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GPK 
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/09/2025: GPK (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
13 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $19.89
1 Year Target Price $19.89
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 6 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -12.47% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/09/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 4.62B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 9.22 | 1Y Target Price 19.89 |
Price to earnings Ratio 9.22 | 1Y Target Price 19.89 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13 | Beta 0.66 | 52 Weeks Range 13.93 - 29.37 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 13.93 - 29.37 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.69% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 5.94% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.69% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 16.23% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 9.22 | Forward PE 8.85 | Enterprise Value 10396018084 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.54 |
Enterprise Value 10396018084 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.54 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7.46 | Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 289999775 |
Shares Outstanding 295123112 | Shares Floating 289999775 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.94 | Percent Institutions 112.32 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Company Overview
History and Background
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) was formed in 2011 as a holding company for Graphic Packaging International, Inc., which itself has a history dating back to 1983 through mergers and acquisitions. The company has a long legacy in the paperboard packaging industry, evolving through strategic acquisitions and divestitures to become a leading global provider of fiber-based packaging solutions. Key milestones include significant expansions in its North American and European operations.
Core Business Areas
- Segment Name 1: Consumer Packaging: This segment focuses on folding cartons and related packaging products for a wide range of consumer goods, including food, beverages, health and beauty, and household products. Products include shelf-ready packaging, beverage carriers, and frozen food cartons.
- Segment Name 2: Paperboard Mills: This segment operates paperboard mills that produce coated unbleached kraft (CUK) and coated recycled board (CRB) for internal use and external sale. This vertical integration provides a critical supply chain advantage.
- Segment Name 3: Industrial Solutions: This segment includes niche packaging and converting operations serving various industrial markets.
Leadership and Structure
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is led by a senior executive team, with a Board of Directors overseeing its strategic direction. The organizational structure is typically aligned with its business segments and geographic regions to manage its global operations effectively.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: Folding Cartons: These are paperboard boxes used for a vast array of consumer products. Competitors include WestRock, Smurfit Kappa, and Amcor. Market share data for specific product categories is often proprietary, but GPK holds a significant share in the North American beverage and frozen food carton markets.
- Product Name 2: Beverage Carriers: This includes multipack solutions for cans and bottles. Competitors include WestRock and Amcor. GPK is a leading provider in this segment, particularly for beer and soft drink packaging.
- Product Name 3: Coated Unbleached Kraft (CUK) Paperboard: This high-strength paperboard is used for demanding packaging applications. Competitors in paperboard production include International Paper and Smurfit Kappa. GPK's integrated mill operations give it a competitive edge.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The paperboard packaging industry is a mature but dynamic sector driven by consumer demand for packaged goods, the shift towards sustainable and recyclable materials, and e-commerce growth. Key trends include increased focus on sustainability, lightweighting of packaging, and customized solutions for brand differentiation. The industry is characterized by consolidation and significant capital investment in manufacturing capabilities.
Positioning
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a leading global provider of fiber-based packaging solutions, particularly strong in North America and Europe. Its competitive advantages include its integrated supply chain (from paperboard mills to finished packaging), broad product portfolio, strong customer relationships with major consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies, and a focus on innovation in sustainable packaging solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global paper and paperboard packaging market is substantial, estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a significant player within this TAM, particularly in the folding carton and beverage packaging segments. Its positioning is strong due to its scale, integration, and focus on sustainable solutions, allowing it to capture a meaningful share of the addressable market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Integrated supply chain with in-house paperboard production.
- Strong customer relationships with leading CPG companies.
- Leading market positions in key segments (e.g., beverage carriers, folding cartons).
- Focus on sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions.
- Global manufacturing footprint.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to cyclicality in commodity prices (pulp, energy).
- Dependence on key large customers.
- Capital-intensive industry requiring ongoing investment.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for sustainable packaging materials.
- Expansion into emerging markets.
- E-commerce growth driving demand for protective and shelf-ready packaging.
- Innovation in smart packaging and functional packaging solutions.
- Acquisition targets for further consolidation and market expansion.
Threats
- Intensifying competition and pricing pressures.
- Fluctuations in raw material costs and availability.
- Regulatory changes related to packaging and environmental impact.
- Shifts in consumer preferences away from traditional packaging formats.
- Economic downturns impacting consumer spending on packaged goods.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- WestRock Company (WRK)
- Smurfit Kappa Group plc (SKG)
- Amcor plc (AMCR)
Competitive Landscape
Graphic Packaging Holding Company holds a strong competitive position due to its integrated model, scale, and focus on sustainable solutions. It faces intense competition from other large players who also benefit from scale and established customer bases. GPK's advantage lies in its ability to offer a comprehensive suite of fiber-based packaging solutions and its strong relationships with key CPG manufacturers. Weaknesses relative to competitors might include slower adoption of certain niche technologies or less diversification in some end markets.
Major Acquisitions
Dotcom Packaging
- Year: 2023
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 640
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Dotcom Packaging, a leading provider of high-performance paperboard packaging for e-commerce, enhances GPK's position in the rapidly growing e-commerce packaging market and expands its capabilities in this critical channel.
Multi Packaging Solutions (MPS)
- Year: 2017
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1500
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Multi Packaging Solutions significantly expanded Graphic Packaging's scale, product diversity, and geographic reach, particularly in the health and beauty and food segments, and enhanced its folding carton capabilities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: The company has experienced significant historical growth, largely driven by a strategy of acquiring and integrating businesses that expand its geographic reach and product capabilities. Organic growth has also contributed, fueled by strong demand for its packaging solutions and product innovation.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates typically project continued revenue growth for Graphic Packaging Holding Company, supported by ongoing market trends such as sustainability and e-commerce. Profitability is expected to improve through operational efficiencies and the successful integration of past and future acquisitions. Growth is anticipated to be a blend of organic expansion and strategic M&A.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have included strategic acquisitions to bolster market position and expand product offerings, investments in sustainable packaging technologies, and operational improvements aimed at enhancing efficiency and reducing costs across its global network.
Summary
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a strong player in the fiber-based packaging market, benefiting from its integrated operations, extensive customer relationships, and commitment to sustainability. Its strategic acquisitions have bolstered its market position, especially in the growing e-commerce sector. However, the company must navigate the challenges of raw material price volatility and intense competition. Continued innovation in sustainable solutions and operational efficiencies will be crucial for sustained growth.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Graphic Packaging Holding Company Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data may be subject to change and may not be exhaustive. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Atlanta, GA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1992-06-17 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Michael P. Doss | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Packaging & Containers | Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com |
Full time employees 23000 | Website https://www.graphicpkg.com | ||
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, produces, and sells consumer packaging products to brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, and other consumer products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through three segments: Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. The company offers unbleached, bleached, and recycled paperboard to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers. It also provides paperboard packaging products for consumer packaged goods companies; and cups, lids, and food containers for foodservice companies and quick-service restaurants serving the food, beverage, and consumer product markets, including healthcare and beauty. The company also designs, manufactures, and installs specialized packaging machines. The company sells its products through sales offices, as well as through broker arrangements with third parties. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
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