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Elastic NV (ESTC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/18/2025: ESTC (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $111.59
Year Target Price $111.59
15 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
8 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
0 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -30.14% | Avg. Invested days 24 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 111.59 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 111.59 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 123.96 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 69.00 - 123.96 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.04 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -7.29% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.97% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -1.4% | Return on Equity (TTM) -12.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 36.23 | Enterprise Value 7924433806 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.88 |
Enterprise Value 7924433806 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.34 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1309.17 | Shares Outstanding 105535000 | Shares Floating 92319808 |
Shares Outstanding 105535000 | Shares Floating 92319808 | ||
Percent Insiders 13.18 | Percent Institutions 84.96 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.23 | Target Price 111.59 | Buy 7 | Strong Buy 15 |
Buy 7 | Strong Buy 15 | ||
Hold 8 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Elastic NV

Company Overview
History and Background
Elastic NV was founded in 2012. It began as an open-source search company and evolved into a platform for search, observability, and security. It went public in 2018.
Core Business Areas
- Elasticsearch Platform: Provides a distributed, RESTful search and analytics engine capable of solving a growing number of use cases. It's open source at its core, enabling users to ingest and process data from various sources, perform full-text search, and analyze data in near real-time.
- Observability: Offers solutions for monitoring, analyzing, and optimizing IT infrastructure and applications. Key products include Elastic APM, Logs, Metrics, and Uptime, providing insights into system performance and availability.
- Security: Provides security information and event management (SIEM) and endpoint security solutions to detect, prevent, and respond to cyber threats. This includes threat detection, security analytics, and automated response capabilities.
Leadership and Structure
Elastic NV is led by CEO Ashutosh Kulkarni. The organizational structure consists of engineering, product, sales, marketing, and operations departments, organized around its core product areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Elasticsearch: The core search and analytics engine. Competitors include Apache Solr, Splunk, and Datadog. Revenue is derived from subscriptions and cloud usage. Market share is estimated to be around 25% in the search and analytics market, though difficult to precisely quantify due to open-source nature.
- Kibana: Data visualization dashboard for Elasticsearch. Competitors include Tableau, Grafana, and other BI tools. It comes free with the Elastic stack. Plays a crucial role in increasing overall platform adoption and driving revenue indirectly.
- Elastic Cloud: Elastic's managed cloud service for running Elasticsearch and related products. Competitors include AWS OpenSearch, Azure Cognitive Search, and GCP Cloud Search. Significant portion of Elastic's ARR comes from Elastic Cloud.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The market is characterized by increasing data volumes, the need for real-time analytics, and growing cybersecurity threats. Digital transformation and cloud adoption are driving demand for solutions that help organizations manage and derive insights from their data.
Positioning
Elastic NV is positioned as a unified platform for search, observability, and security. Its competitive advantages include its open-source heritage, scalability, and the breadth of its solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The combined TAM for search, observability, and security is estimated to be over $70 billion. Elastic is positioning itself to capture a larger share of this expanding market by unifying its solutions and expanding its cloud offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong open-source community
- Scalable and flexible platform
- Unified platform for search, observability, and security
- Growing cloud business
- Strong brand recognition
Weaknesses
- Complexity of deployment and management
- Competition from larger cloud providers
- Reliance on open-source contribution
- Profitability concerns
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets and industries
- Increased adoption of cloud-based solutions
- Growing demand for real-time analytics
- Strategic partnerships
- AI/ML integration
Threats
- Intense competition
- Economic downturn
- Security breaches
- Changes in open-source licensing
- Rapid technological advancements
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SPLK
- DDOG
- SUMO
Competitive Landscape
Elastic has advantages in open-source and unified platforms but faces challenges from established players with larger customer bases.
Major Acquisitions
Build.Security
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
- Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enhance its security capabilities in cloud-native environments.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Elastic NV has experienced rapid growth in revenue, particularly in its cloud business. This growth has been fueled by the increasing demand for its search, observability, and security solutions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth, driven by cloud adoption and expansion into new markets. However, profitability may remain a challenge in the near term.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding its cloud offerings, integrating AI/ML capabilities, and forging strategic partnerships with other technology companies.
Summary
Elastic NV is a growing company with a strong presence in the search, observability, and security markets. Its open-source heritage and unified platform are key strengths, but it faces competition from larger players. Continued cloud growth and strategic partnerships will be critical for its future success, while it must focus on improving profitablity. It must watch the impact of changes in open-source licensing models.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Elastic NV Investor Relations
- Market Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Elastic NV
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters - | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-10-05 | CEO & Executive Director Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 3537 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Full time employees 3537 | Website https://www.elastic.co |
Elastic N.V., a search artificial intelligence (AI) company, provides software platforms to run in hybrid, public or private clouds, and multi-cloud environments in the United States and internationally. It primarily offers Elastic's Search AI Platform, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as performs search, analysis, and visualization on that data. The company also provides Elastic search product a distributed, real-time vector database and analytics engine and data store for all types of data, including textual, numerical, geospatial, structured, and unstructured; Kibana, a user interface, management, and configuration interface for the platforms; Elasticsearch search platform, a platform with retrieval algorithms and the ability to integrate with large language models; and elastic security, a security solution that provides unified protection to prevent, detect, and respond to threats. In addition, it offers Elastic Observability, a solution that enables unified analysis, including Logs analytics to search and analyze petabytes of structured and unstructured logs; infrastructure monitoring to gain visibility across cloud, on-premises, Kubernetes, serverless, and hosts; Application Performance Monitoring to stream native production-grade; digital experience monitoring; and large language models. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
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