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GPK 
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
13 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $21.85
1 Year Target Price $21.85
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.47% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.86B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.75 | 1Y Target Price 21.85 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.75 | 1Y Target Price 21.85 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13 | Beta 0.66 | 52 Weeks Range 14.90 - 29.95 | Updated Date 11/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 14.90 - 29.95 | Updated Date 11/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.53% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-04 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.59 | Actual 0.58 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.23% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.75 | Forward PE 8.85 | Enterprise Value 11477037545 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 |
Enterprise Value 11477037545 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.56 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.33 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.83 | Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 290525094 |
Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 290525094 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.94 | Percent Institutions 112.29 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Company Overview
History and Background
Graphic Packaging Holding Company was formed in 1998 through the merger of Riverwood International Corporation and Graphic Packaging Corporation. It has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion, evolving into a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions.
Core Business Areas
- Paperboard Packaging: Manufactures paperboard for a variety of packaging applications, including beverage carriers, folding cartons, and food service products.
- Flexible Packaging: Produces flexible packaging solutions such as pouches and films, focusing on food and consumer products.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team is headed by the CEO. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, with key departments including operations, sales, marketing, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Beverage Carriers: Paperboard-based carriers for canned and bottled beverages. Graphic Packaging has a significant market share in this segment (estimated 35-40%). Competitors include WestRock and Smurfit Kappa.
- Folding Cartons: Paperboard cartons for food, consumer products, and other applications. Estimated market share is 20-25%. Competitors include WestRock, International Paper, and Sonoco.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The paper and packaging industry is experiencing increasing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly solutions, driven by consumer preferences and regulatory pressures. Growth is also tied to overall economic activity and consumer spending.
Positioning
Graphic Packaging is positioned as a leading provider of sustainable paper-based packaging solutions. Its competitive advantages include its integrated supply chain, innovation in sustainable materials, and strong customer relationships.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global paper and packaging market is estimated at several hundred billion USD. Graphic Packaging is positioned to capture a significant share of the TAM through its focus on sustainable solutions and strategic acquisitions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong market position
- Integrated supply chain
- Focus on sustainable solutions
- Diverse product portfolio
Weaknesses
- Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
- Dependence on key customers
- High capital intensity
- Debt Levels
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable packaging
- Expansion into emerging markets
- Acquisition of complementary businesses
- New product development
Threats
- Increased competition
- Economic downturn
- Changing consumer preferences
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WRK
- IP
- PKG
Competitive Landscape
Graphic Packaging benefits from its sustainable focus, however, the industry is highly competitive. Competitors include those with greater scale or product diversification.
Major Acquisitions
AR Packaging Group
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1450
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Graphic Packaging's presence in Europe and broadened its product portfolio with complementary offerings.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Graphic Packaging has experienced consistent growth in revenue and earnings over the past decade, driven by organic expansion and strategic acquisitions.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Graphic Packaging, supported by the increasing demand for sustainable packaging and the company's strong market position.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new equipment and technologies, expansion into new markets, and acquisitions of complementary businesses.
Summary
Graphic Packaging is a strong company with a leading position in the sustainable paper-based packaging market. Its focus on sustainability, integrated supply chain, and strategic acquisitions are working well. However, it needs to monitor raw material price fluctuations, competition, and changing consumer preferences to maintain its competitive advantage.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Analyst Reports
- Industry Publications
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary. All financial metrics are in millions of USD unless stated otherwise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael P. Doss | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com | ||
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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