenue growth over the past few years, driven by increasing adoption of its solutions and expansion into new markets.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth of approximately 20-25% per year over the next few years, driven by increasing demand for search, observability, and security solutions.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its cloud offerings, strengthening its partnerships with major cloud providers, and investing in new product development.
Summary
Elastic NV is a strong player in search, observability and security analytics with its unified platform and an open-source base. Revenue is growing but currently with negative net income. It faces stiff competition from bigger firms with long histories. Cloud adoption and new markets and partnerships offer strong opportunities, but a slowdown in IT spending is a key risk.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. Investing in securities involves risk.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Elastic NV
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-10-05 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 3537 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Full time employees 3537 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic's Search AI Platform, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company also provides Elastic search product a distributed, real-time vector database and analytics engine and data store for all types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the platforms; Elasticsearch search platform, a platform with retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; and elastic security, a security solution that provides unified protection to prevent, detect, and respond to threats. In addition, it offers Elastic Observability, a solution that enables unified analysis, including Logs analytics to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; infrastructure monitoring to gain visibility across cloud, on-premises, Kubernetes, serverless, and hosts; Application Performance Monitoring to stream native production-grade; digital experience monitoring; and large language models. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

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