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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $26.11
1 Year Target Price $26.11
4 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
6 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -0.31% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 6.34B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 10.3 | 1Y Target Price 26.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio 10.3 | 1Y Target Price 26.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13 | Beta 0.75 | 52 Weeks Range 20.75 - 30.31 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 20.75 - 30.31 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.09% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.04 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.15% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.93% | Return on Equity (TTM) 20.61% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 10.3 | Forward PE 10.01 | Enterprise Value 11924999172 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73 |
Enterprise Value 11924999172 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45 | Shares Outstanding 301760000 | Shares Floating 297122135 |
Shares Outstanding 301760000 | Shares Floating 297122135 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 111.84 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4 | Target Price 26.11 | Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 |
Buy 3 | Strong Buy 4 | ||
Hold 6 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Company Overview
History and Background
Graphic Packaging Holding Company was founded in 1998 through the merger of Graphic Packaging International and Riverwood International Corporation. It has grown through acquisitions and organic growth, becoming a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Paperboard Packaging: Produces paperboard cartons and containers for various end markets, including food, beverage, and consumer products.
- Flexible Packaging: Manufactures flexible packaging products such as pouches and films for various applications.
- Machinery Systems: Provides packaging machinery and equipment for automated packaging processes.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a board of directors and a senior management team. Michael P. Doss is the President and CEO. The organizational structure includes various business units and functional departments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Folding Cartons: Used for food, beverage, and consumer goods packaging. Graphic Packaging is a leading global provider. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely but it is estimated around 20%. Competitors include WestRock and Smurfit Kappa.
- Beverage Carriers: Paper-based carriers for cans and bottles. Graphic Packaging's market share for multipack beverage carriers is significant. Competitors include WestRock and Smurfit Kappa.
- Foodservice Packaging: Packaging solutions for restaurants and food service businesses. Graphic Packaging's market share in foodservice is considerable. Competitors include WestRock, Pactiv Evergreen and Dart Container.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The packaging industry is driven by consumer demand, sustainability trends, and regulatory requirements. There's a growing focus on sustainable and recyclable packaging materials.
Positioning
Graphic Packaging is positioned as a leading provider of sustainable paper-based packaging solutions. Its competitive advantages include its integrated supply chain and focus on innovation.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global packaging market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Graphic Packaging is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the TAM with its focus on paper-based solutions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Leading market position in paper-based packaging
- Integrated supply chain
- Focus on sustainability
- Strong customer relationships
- Innovation in packaging solutions
Weaknesses
- Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
- Dependence on key customers
- Capital intensive operations
- Exposure to regulatory changes
- Currency exchange risks
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable packaging
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Development of innovative packaging solutions
- Acquisitions of complementary businesses
- Increased use of automation
Threats
- Competition from other packaging companies
- Economic downturns
- Changes in consumer preferences
- Stringent environmental regulations
- Raw material shortages
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WRK
- SMFKY
- PKG
Competitive Landscape
Graphic Packaging has a strong position in the paper-based packaging market. It competes with other large packaging companies on price, quality, and innovation. GPK's integrated model and focus on sustainability give it a competitive edge.
Major Acquisitions
ARD Cartons Group
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 140
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded folding carton capacity and geographic reach in Europe.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Graphic Packaging has grown organically and through acquisitions. Growth has been driven by increasing demand for paper-based packaging solutions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth in the coming years, driven by sustainable packaging trends. Earnings are expected to grow at a faster pace as cost efficiencies are realized.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new production capacity, acquisitions of complementary businesses, and development of innovative packaging solutions.
Summary
Graphic Packaging is a strong player in the sustainable paper-based packaging market, benefiting from increasing demand and a focus on innovation. The company's integrated supply chain and commitment to sustainability provide competitive advantages. Raw material price fluctuations and regulatory changes pose potential challenges, but the company is well-positioned for continued growth. They need to watch out for the environmental regulations and raw materials price fluctuations.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings, Analyst Reports, Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael P. Doss | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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