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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/08/2026: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $17.37
1 Year Target Price $17.37
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.42% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.46B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 8.92 | 1Y Target Price 17.37 |
Price to earnings Ratio 8.92 | 1Y Target Price 17.37 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13 | Beta 0.64 | 52 Weeks Range 13.83 - 28.01 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 13.83 - 28.01 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.75% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.23% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 8.92 | Forward PE 7.85 | Enterprise Value 10245505297 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 |
Enterprise Value 10245505297 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.52 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.19 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.27 | Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 290533948 |
Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 290533948 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.94 | Percent Institutions 112.12 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Company Overview
History and Background
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) was formed in 2011 as a spin-off from Georgia-Pacific. It has a long history in paper and packaging, with roots tracing back to the early 20th century through its predecessor companies. GPK has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion, establishing itself as a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Consumer Packaging: This segment focuses on the design and production of folding cartons and paperboard packaging for a wide range of consumer products, including food, beverages, health and beauty, and household goods. They offer innovative and sustainable solutions.
- Paperboard Mills: This segment is responsible for producing the paperboard that is used in the company's consumer packaging operations. It includes the manufacturing of coated unbleached kraft (CUK) and coated recycled board (CRB).
- Global Solutions: This segment provides a broad range of packaging and converting solutions, including displays, convenience packaging, and specialty packaging for various industrial and commercial applications.
Leadership and Structure
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. Key figures include Michael P. Doss (CEO and President), and William T. Kent (Executive Vice President and CFO). The company operates globally with manufacturing facilities and sales offices across North America, Europe, and other regions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Folding Cartons: These are versatile paperboard boxes used for packaging a vast array of consumer goods. Competitors include WestRock (WRK) and Packaging Corporation of America (PKG). Market share data for specific product types is proprietary, but GPK holds a significant share in the consumer-ready folding carton market.
- Beverage Carriers: Specialized paperboard packaging for multi-packs of beverages (e.g., cans, bottles). Key competitors include WestRock (WRK) and Sonoco Products Company (SON). GPK is a leading supplier in this segment.
- Paperboard for Food Packaging: Including solutions for frozen foods, dry foods, and dairy products. Competitors include WestRock (WRK), International Paper (IP), and Smurfit Kappa (SKG - international but a major player). GPK is a significant player in this market.
- Custom Display and Retail Packaging: Designed for in-store marketing and product presentation. Competitors are numerous and often regional, including creative agencies and smaller packaging converters.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The paper and packaging industry is characterized by its essential role in supply chains across virtually all consumer and industrial sectors. Key trends include a growing demand for sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions, e-commerce growth driving demand for shipping and protective packaging, and fluctuations in raw material costs (e.g., pulp). Competition is intense, with a mix of large global players and smaller regional manufacturers.
Positioning
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is positioned as a leading global provider of paper-based packaging solutions with a strong emphasis on sustainability and innovation. Its key competitive advantages include its integrated business model (from paperboard production to finished packaging), extensive customer relationships, broad product portfolio, and commitment to environmental responsibility. The company benefits from a strong presence in attractive end markets like food and beverage.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global paper and packaging market is substantial, with estimates for the total market value in the hundreds of billions of US dollars, projected to grow at a steady CAGR. Graphic Packaging Holding Company operates within specific segments of this TAM, such as folding cartons and beverage packaging, where it holds a significant market share. The company's focus on sustainable solutions aligns with a growing portion of this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong market position in key segments (e.g., beverage carriers, folding cartons)
- Integrated business model from paperboard production to packaging solutions
- Commitment to sustainability and innovative packaging designs
- Long-standing customer relationships and global reach
- Diversified end-market exposure
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to raw material price fluctuations (pulp, energy)
- Dependence on a few large customers in certain segments
- Capital-intensive industry requiring ongoing investment
- Potential for supply chain disruptions
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable and recyclable packaging
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Increased adoption of e-commerce driving demand for specialized packaging
- Strategic acquisitions to broaden product offerings or market reach
- Development of advanced barrier coatings and functional packaging
Threats
- Intensifying competition from global and regional players
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending and packaging demand
- Changes in consumer preferences or regulatory requirements
- Disruptions in raw material supply or significant price increases
- Technological advancements by competitors
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WestRock Company (WRK)
- Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)
- International Paper Company (IP)
- Smurfit Kappa Group (SKG - primarily international, but a competitor in global markets)
- Sonoco Products Company (SON)
Competitive Landscape
Graphic Packaging Holding Company competes in a fragmented but consolidated industry. Its advantages lie in its integrated structure, focus on sustainable solutions, and strong customer relationships. However, it faces competition from larger, diversified players like WestRock and International Paper, as well as specialized competitors. The ability to innovate in sustainable packaging and manage raw material costs are critical for maintaining a competitive edge.
Major Acquisitions
MeadWestvaco Corporation's consumer packaging business
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 214
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition significantly expanded Graphic Packaging's folding carton business, particularly in the food and beverage sectors, and enhanced its product portfolio and customer base.
Ecopack
- Year: 2018
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 149
- Strategic Rationale: Strengthened GPK's position in the European market for paperboard packaging, especially for ready-to-eat meals and other convenience food products.
Pillo
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 118
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded GPK's capabilities in high-barrier paperboard packaging for food and beverage products, offering enhanced shelf-life and sustainability benefits.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Graphic Packaging Holding Company has achieved historical growth through a combination of organic expansion, operational efficiencies, and strategic acquisitions. The company has successfully integrated acquired businesses, expanding its geographic footprint and product capabilities. Revenue and profitability have generally trended upwards over the past decade, albeit with some cyclicality common to the industry.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Graphic Packaging Holding Company's future growth often focus on continued benefits from its integrated model, sustainability initiatives, and targeted acquisitions. Expectations typically include moderate revenue growth and stable to improving margins, contingent on economic conditions and raw material costs. Growth in e-commerce and sustainable packaging are key drivers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives by Graphic Packaging Holding Company have included the acquisition of several companies to enhance its capabilities and market presence, particularly in consumer packaging and specialty applications. The company also continues to invest in new technologies and sustainable product development to meet evolving customer demands and regulatory requirements.
Summary
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a strong player in the paperboard packaging industry, capitalizing on the growing demand for sustainable solutions. Its integrated business model, strategic acquisitions, and focus on innovation provide a solid foundation for growth. The company needs to closely monitor raw material costs and competitive pressures to maintain its market position and profitability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research. Market share data and TAM figures are estimates and can vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17 | CEO & Director Mr. Robbert E. Rietbroek | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com | ||
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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