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Upturn AI Summary - About
Elastic NV(ESTC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ESTC
10/27/2026: ESTC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Elastic NV is a high-growth enterprise software company known for its search, observability, and security analytics platform. The company has a leading position in the developer community, supported by a scalable, unified architecture that drives customer stickiness. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the expanding adoption of AI-powered search and analytics within enterprise environments. Primary risks include aggressive competition from major cloud hyperscalers and potential volatility in consumption-based revenue. Elastic NV may best suit growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high market volatility, while investors should monitor the successful adoption of new AI features and cloud migration trends to gauge long-term performance.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Elastic is a high-growth software company expanding in key markets like AI-driven search and cybersecurity. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum depends heavily on the current trend of the stock relative to tech sector performance. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company's focus on growth over near-term profitability makes it a poor candidate for traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Elastic does not pay dividends and reinvests all cash flow into growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High market volatility and valuation risk make this unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to significant fluctuations based on growth expectations and tech sector sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | High | High price-to-sales ratios leave little room for error in quarterly execution. |
| Competition risk (Cloud hyperscalers) | Medium / high | Large cloud providers offering native search and monitoring tools compete directly with Elastic. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company has a strong, defensible product, though it faces commoditization pressure in certain segments. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income stream for shareholders. |
| Execution risk | Medium | The company must execute on both cloud migration and AI product delivery to sustain growth. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.31% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 11.16B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 30.37 | 1Y Target Price 111.74 |
Price to earnings Ratio 30.37 | 1Y Target Price 111.74 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.9M shares | Beta 1.04 | 52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 108.00 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 42.05 - 108.00 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.5 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Subscription & Cloud | License fees for self-managed software and consumption-based revenue from Elastic Cloud. | Most revenue comes from recurring subscriptions and cloud consumption, ensuring predictable long-term cash flow. |
| Geography | Operations in North America, EMEA, and APAC. | The company has a global footprint, with strong customer concentration in the US and Europe. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 30.37 | Forward PE 30.86 | Enterprise Value 9.89B | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.19 |
Enterprise Value 9.89B | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 537.5 | Shares Outstanding 104.99M | Shares Floating 90.18M |
Shares Outstanding 104.99M | Shares Floating 90.18M | ||
Percent Insiders 11.74 | Percent Institutions 89.62 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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