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Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/03/2025: GOOS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.8
1 Year Target Price $11.8
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 4 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -42.92% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.36B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 40.97 | 1Y Target Price 11.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 40.97 | 1Y Target Price 11.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 1.73 | 52 Weeks Range 6.73 - 15.43 | Updated Date 11/3/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 6.73 - 15.43 | Updated Date 11/3/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.34 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-29 | When - | Estimate -0.0792 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.44% | Operating Margin (TTM) -147.22% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.17% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.99% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 40.97 | Forward PE 14.51 | Enterprise Value 1794859863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value 1794859863 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.72 | Shares Outstanding 46063976 | Shares Floating 45835534 |
Shares Outstanding 46063976 | Shares Floating 45835534 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.03 | Percent Institutions 70.58 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Canada Goose Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Founded in 1957 as Metro Sportswear Ltd., Canada Goose evolved from manufacturing wool vests and raincoats to becoming a leading global manufacturer of luxury outerwear. In the 1970s, it developed the Expedition Parka for scientists in Antarctica. It rebranded to Canada Goose in the 1980s.
Core Business Areas
- Outerwear: Canada Goose's core business centers on designing, manufacturing, and selling high-end parkas, jackets, and other outerwear designed for extreme weather conditions.
- Apparel & Accessories: Expanding beyond outerwear, Canada Goose offers knitwear, fleece, and accessories like hats, gloves, and scarves. This segment focuses on diversifying the product line and catering to a broader range of climates and activities.
- Footwear: Canada Goose has expanded into the footwear market, offering boots designed for cold-weather conditions.
Leadership and Structure
Dani Reiss is the Chairman & CEO. The company has a board of directors and operates with a functional organizational structure, with departments for design, manufacturing, marketing, sales, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Parkas (Expedition Parka, Snow Mantra Parka): Canada Goose parkas are renowned for their exceptional warmth and durability. Competitors include Moncler (MONRF), Nobis, and Mackage. Market share information is difficult to obtain precisely for specific products, but Canada Goose holds a significant share in the luxury outerwear market segment. Revenue for parkas makes up the majority of the company's total sales.
- Lightweight Down Jackets: Canada Goose offers a range of lightweight down jackets suitable for milder climates. Competitors include Arc'teryx (private, owned by Amer Sports), Patagonia (private), and The North Face (VFC). While lightweight jackets are a growing part of the portfolio, no detailed breakdown in revenue is publicly reported.
- Knitwear and Accessories: Hats, scarves, gloves and knitwear represent a segment of offerings designed to complement the outerwear line. Competitors include a wide range of brands, from luxury fashion houses to specialized accessory manufacturers.
- Footwear: Boots designed for cold weather, expanding the company's product range. Competitors include Sorel, Ugg, and other winter boot manufacturers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The luxury outerwear market is driven by demand for high-quality, durable, and fashionable products. Growth is fueled by increasing affluence, particularly in emerging markets, and a growing interest in outdoor activities. The market is also impacted by seasonality and weather patterns.
Positioning
Canada Goose positions itself as a premium luxury outerwear brand with a focus on craftsmanship, functionality, and heritage. Its competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, high-quality products, and a vertically integrated supply chain.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global luxury apparel market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Canada Goose is positioned to capture a significant share of the luxury outerwear segment within this TAM, with potential for expansion into adjacent categories like footwear and accessories. Expected TAM value depends on which segment of retail it is being used to define it. Total retail spend is in the multiple trillions annually. Luxury Apparel is estimated between 200 and 300 billion USD. Canada Goose is positioned to capture a significant share of the luxury outerwear segment within this TAM, with potential for expansion into adjacent categories like footwear and accessories.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation
- High-quality, durable products
- Vertically integrated supply chain
- Premium pricing strategy
- Global distribution network
Weaknesses
- High price point limits accessibility
- Seasonality of demand
- Reliance on outerwear category
- Vulnerability to counterfeiting
- Ethical concerns related to animal welfare
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Product diversification into adjacent categories (e.g., footwear, apparel)
- Increased focus on e-commerce and direct-to-consumer sales
- Partnerships and collaborations with other brands
- Sustainable and ethical sourcing initiatives
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting luxury spending
- Changing consumer preferences and fashion trends
- Increased competition from established and emerging brands
- Fluctuations in raw material costs
- Climate change impacting demand for heavy outerwear
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- MONRF
- VFC
- COLM
Competitive Landscape
Canada Goose competes in the luxury outerwear market with brands like Moncler and Arc'teryx. Its advantages include a strong brand heritage and a focus on functionality. However, its high price point may limit its appeal to some consumers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Canada Goose has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by increasing brand awareness, international expansion, and product diversification.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued revenue growth driven by international expansion and e-commerce sales. Profitability is expected to remain strong due to the premium pricing strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include expanding its retail footprint in China, investing in e-commerce capabilities, and launching new product lines like footwear.
Summary
Canada Goose is a strong brand with a proven track record in the luxury outerwear market. Its premium pricing and strong brand reputation support high profitability. While the company is expanding into new product categories and geographic markets, it faces challenges from increased competition and changing consumer preferences. Ethical concerns and dependence on outerwear also need addressing.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
- Publicly available financial data
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Canada Goose Holdings Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Toronto, ON, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-03-16 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Daniel Reiss C.M. | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Apparel Manufacturing | Full time employees 3942 | Website https://www.canadagoose.com |
Full time employees 3942 | Website https://www.canadagoose.com | ||
Canada Goose Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells performance luxury outerwear, apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, youth, children, and babies. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Wholesale, and Other. The company offers leisure wear, including knitwear, sweats, and t-shirts; outerwear products, including windwear, jackets, fleece, and vests; footwear and accessories products, such as sneakers, boots, hats, scarves, gloves, hood trims, socks, bags, and eyewear; and lightweight and heavyweight down jackets for the fall, winter, and spring seasons. It sells its products through e-commerce channels and directly operated retail stores. The company offers its products under Canada Goose, Snow Goose, and Baffin brands in in Canada, the United States, North America, Greater China, rest of the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. Canada Goose Holdings Inc. was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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