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Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: GSHD (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $111.4
1 Year Target Price $111.4
1 | Strong Buy |
3 | Buy |
5 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 89.08% | Avg. Invested days 45 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.25B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 75.84 | 1Y Target Price 111.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio 75.84 | 1Y Target Price 111.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.3 | 52 Weeks Range 75.08 - 127.99 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 75.08 - 127.99 | Updated Date 08/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-22 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.4985 | Actual 0.49 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.78% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 175.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 75.84 | Forward PE 53.48 | Enterprise Value 2557495599 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.53 |
Enterprise Value 2557495599 | Price to Sales(TTM) 9.53 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 7.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 25351000 | Shares Floating 24725800 |
Shares Outstanding 25351000 | Shares Floating 24725800 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.59 | Percent Institutions 105.22 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Goosehead Insurance Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 by Mark E. Jones and Robyn Jones. It began as an independent insurance agency platform focused on providing clients with more choices and personalized service. Goosehead went public in 2018 and has since focused on aggressive franchise expansion and technology development to streamline the insurance buying process.
Core Business Areas
- Franchise: Goosehead operates through a franchise model, where franchisees own and operate their own agencies under the Goosehead brand. This segment focuses on the recruitment, training, and support of these franchisees.
- Corporate: The Corporate channel involves Goosehead's directly owned agencies. This includes the initial agency before the company went the franchise route and the sales of other acquisitions.
Leadership and Structure
Mark E. Jones is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a structured leadership team covering franchise operations, technology, finance, and sales. The organizational structure is designed to support both franchise and corporate operations, with a focus on technology and data analytics to improve efficiency and customer experience.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Homeowners Insurance: Goosehead offers homeowners insurance policies from a variety of carriers. Their competitive advantage comes from the breadth of options they offer clients. Market share data is not readily available but is estimated to be very small single digits percent of overall homeowners insurance market. Competitors include State Farm, Allstate, and Progressive.
- Auto Insurance: Goosehead provides auto insurance policies from multiple providers. Similar to homeowners insurance, their strength lies in choice and comparison shopping. Market share in auto insurance is also a small single-digit percentage of the total market. Competitors include State Farm, Geico, and Progressive.
- Commercial Insurance: Goosehead also facilitates insurance for businesses. This is a growth area, and market share is relatively small. Competitors vary depending on the specific industry being insured, but major players include Chubb and Travelers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is highly competitive and fragmented. It is being influenced by technological advancements, changing consumer preferences, and increasing regulatory scrutiny. Digital distribution and personalized insurance solutions are gaining traction.
Positioning
Goosehead positions itself as a tech-enabled, client-focused independent agency platform. Its competitive advantages include its franchise model that incentivizes growth, its broad carrier network, and its investment in technology to streamline operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for the insurance industry is vast, estimated to be in the trillions of dollars globally. Goosehead, with its relatively small market share, has significant room for growth. Their positioning as a tech-enabled independent agency allows them to capture a larger portion of the market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Franchise model enables rapid growth
- Technology platform enhances efficiency
- Strong brand reputation
- Broad carrier network provides customer choice
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Reliance on franchisees for growth
- Vulnerability to economic downturns
- Franchise model risks franchisee conflicts
- Customer acquisition costs can be high
- Sensitivity to interest rates
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for personalized insurance solutions
- Technological advancements in insurance distribution
- Growing adoption of digital insurance platforms
- Strategic acquisitions to expand product offerings
Threats
- Intense competition from established insurance carriers
- Changing regulatory landscape
- Cybersecurity risks
- Economic downturns impacting insurance demand
- Rising claims costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BRO
- ACGL
- HIG
Competitive Landscape
Gooseheadu2019s advantage lies in its franchise model and technology. Competitors like Brown & Brown (BRO), Arch Capital Group (ACGL), and Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) have greater capital resources and brand recognition. Goosehead is gaining market share, but it faces intense competition.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Goosehead has experienced substantial revenue growth due to franchise expansion and increased premium placement. The growth rate has been strong, but profitability is variable due to expansion costs.
Future Projections: Analyst projections anticipate continued revenue growth driven by franchise expansion. Profitability improvements are expected as the company achieves greater scale and operating leverage.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology to improve the customer experience, expansion into new geographic markets, and strategic partnerships with insurance carriers.
Summary
Goosehead Insurance shows promise through its franchise-driven growth and focus on technology. While revenue growth is robust, profitability remains a challenge due to high expansion costs. The competitive landscape is intense, but Goosehead's unique model provides a degree of differentiation. Investors should monitor its ability to control costs and continue franchise development to achieve sustainable profitability. They should also keep an eye on the sensitivity of the business to interest rates.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Goosehead Insurance Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Goosehead Insurance Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Westlake, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-04-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark K. Miller CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance Brokers | Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Goosehead Insurance, Inc operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle, and other insurance policies. It distributes its products and services through corporate and franchise locations. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

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