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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Goosehead Insurance Inc (GSHD)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: GSHD (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $90.82
1 Year Target Price $90.82
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 3 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 87.56% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.83B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 66.05 | 1Y Target Price 90.82 |
Price to earnings Ratio 66.05 | 1Y Target Price 90.82 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 1.52 | 52 Weeks Range 64.41 - 127.99 | Updated Date 12/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 64.41 - 127.99 | Updated Date 12/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.14 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.57% | Operating Margin (TTM) 23.39% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 12.37% | Return on Equity (TTM) 175.84% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 66.05 | Forward PE 33.67 | Enterprise Value 2192883222 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.01 |
Enterprise Value 2192883222 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 24908881 | Shares Floating 22922647 |
Shares Outstanding 24908881 | Shares Floating 22922647 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.26 | Percent Institutions 110.86 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Goosehead Insurance Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. was founded in 2003 by Mark E. Jones and Robyn Jones. Initially focused on the Texas market, it rapidly expanded through a franchise model, offering independent insurance advice to clients and enabling agents to build their own businesses. The company went public in 2018.
Core Business Areas
- Franchise Operations: Goosehead's primary business model revolves around franchising. They license their brand, technology, and support services to independent franchise owners who sell personal lines and commercial lines insurance products. Franchisees generate revenue through commissions earned on policies sold.
- Corporate Channel: Goosehead also operates a corporate channel, employing licensed agents directly. This channel serves a different segment of the market and allows Goosehead to directly manage and control a portion of their business.
Leadership and Structure
Mark E. Jones serves as Chairman and CEO. The company has a traditional corporate structure with a board of directors overseeing management. The organizational structure includes departments for franchise development, operations, technology, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Homeowners Insurance: Goosehead offers homeowners insurance policies from various carriers. Market share data specific to Goosehead's homeowners insurance is difficult to obtain, but the overall homeowners insurance market is highly competitive, with major players like State Farm, Allstate, and Progressive. Goosehead acts as an intermediary, competing with other independent agencies and direct writers.
- Auto Insurance: Goosehead provides access to auto insurance policies from multiple insurance companies. Similar to homeowners insurance, specific market share data for Goosehead's auto insurance is not readily available. The auto insurance market is dominated by large national carriers such as State Farm, Geico, and Progressive. Competitors include independent agencies, direct writers, and captive agent networks.
- Other Personal Lines Insurance: Goosehead also offers other personal lines products such as flood insurance, umbrella insurance, and recreational vehicle insurance. These products contribute to overall revenue but are smaller segments compared to homeowners and auto.
- Commercial Lines Insurance: Goosehead also offers commercial lines products such as business liability, workers compensation and commercial auto insurances. These products contribute to overall revenue but are smaller segments compared to homeowners and auto.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The insurance industry is a large and mature market, characterized by intense competition and evolving consumer preferences. The independent agency channel is growing as consumers seek choice and personalized advice. Technological advancements and digital distribution are reshaping the industry landscape.
Positioning
Goosehead positions itself as a high-growth, technology-enabled independent insurance agency. Its franchise model allows for rapid expansion and a focus on customer service. Its competitive advantages include its proprietary technology platform, strong brand, and experienced leadership team.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US property and casualty insurance market represents a multi-billion dollar TAM. Goosehead, with its growing franchise network, is positioned to capture a larger share of this market by leveraging its technology and customer-centric approach. Some estimates put the total addressable market for independent agencies in personal lines at over $100 billion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Franchise Model for Rapid Growth
- Proprietary Technology Platform
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Experienced Leadership Team
- Access to Multiple Insurance Carriers
Weaknesses
- Reliance on Franchisee Performance
- High Initial Investment for Franchisees
- Potential for Franchisee Disputes
- Dependence on Insurance Carrier Relationships
- Relatively Small Market Share Compared to Industry Giants
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Geographic Markets
- Increasing Demand for Independent Insurance Advice
- Technological Advancements in Insurance Distribution
- Strategic Acquisitions of Smaller Agencies
- Cross-Selling Opportunities with Existing Clients
Threats
- Intense Competition from National Carriers
- Economic Downturn Impacting Insurance Sales
- Changes in Insurance Regulations
- Cybersecurity Risks
- Disruptive Technologies (e.g., AI-powered insurance solutions)
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BRO
- AJG
- WRB
- MMC
- AON
- HUBG
- HIG
- ACGL
Competitive Landscape
Goosehead's competitive advantage lies in its franchise model and technology platform. Compared to large national carriers, it offers a wider range of insurance options. However, it faces competition from other independent agencies and direct writers. It will need to differentiate itself to get market share.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Goosehead has experienced rapid growth in recent years, driven by its successful franchise model and increasing demand for independent insurance advice. Revenue and franchise count have grown significantly.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates generally project continued revenue growth for Goosehead, driven by further franchise expansion and increasing premium retention rates. Projections are subject to market conditions and the company's ability to execute its strategy.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology to enhance the franchisee experience, expansion into new geographic markets, and strategic partnerships with insurance carriers.
Summary
Goosehead Insurance shows promise through its franchise model and technology-driven platform, which are fueling rapid expansion. A key strength is the independence it provides to its franchisees. However, the reliance on franchisees could present challenges, and it operates in a very competitive market. Continued investment in technology and franchise support is critical for sustained success and to get more market share from the big players.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor Presentations, Analyst Reports, Industry Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change. Consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Goosehead Insurance Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Westlake, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-04-27 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Mark K. Miller CPA | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Insurance Brokers | Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com |
Full time employees 1580 | Website https://www.goosehead.com | ||
Goosehead Insurance, Inc operates as a holding company for Goosehead Financial, LLC that engages in the provision of personal lines insurance agency services in the United States. The company offers insurance service for homeowner's; automotive; dwelling property; flood, wind, and earthquake; excess liability or umbrella; general liability, and property and auto insurance for small businesses; life insurance; and motorcycle, recreational vehicle, and other insurance policies. It distributes its products and services through corporate and franchise locations. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

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