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Upturn AI Summary - About
Frontdoor Inc(FTDR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FTDR
10/30/2026: FTDR (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Frontdoor Inc is a prominent provider of home service plans and on-demand repair solutions in the U.S. market. The company operates a robust, recurring-revenue model underpinned by its American Home Shield brand and an extensive, nationwide network of service contractors. Its primary growth story centers on the transition to a digital-first model via the Frontdoor mobile app, aimed at modernizing the homeowner experience. Key risks include exposure to rising repair and labor costs, as well as competition from broader home-protection platforms. The stock may suit investors seeking stable, service-based businesses, though its lack of dividends and reliance on successful digital adoption are important considerations.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers steady, predictable growth rather than rapid, high-beta expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum potential depends on positive news cycles regarding app adoption or housing market stability. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations that may appeal to investors looking for steady, cash-generative businesses. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Frontdoor currently does not pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The recurring nature of the business model provides a level of defensibility during market volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can react significantly to housing market news and interest rate trends. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Investors must monitor how the market prices the company's transition to a digital-services platform. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | New entrants in the property-tech space could pressure margins or market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a durable, cash-flow-generative business model with significant market presence. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | There is no dividend income to provide a buffer for total returns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successfully shifting consumer behavior toward the Frontdoor app is critical for long-term growth. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.75% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.05 | 1Y Target Price 95.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.05 | 1Y Target Price 95.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 648.5K shares | Beta 1.53 | 52 Weeks Range 48.47 - 93.43 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 48.47 - 93.43 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.79 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Home Service Plans | Annual subscription fees for American Home Shield plans covering appliance and system repairs. | This is the primary, predictable revenue driver for the company. |
| On-Demand Services | Individual, pay-per-service repairs and expert video diagnostic sessions via the Frontdoor app. | This represents the company's future growth engine, aimed at younger, digital-native customers. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.76 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.77% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) 101.86% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.05 | Forward PE 16.5 | Enterprise Value 6.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.8 |
Enterprise Value 6.35B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.8 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.09 | Shares Outstanding 68.89M | Shares Floating 68.37M |
Shares Outstanding 68.89M | Shares Floating 68.37M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.73 | Percent Institutions 108.95 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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