
Cancel anytime
- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI SWOT
- About


Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)


- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)

(see disclosures)
- ALL
- YEAR
- MONTH
- WEEK
Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: GO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17.15
1 Year Target Price $17.15
2 | Strong Buy |
0 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.7% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
![]() | ![]() |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.47B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 187.62 | 1Y Target Price 17.15 |
Price to earnings Ratio 187.62 | 1Y Target Price 17.15 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 0.29 | 52 Weeks Range 10.26 - 21.67 | Updated Date 10/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 10.26 - 21.67 | Updated Date 10/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.08 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 0.18% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.03% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 187.62 | Forward PE 17.54 | Enterprise Value 3294165313 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33 |
Enterprise Value 3294165313 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.06 | Shares Outstanding 98103295 | Shares Floating 93781845 |
Shares Outstanding 98103295 | Shares Floating 93781845 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.65 | Percent Institutions 125.03 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Grocery Outlet was founded in 1946 as Cannery Sales, selling military surplus. It evolved into a deep-discount retailer, focusing on opportunistic purchasing and offering brand-name products at significantly lower prices. It went public in 2019.
Core Business Areas
- Retail Grocery: Grocery Outlet operates a chain of deep-discount grocery stores offering a wide variety of products, including produce, meat, dairy, packaged goods, and household items. Stores are primarily located in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Idaho, Nevada and New Jersey.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by CEO RJ Sheedy and has a board of directors. The operational structure involves a network of independent operators who manage individual stores, creating a unique partnership model.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Grocery Items: Wide range of grocery items including produce, meat, dairy, packaged goods, and household items. Market share is difficult to precisely pinpoint due to the deep-discount model, but they compete with traditional grocers. Competitors include traditional grocery chains like Kroger (KR), Albertsons (ACI), and discount retailers like Dollar General (DG) and Aldi.
- Opportunistic Buys: Grocery Outlet specializes in purchasing overstocked, discontinued, or close-dated items from manufacturers. These items are offered at significant discounts. Competitors are mainly other discount retailers and closeout specialists.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The grocery industry is highly competitive with varying segments catering to different consumer preferences. The deep-discount segment is growing, driven by consumers seeking value and affordability.
Positioning
Grocery Outlet is positioned as a deep-discount grocer, offering brand-name products at significantly lower prices than traditional grocery stores. Its competitive advantage lies in its opportunistic purchasing model and the independent operator structure.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US grocery market is vast, estimated at over $800 billion annually. Grocery Outlet's deep-discount positioning allows it to capture a portion of the market focused on value-conscious consumers. Its expansion plans will allow it to increase market share.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Unique opportunistic purchasing model
- Strong value proposition for consumers
- Independent operator structure fostering local market knowledge
- Proven track record of growth
- Strong brand recognition in existing markets
Weaknesses
- Reliance on opportunistic buys leading to inconsistent product availability
- Limited brand awareness outside existing markets
- Exposure to supply chain disruptions affecting product availability
- Variable store performance due to independent operator model
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased brand awareness through marketing initiatives
- Enhanced supply chain management to improve product availability
- Growing demand for value-priced groceries
- Strategic partnerships with manufacturers
Threats
- Increased competition from other discount retailers
- Economic downturn affecting consumer spending
- Supply chain disruptions impacting product costs and availability
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Inflation impacting food prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- KR
- ACI
- DG
- SVU
Competitive Landscape
Grocery Outlet's deep-discount model provides a competitive advantage. However, it faces competition from larger, more established grocery chains and discount retailers. Its unique purchasing strategy differentiates it from its competitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Grocery Outlet has demonstrated strong historical growth by expanding its store network and increasing same-store sales.
Future Projections: Analyst projections suggest continued growth driven by new store openings and same-store sales increases. Projections depend on market conditions and company performance.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding into new states, enhancing supply chain management, and investing in technology to improve operations.
Summary
Grocery Outlet is a growing deep-discount grocer with a unique opportunistic purchasing model and a strong value proposition. Its expansion into new markets and focus on value-conscious consumers are working well. However, it faces challenges such as supply chain disruptions and increased competition, which could affect their availability of goods and expansion plans.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Emeryville, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2019-06-20 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Jason Potter | ||
Sector Consumer Defensive | Industry Grocery Stores | Full time employees 1692 | Website https://www.groceryoutlet.com |
Full time employees 1692 | Website https://www.groceryoutlet.com |
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates as a retailer of consumables and fresh products sold through independently operated stores in the United States. It offers perishable department products, including dairy and deli, produce and floral, and fresh meat and seafood. The company also provides non-perishable department products, such as non-perishable grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. It operates stores in California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Idaho, Maryland, Nevada, North Carolina, New Jersey, Georgia, Ohio, Alabama, Delaware, Kentucky, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.