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Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Canada Goose Holdings Inc
$9.92
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/09/2024: GOOS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -61.28%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Last Close 12/09/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: -61.28%
Avg. Invested days: 21
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/09/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance1

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 969.96M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.2
1Y Target Price 10.06
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.41
Volume (30-day avg) 1083344
Beta 1.29
52 Weeks Range 9.23 - 14.75
Updated Date 12/10/2024
Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 969.96M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.2
1Y Target Price 10.06
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.41
Volume (30-day avg) 1083344
Beta 1.29
52 Weeks Range 9.23 - 14.75
Updated Date 12/10/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -
Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.8%
Operating Margin (TTM) 0.6%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.78%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.68%

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.2
Forward PE 7.98
Enterprise Value 1518270292
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.95
Shares Outstanding 45800200
Shares Floating 45539141
Percent Insiders 1.57
Percent Institutions 82.49
Trailing PE 24.2
Forward PE 7.98
Enterprise Value 1518270292
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.95
Shares Outstanding 45800200
Shares Floating 45539141
Percent Insiders 1.57
Percent Institutions 82.49

Analyst Ratings

Rating 2.58
Target Price 16.93
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell 3
Strong Sell 2
Rating 2.58
Target Price 16.93
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 6
Sell 3
Strong Sell 2

AI Summarization

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) Stock Overview

Company Profile:

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) is a Canadian luxury apparel company specializing in high-end outerwear, particularly parkas. Founded in 1957 in Toronto, the company has grown to become a global brand renowned for its quality, warmth, and durability.

Core Business Areas:

  • Outerwear: This segment comprises the majority of the company's revenue, with parkas, jackets, and vests being the primary products.
  • Footwear: Canada Goose has expanded into footwear, offering boots, sneakers, and slippers.
  • Accessories: The company also sells accessories like hats, gloves, scarves, and bags.

Leadership Team and Corporate Structure:

Dani Reiss serves as the President & CEO, leading a team of experienced executives in various departments like finance, marketing, and product development. The company operates through a Board of Directors and various committees responsible for overseeing key decisions.

Top Products and Market Share:

  • Snow Mantra Parka: This iconic parka is known for its extreme warmth and durability, popular in regions with harsh winters.
  • Macmillan Parka: A versatile parka suitable for various climates, offering both warmth and style.
  • Resolute Parka: Designed for extreme conditions, this parka is the warmest offered by Canada Goose.

Market Share:

  • Global market share in the luxury outerwear segment is estimated around 15%.
  • Holds a significant market share in Canada, particularly in the premium parka category.
  • Faces competition from other luxury brands like Moncler and The North Face.

Total Addressable Market:

The global luxury outerwear market is estimated to be worth over $50 billion, with a projected growth rate of 5-7% annually.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Has grown steadily over the past five years, reaching $1.2 billion in FY 2023.
  • Net Income: Profitability has fluctuated, with a net income of $133 million in FY 2023.
  • Profit Margins: Gross margins remain high, averaging around 60%, while operating margins are around 15%.
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): EPS has shown a positive trend, reaching $1.24 in FY 2023.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividend History: Canada Goose initiated a dividend in 2018 and has maintained a consistent payout ratio around 20%.
  • Shareholder Returns: The stock has generated positive returns over the past five years, outperforming the broader market.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical Growth: Revenue has grown at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% in the past five years.
  • Future Growth Projections: Analysts project continued growth, with revenue expected to reach $1.5 billion by FY 2025.
  • Recent Initiatives: The company is focused on expanding its product offerings, entering new markets, and developing its e-commerce platform.

Market Dynamics:

  • Industry Trends: The luxury outerwear market is driven by rising consumer demand for premium goods and increasing awareness of sustainability and ethical production practices.
  • Demand-Supply: The market is characterized by limited supply and high demand, especially for Canada Goose's premium parkas.
  • Technological Advancements: The company is investing in digital technologies to enhance its e-commerce platform and customer experience.

Competitors:

  • Moncler (MONC): A major competitor in the luxury outerwear market, known for its stylish puffer jackets.
  • The North Face (TNF): A leading outdoor apparel brand offering a wider range of products at lower price points.
  • Arc'teryx (ARCT): A Canadian brand specializing in high-performance outdoor gear, including parkas.

Market Share Comparison:

  • Canada Goose holds a larger market share in the premium parka segment compared to The North Face and Arc'teryx.
  • Moncler has a broader market share across different luxury outerwear categories.

Competitive Advantages:

  • Brand Recognition: Canada Goose enjoys strong brand recognition and a loyal customer base.
  • Product Quality: The company is known for its high-quality materials and craftsmanship.
  • Vertical Integration: Owns and operates its manufacturing facilities, ensuring quality control and flexibility.

Competitive Disadvantages:

  • High Prices: Canada Goose products are significantly more expensive than many competitors.
  • Limited Product Range: The company primarily focuses on parkas and other outerwear, limiting its market reach.
  • Seasonality: Sales are heavily concentrated in the winter months, leading to revenue fluctuations.

Potential Challenges:

  • Supply Chain Disruptions: The company relies on sourcing materials from various countries, making it vulnerable to supply chain disruptions.
  • Competition: Continued competition from established and emerging brands could pressure market share and pricing.
  • Economic Downturn: A decline in consumer spending could impact sales of luxury goods.

Potential Opportunities:

  • Market Expansion: Entering new markets, particularly in Asia and Europe, could drive future growth.
  • Product Innovation: Developing new product categories and expanding the accessories segment could attract new customers.
  • E-commerce Growth: Strengthening its online presence and platform could enhance sales and customer engagement.

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • Baffin (2021): Acquired Baffin, a Canadian footwear brand specializing in winter boots, for $118 million. This acquisition expanded Canada Goose's product offering and strengthened its presence in the footwear market.
  • SOREL (2022): Acquired SOREL, a global footwear brand known for its stylish and functional boots, for $260 million. This acquisition further diversified Canada Goose's product portfolio and positioned it as a major player in the footwear industry.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on an AI-powered analysis, Canada Goose Holdings Inc. receives a rating of 8.5 out of 10. This rating considers factors like financial health, market position, and future growth prospects. The company exhibits strong financial performance, a leading market position in the premium parka segment, and promising growth opportunities. However, challenges related to supply chain and competition need to be addressed for sustained success.

Sources:

  • Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Investor Relations website
  • Yahoo Finance
  • Reuters
  • Bloomberg
  • MarketWatch

Disclaimer:

This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Canada Goose Holdings Inc

Exchange NYSE Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
IPO Launch date 2017-03-16 Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel Reiss C.M.
Sector Consumer Cyclical Website https://www.canadagoose.com
Industry Apparel Manufacturing Full time employees 4462
Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada
Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel Reiss C.M.
Website https://www.canadagoose.com
Website https://www.canadagoose.com
Full time employees 4462

Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury apparel for men, women, youth, children, and babies in Canada, the United States, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. It offers parkas, lightweight down jackets, rainwear, windwear, apparel, fleece, footwear, and accessories for fall, winter, and spring seasons. It operates through national e-commerce markets and directly operated retail stores. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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