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GPK logo GPK
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$21.07
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

13 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $26.11

1 Year Target Price $26.11

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$26.11Target price
Low$20.75
Current$21.07
high$30.31

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.31%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.34B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 10.3
1Y Target Price 26.11
Price to earnings Ratio 10.3
1Y Target Price 26.11
Volume (30-day avg) 13
Beta 0.75
52 Weeks Range 20.75 - 30.31
Updated Date 06/30/2025
52 Weeks Range 20.75 - 30.31
Updated Date 06/30/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.09%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.04

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 7.15%
Operating Margin (TTM) 11.27%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.93%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20.61%

Valuation

Trailing PE 10.3
Forward PE 10.01
Enterprise Value 11924999172
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value 11924999172
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.73
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.38
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.45
Shares Outstanding 301760000
Shares Floating 297122135
Shares Outstanding 301760000
Shares Floating 297122135
Percent Insiders 1.42
Percent Institutions 111.84

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4
Target Price 26.11
Buy 3
Strong Buy 4
Buy 3
Strong Buy 4
Hold 6
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Graphic Packaging Holding Company was founded in 1998 through the merger of Graphic Packaging International and Riverwood International Corporation. It has grown through acquisitions and organic growth, becoming a leading provider of paper-based packaging solutions.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Paperboard Packaging: Produces paperboard cartons and containers for various end markets, including food, beverage, and consumer products.
  • Flexible Packaging: Manufactures flexible packaging products such as pouches and films for various applications.
  • Machinery Systems: Provides packaging machinery and equipment for automated packaging processes.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a board of directors and a senior management team. Michael P. Doss is the President and CEO. The organizational structure includes various business units and functional departments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Folding Cartons: Used for food, beverage, and consumer goods packaging. Graphic Packaging is a leading global provider. Market share data is difficult to pinpoint precisely but it is estimated around 20%. Competitors include WestRock and Smurfit Kappa.
  • Beverage Carriers: Paper-based carriers for cans and bottles. Graphic Packaging's market share for multipack beverage carriers is significant. Competitors include WestRock and Smurfit Kappa.
  • Foodservice Packaging: Packaging solutions for restaurants and food service businesses. Graphic Packaging's market share in foodservice is considerable. Competitors include WestRock, Pactiv Evergreen and Dart Container.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The packaging industry is driven by consumer demand, sustainability trends, and regulatory requirements. There's a growing focus on sustainable and recyclable packaging materials.

Positioning

Graphic Packaging is positioned as a leading provider of sustainable paper-based packaging solutions. Its competitive advantages include its integrated supply chain and focus on innovation.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global packaging market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Graphic Packaging is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of the TAM with its focus on paper-based solutions.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Leading market position in paper-based packaging
  • Integrated supply chain
  • Focus on sustainability
  • Strong customer relationships
  • Innovation in packaging solutions

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to raw material price fluctuations
  • Dependence on key customers
  • Capital intensive operations
  • Exposure to regulatory changes
  • Currency exchange risks

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for sustainable packaging
  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of innovative packaging solutions
  • Acquisitions of complementary businesses
  • Increased use of automation

Threats

  • Competition from other packaging companies
  • Economic downturns
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Stringent environmental regulations
  • Raw material shortages

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • WRK
  • SMFKY
  • PKG

Competitive Landscape

Graphic Packaging has a strong position in the paper-based packaging market. It competes with other large packaging companies on price, quality, and innovation. GPK's integrated model and focus on sustainability give it a competitive edge.

Major Acquisitions

ARD Cartons Group

  • Year: 2021
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 140
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded folding carton capacity and geographic reach in Europe.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Graphic Packaging has grown organically and through acquisitions. Growth has been driven by increasing demand for paper-based packaging solutions.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth in the coming years, driven by sustainable packaging trends. Earnings are expected to grow at a faster pace as cost efficiencies are realized.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new production capacity, acquisitions of complementary businesses, and development of innovative packaging solutions.

Summary

Graphic Packaging is a strong player in the sustainable paper-based packaging market, benefiting from increasing demand and a focus on innovation. The company's integrated supply chain and commitment to sustainability provide competitive advantages. Raw material price fluctuations and regulatory changes pose potential challenges, but the company is well-positioned for continued growth. They need to watch out for the environmental regulations and raw materials price fluctuations.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings, Analyst Reports, Industry Publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17
President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael P. Doss
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Packaging & Containers
Full time employees 23000
Full time employees 23000

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.