Evaxion Biotech AS logo

Evaxion Biotech AS(EVAX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
WEAK BUY
BUY for 33 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-8.36% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$3.07
10/09/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EVAX

10/09/2026: EVAX (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Evaxion Biotech is a clinical-stage company using artificial intelligence to discover cancer and infectious disease vaccines. Its primary strength lies in its proprietary PIONEER and EDEN AI platforms, which aim to streamline the drug development process. The company’s growth story hinges on successfully moving candidates like EVX-01 through clinical trials and securing high-value partnerships. However, investors face substantial risks, including the absence of commercial revenue, high cash burn, and the inherent uncertainty of clinical trial success. The stock is best suited for speculative growth investors who can tolerate high volatility and should focus on monitoring upcoming clinical data and new partnership announcements.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitInvestors looking for high-risk, high-reward exposure to AI-driven biotech may find potential here, though the path to commercialization is long.
Momentum investorMixed fitThis is a conditional fit depending on positive clinical trial news or partnership announcements driving short-term interest.
Value investorWeak fitAs a pre-revenue clinical-stage company, traditional valuation metrics like P/E ratios are not applicable.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company is not currently profitable and does not pay dividends.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high volatility and clinical risk make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to clinical trial results and overall market sentiment for biotech.
Valuation riskHighValuations for pre-revenue companies are highly subjective and prone to significant corrections.
Competition risk (AI-driven biotech)Medium / highWell-funded competitors are also utilizing AI to accelerate drug discovery, challenging Evaxion's technological moat.
Business qualityMediumThe company relies on its intellectual property and AI engine, which are not yet proven by commercial success.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no income generation for shareholders.
Execution riskHighFailure to achieve positive clinical endpoints for candidates like EVX-01 could severely impact the company's future.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -20.15%
Avg. Invested days 21
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/09/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
EVAX receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
EVAX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+27.1%) and strong revenue growth (+125.1%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -88.4%), weak profitability (net margin -102.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
EVAX's financial health is supported by moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 72.7%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Revenue growth is EVAX's strongest growth driver at +125.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Earnings growth (+27.1%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+48.6%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 9.4% and approximately 63.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 16.15% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Merck & Co Inc 13.46%
Ikarian Capital, LLC 0.83%
Rathbone Brothers PLC 0.51%
Citadel Advisors Llc 0.41%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 0.37%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
EVAX generates approximately $1,000 of gross profit, $-1,227 of operating income, and $-884 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 10.54%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
EVAX has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 27.52M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.25
Volume (30-day avg) 47.6K shares
Beta 0.51
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 12.15
Updated Date 10/09/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.77 - 12.15
Updated Date 10/09/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Research and Development PartnershipsCollaborations with major pharmaceutical firms to use its AI platforms for drug discovery.The company primarily generates revenue through strategic partnerships and milestone payments rather than selling commercial drugs.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 3.57
Enterprise Value 22.70M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67
Enterprise Value 22.70M
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -0.59
Shares Outstanding 9.02M
Shares Floating 5.68M
Shares Outstanding 9.02M
Shares Floating 5.68M
Percent Insiders 16.15
Percent Institutions 9.42

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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