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Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: GSHD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $91.09
1 Year Target Price $91.09
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 86.51% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.81B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 65.61 | 1Y Target Price 91.09 |
Price to earnings Ratio 65.61 | 1Y Target Price 91.09 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.52 | 52 Weeks Range 64.41 - 127.99 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 64.41 - 127.99 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.39% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 175.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 65.61 | Forward PE 35.71 | Enterprise Value 2155270812 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.95 |
Enterprise Value 2155270812 | Price to Sales(TTM) 7.95 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.09 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 24908881 | Shares Floating 22922647 |
Shares Outstanding 24908881 | Shares Floating 22922647 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.26 | Percent Institutions 111.01 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Goosehead Insurance Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Goosehead Insurance Inc. was founded in 2003 by Mark E. Jones and Michael H. Smith. The company is a technology-enabled independent insurance agency that provides access to a wide range of insurance products from numerous insurance companies. Its primary innovation lies in its franchise model, which allows for rapid agent recruitment and expansion.
Core Business Areas
- Insurance Distribution: Goosehead acts as an intermediary, selling insurance policies from various insurance carriers to consumers and businesses. They do not underwrite policies themselves but rather leverage their technology platform and agent network to place coverage.
- Franchise Model: A significant part of Goosehead's business model involves selling franchises to entrepreneurs who then operate their own Goosehead insurance agencies. This model facilitates rapid scaling and market penetration.
Leadership and Structure
Goosehead Insurance Inc. is led by its co-founders and executive team. Mark E. Jones serves as Chairman and CEO, and Michael H. Smith is President and Chief Strategy Officer. The company operates through a network of corporate-owned agencies and a large number of franchised agencies across the United States.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: State Farm, GEICO, Progressive, Allstate, Farmers Insurance, independent insurance agencies.
- Description: This includes homeowners, auto, umbrella, and other personal property and casualty insurance policies. Goosehead leverages its technology to compare quotes from multiple carriers, aiming to find the best coverage at a competitive price for its clients. Competitors include large direct writers (e.g., State Farm, GEICO, Progressive) and other independent insurance agencies. Market share data specifically for Goosehead's product offerings within the broader insurance market is not publicly granularly broken down, but they operate within the massive US personal lines insurance market.
- Market Share:
- Product Name: Personal Lines Insurance
- Competitors: The Hartford, Travelers, Chubb, CNA, Liberty Mutual, insurance brokers.
- Description: Goosehead also offers business insurance solutions, including general liability, commercial property, workers' compensation, and specialty coverages for businesses of various sizes. Similar to personal lines, they aim to provide competitive quotes from a range of commercial insurers. Competitors are a broad spectrum of commercial insurance providers and brokers.
- Market Share:
- Product Name: Commercial Lines Insurance
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The US insurance industry is vast, mature, and highly competitive, characterized by significant regulatory oversight. It's driven by consumer demand for protection against risks, economic conditions, and technological advancements. The industry is undergoing digital transformation, with an increasing emphasis on online quoting, policy management, and customer service.
Positioning
Goosehead Insurance Inc. positions itself as a technology-enabled, independent insurance agency with a unique franchise model. Its competitive advantage lies in its ability to recruit and train a large network of agents quickly, its proprietary technology platform that streamlines quoting and policy management, and its focus on offering a wide selection of products from various carriers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for personal and commercial insurance in the U.S. is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Goosehead Insurance Inc. is a growing player within this massive market, with its TAM represented by the portion of this market that can be effectively served by independent agencies utilizing technology and a franchise model.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary Technology Platform
- Scalable Franchise Model
- Access to Multiple Insurers
- Strong Agent Recruitment and Training Program
- Focus on Customer Experience
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Third-Party Insurers for Underwriting and Claims
- Brand Recognition relative to large direct writers
- Potential for franchise owner underperformance
- Dependence on broker commissions
Opportunities
- Continued growth of the franchise network
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased adoption of InsurTech solutions
- Partnerships with other financial service providers
- Growing demand for personalized insurance advice
Threats
- Intensifying competition from direct writers and other independent agencies
- Changes in insurance regulations
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on insurance
- Cybersecurity risks
- Natural disasters impacting carrier profitability and policy availability
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- State Farm (SFIC)
- GEICO (Berkshire Hathaway Inc. - BRK.A, BRK.B)
- Progressive Corporation (PGR)
- Allstate Corporation (ALL)
- Farmers Insurance (Zurich Insurance Group AG - ZURVY, in some aspects)
Competitive Landscape
Goosehead operates in a fragmented market where direct writers have significant brand recognition and scale. However, Goosehead's advantage lies in its independent agency model, offering a broader choice of carriers and personalized service, amplified by its technology and franchise growth strategy. Its weakness is its relative scale and brand awareness compared to the giants of the industry.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Goosehead has shown robust historical growth, largely attributable to its successful franchise recruitment, agent productivity improvements, and increasing customer base. Revenue and profitability have consistently trended upwards.
Future Projections: Analyst projections generally indicate continued strong growth for Goosehead Insurance Inc., driven by further expansion of its agent network, increasing policy volume, and potential new product offerings. Average projections suggest double-digit revenue and EPS growth for the next 3-5 years.
Recent Initiatives: Ongoing investment in technology enhancements to improve agent and customer experience.,Strategic partnerships to expand service offerings.,Focus on agent training and development to boost productivity.
Summary
Goosehead Insurance Inc. is a rapidly growing independent insurance agency leveraging a strong technology platform and a scalable franchise model. Its strengths lie in its innovative business approach and consistent revenue expansion, while its main weakness is its scale relative to established direct insurers. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on market trends towards digital insurance solutions and personalized advice, but must remain vigilant against intense competition and regulatory changes.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Goosehead Insurance Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All data is subject to change and may not be entirely up-to-date. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Goosehead Insurance Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Westlake, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-04-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark K. Miller CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance Brokers | Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com | ||
Goosehead Insurance, Inc operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle, and other insurance policies. It distributes its products and services through corporate and franchise locations. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

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